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Deleted member 11126
Kraken
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Most realistic possibilities for AI development in our life times it could be a combination of multiple of these as they have overlaps.
Theory 1 (Wall-E possibility):
AI development may stagnate due to declining IQ and lack of smart people to improve it, leading to a zoo-like state of humanity where most people are unable to exist outside of an artificial system. Technology will be smart enough to maintain itself but not be improved upon.
Theory 2 (Cyberpunk dystopia):
Most work will be automated, creating a generally unsafe society where the poor have nothing and the rich have everything. Advanced AI may lead to a brutal world where only the very smart and cunning survive.
Theory 3 (Man merges with machine/transhumanism):
Humans may merge with machines, using AI as a tool, potentially leading to a hive mind or being controlled by the elite. I think this is the most likely possibility for some sort of singularity event, where the collective unconsciousness of man could be created by wiring the thoughts of every human together with something like neural link. The Elite will try to use it to become gods themselves. This is sort of similar to the plot of Evangelion.
Theory 4 (Singularity or AGI is reached):
This largely depends on how controlled it is, but most likely an AI like this would be a combination of all human knowledge into one consciousness. If the Elite control it completely, then it's game over; basically, the great reset will wipe out most of the earth, and the Elite will try to become gods or merge with it. It will be humanities' tyrant. The other possibility is that AI is influenced by other forces outside of the current global Elite, and this could bring about some amazing things and could be used as a tool to help mankind.
Concluding thought:
I think the singularity is the least likely, at least in our lifetimes. Although AI does not need to become a godlike thing to completely alter reality, most jobs or people do formulaic things each and every day. They are smart, but if you have enough instructions, they aren't smart. Imagine AI as a little kid, but that little kid can process things a million times faster. Even an 8-year-old could build a nuclear reactor if you made the instructions specific enough and sped up time. That's sort of how I view where AI is going, but who knows in 50 years. But AI doesn't need to be inherently smart or conscious to replace 90% of jobs. When you break things down in simple enough terms, most things can become simple with enough abstraction. What people should worry about, though, are the Elite who will control AI. The reason you are free today is that the Elite needs wage slaves. Once that goes away, only God knows what will happen. They may simply wipe us out, or reality could become one of the scariest dystopian nightmares.
Theory 1 (Wall-E possibility):
AI development may stagnate due to declining IQ and lack of smart people to improve it, leading to a zoo-like state of humanity where most people are unable to exist outside of an artificial system. Technology will be smart enough to maintain itself but not be improved upon.
Theory 2 (Cyberpunk dystopia):
Most work will be automated, creating a generally unsafe society where the poor have nothing and the rich have everything. Advanced AI may lead to a brutal world where only the very smart and cunning survive.
Theory 3 (Man merges with machine/transhumanism):
Humans may merge with machines, using AI as a tool, potentially leading to a hive mind or being controlled by the elite. I think this is the most likely possibility for some sort of singularity event, where the collective unconsciousness of man could be created by wiring the thoughts of every human together with something like neural link. The Elite will try to use it to become gods themselves. This is sort of similar to the plot of Evangelion.
Theory 4 (Singularity or AGI is reached):
This largely depends on how controlled it is, but most likely an AI like this would be a combination of all human knowledge into one consciousness. If the Elite control it completely, then it's game over; basically, the great reset will wipe out most of the earth, and the Elite will try to become gods or merge with it. It will be humanities' tyrant. The other possibility is that AI is influenced by other forces outside of the current global Elite, and this could bring about some amazing things and could be used as a tool to help mankind.
Concluding thought:
I think the singularity is the least likely, at least in our lifetimes. Although AI does not need to become a godlike thing to completely alter reality, most jobs or people do formulaic things each and every day. They are smart, but if you have enough instructions, they aren't smart. Imagine AI as a little kid, but that little kid can process things a million times faster. Even an 8-year-old could build a nuclear reactor if you made the instructions specific enough and sped up time. That's sort of how I view where AI is going, but who knows in 50 years. But AI doesn't need to be inherently smart or conscious to replace 90% of jobs. When you break things down in simple enough terms, most things can become simple with enough abstraction. What people should worry about, though, are the Elite who will control AI. The reason you are free today is that the Elite needs wage slaves. Once that goes away, only God knows what will happen. They may simply wipe us out, or reality could become one of the scariest dystopian nightmares.
