Harold O'brien
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market so retarded it couldn't even price in rate hikes
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Don't even ask the question. The answer is yes, it's priced in. Think Amazon will beat the next earnings? That's already been priced in. You work at the drive thru for Mickey D's and found out that the burgers are made of human meat? Priced in. You think insiders don't already know that? The market is an all powerful, all encompassing being that knows the very inner workings of your subconscious before you were even born. Your very existence was priced in decades ago when the market was valuing Standard Oil's expected future earnings based on population growth that would lead to your birth, what age you would get a car, how many times you would drive your car every week, how many times you take the bus/train, etc. Anything you can think of has already been priced in, even the things you aren't thinking of. You have no original thoughts. Your consciousness is just an illusion, a product of the omniscent market. Free will is a myth. The market sees all, knows all and will be there from the beginning of time until the end of the universe (the market has already priced in the heat death of the universe). So please, before you make a post on wsb asking whether AAPL has priced in earpods 11 sales or whatever, know that it has already been priced in and don't ask such a dumb fucking question again.Over for my stock portofolio. Too much in tech
i agree with this one. One of my most profitable stock was Berkshire. Should have bought more of it and dont fall for the buy index memes since the fee is extremely low and hodl that.Don't even ask the question. The answer is yes, it's priced in. Think Amazon will beat the next earnings? That's already been priced in. You work at the drive thru for Mickey D's and found out that the burgers are made of human meat? Priced in. You think insiders don't already know that? The market is an all powerful, all encompassing being that knows the very inner workings of your subconscious before you were even born. Your very existence was priced in decades ago when the market was valuing Standard Oil's expected future earnings based on population growth that would lead to your birth, what age you would get a car, how many times you would drive your car every week, how many times you take the bus/train, etc. Anything you can think of has already been priced in, even the things you aren't thinking of. You have no original thoughts. Your consciousness is just an illusion, a product of the omniscent market. Free will is a myth. The market sees all, knows all and will be there from the beginning of time until the end of the universe (the market has already priced in the heat death of the universe). So please, before you make a post on wsb asking whether AAPL has priced in earpods 11 sales or whatever, know that it has already been priced in and don't ask such a dumb fucking question again.
Same, just gotta wait th cycle out though bhai, remember tech by nature is deflationary, and provided the tech u r in is not a BS scam, it will surpass previous ATH.Over for my stock portofolio. Too much in tech
Also OP your post is non sensical, market is efficient, and ofc it priced in rate hikes.
Bro all of that is called machine learningDon't even ask the question. The answer is yes, it's priced in. Think Amazon will beat the next earnings? That's already been priced in. You work at the drive thru for Mickey D's and found out that the burgers are made of human meat? Priced in. You think insiders don't already know that? The market is an all powerful, all encompassing being that knows the very inner workings of your subconscious before you were even born. Your very existence was priced in decades ago when the market was valuing Standard Oil's expected future earnings based on population growth that would lead to your birth, what age you would get a car, how many times you would drive your car every week, how many times you take the bus/train, etc. Anything you can think of has already been priced in, even the things you aren't thinking of. You have no original thoughts. Your consciousness is just an illusion, a product of the omniscent market. Free will is a myth. The market sees all, knows all and will be there from the beginning of time until the end of the universe (the market has already priced in the heat death of the universe). So please, before you make a post on wsb asking whether AAPL has priced in earpods 11 sales or whatever, know that it has already been priced in and don't ask such a dumb fucking question again.
Efficient markets just means that prices reflect (most) known information, so you likely can’t “out smart” the marketThe trading world slowly transormed into nearly all math/stats based trading (quants) the highest earnings hf are all quants
muh efficent market
That means you cant even arbitrage then, it means it reflect all of information. well thats what i read from wikiEfficient markets just means that prices reflect (most) known information, so you likely can’t “out smart” the market
ITs not black an white an white, it’s weak moderate or strong efficiencyThat means you cant even arbitrage then, it means it reflect all of information. well thats what i read from wiki
quants out smart the market everyday.
i mean... do u really think theres absolutely zero people who are just talented at picking stocks etc and have made their money not due to luck?Don't even ask the question. The answer is yes, it's priced in. Think Amazon will beat the next earnings? That's already been priced in. You work at the drive thru for Mickey D's and found out that the burgers are made of human meat? Priced in. You think insiders don't already know that? The market is an all powerful, all encompassing being that knows the very inner workings of your subconscious before you were even born. Your very existence was priced in decades ago when the market was valuing Standard Oil's expected future earnings based on population growth that would lead to your birth, what age you would get a car, how many times you would drive your car every week, how many times you take the bus/train, etc. Anything you can think of has already been priced in, even the things you aren't thinking of. You have no original thoughts. Your consciousness is just an illusion, a product of the omniscent market. Free will is a myth. The market sees all, knows all and will be there from the beginning of time until the end of the universe (the market has already priced in the heat death of the universe). So please, before you make a post on wsb asking whether AAPL has priced in earpods 11 sales or whatever, know that it has already been priced in and don't ask such a dumb fucking question again.
Stocks are cope
this is wrong/a myth, quant trading is just arbitrage and playing averages for a small % profit. 99.99% of non arbitrage volume is human hand trading. Outperforming diversified "hedge fund porfolios of stocks" means nothing, they arent actively trading, its just following s&p500. Actual active trading funds/family offices outperform x100. also big winner bias, risk of computer glitch Ishigh risk(many exmpls of boomed quant trading firms)The trading world slowly transormed into nearly all math/stats based trading (quants) the highest earnings hf are all quants
muh efficent market
Quant trading isnt just arbitrage it can involve many strategies(even sometimes directional),they earn the most and nearly all of wall street is quant based trading. the best performing funds are nearly all quant based.this is wrong/a myth, quant trading is just arbitrage and playing averages for a small % profit. 99.99% of non arbitrage volume is human hand trading. Outperforming diversified "hedge fund porfolios of stocks" means nothing, they arent actively trading, its just following s&p500. Actual active trading funds/family offices outperform x100. also big winner bias, risk of computer glitch Ishigh risk(many exmpls of boomed quant trading firms)
I just mean all of "arbitrage" is "quant" and 99% of "quant" is just arbitrage. quant trading is just playing averages to make ~.25% average a day. s&p500 futures, btc futures, oil futures are all controlled by big human inputed orders.Quant trading isnt just arbitrage it can involve many strategies(even sometimes directional),they earn the most and nearly all of wall street is quant based trading. the best performing funds are nearly all quant based.
you can draw human behaviour traits as a counterpoint many examples of this aswell.
It depends on which market you are looking for the volume but that 99.99% is still made up lol.