BERYL IS GONNA FUCKING MOG HARD

[Xangsane]

IT’S JOVA FOR CARRIBEANCELS

 

[Xangsane]

0

 

[Xangsane]

IT’S JOVA FOR CARRIBEANCELS

 

[Xangsane]

 

[Xangsane]

jova for barbadoscels

 

[Xangsane]

 

[Xangsane]

 

[Xangsane]

Key Factors Influencing Intensity​

1. 850 mb Zonal Wind Anomaly: Indicates low-level shear due to anomalously westerly winds. This could initially challenge development but is less impactful for a well-developed system like Beryl.
2. 200 mb Zonal Wind Anomaly: Shows anomalously easterly winds aloft, which favor lower shear and promote anticyclonic flow, aiding in outflow and reducing upper-level shear.
3. Deep Layer Wind Shear: Predicted to be low along Beryl's path, which is conducive for strengthening, especially with the unusually warm sea surface temperatures (SSTs).
4. Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs): Warm SSTs provide ample energy for intensification. Given the temperatures are above average, this will support Beryl’s strengthening.
5. 200 mb Wind Speed and Streamlines: Presence of an upper-level anticyclone (ULAC) providing favorable conditions for development.
6. Model Guidance and Intensity Projections:
   • GFDL SHiELD: Predicts significant strengthening with well-defined characteristics.
   • SHIPS Forecast: Indicates rapid intensification potential with increasing maximum wind speed.
   • HAFS-B Model: Shows a well-developed hurricane by July 1, 2024, with peak winds of 104 kt (120 mph).
   • Invest 95L Model Intensity Guidance: Various models predict reaching at least Category 3 strength, with potential for Category 4 intensity.

Peak Intensity Prediction for Beryl​

Considering all these factors and the model guidance, it is reasonable to expect Beryl to reach major hurricane status. Here’s the detailed prediction:

• Peak Intensity: 130 mph (210 km/h) (1-min), 935 mbar
  • Category: 4

Reasoning​

• Warm SSTs and High Ocean Heat Content: Provide significant energy for intensification.
• Low Wind Shear: Favorable conditions for maintaining and strengthening the system.
• Upper-Level Anticyclone: Supports good outflow and reduces upper-level shear, aiding in rapid intensification.
• Model Consensus: Strong agreement among various models for Beryl to reach Category 3 or higher, with some suggesting Category 4 intensity.

This analysis leads to the conclusion that Beryl is likely to become a powerful Category 4 hurricane, given the conducive environmental conditions and the robust model projections.

 

[Xangsane]

 

[panjeet currycel]

looks like fun i need a vacation anyway

 

[Xangsane]

looks like fun i need a vacation anyway

to where

 

[JohnDoe]

Where is the livestream? i want to watch caribbean BBCcels get lifted from the ground and up into foreverland

 

[panjeet currycel]

to where

haiti

 

[Xangsane]

Where is the livestream? i want to watch caribbean BBCcels get lifted from the ground and up into foreverland

*caribbean jews

haiti

Ok Beryl tell me how it goes

 

[panjeet currycel]

*caribbean jews

Ok Beryl tell me how it goes

m8 am strong made of bulsa wood

 

[JohnDoe]

Why did they call it berly? they should have called hurricane liftkanG
as in lifting kangz into the air

 

[Xangsane]

Why did they call it berly? they should have called hurricane liftkanG
as in lifting kangz into the air

bc beryl is a mogger name

m8 am strong made of bulsa wood

ok niger

 

[panjeet currycel]

bc beryl is a mogger name

ok niger

jeez whatd i do to deserve that one

 

[JohnDoe]

bc beryl is a mogger name

ok niger

queen beryl, slayer of caripeons

 

[Xangsane]

queen beryl, slayer of caripeons

Special Message from NHC​

Issued 28 Jun 2024 20:07 UTC​

NHC will initiate advisories on Tropical Depression Two, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean, at 500 PM AST (2100 UTC BERYL IS COMING TO MOG HOUSES IN THE CARIBBEAN

 

[JohnDoe]

​

Special Message from NHC​

Issued 28 Jun 2024 20:07 UTC​

NHC will initiate advisories on Tropical Depression Two, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean, at 500 PM AST (2100 UTC BERYL IS COMING TO MOG HOUSES IN THE CARIBBEAN

COOMFUEL, WHERE'S THE LIVESTREAM, MUST.WATCH.BERYL.DECIMATE.CARIBEANCELS

 

[Xangsane]

COOMFUEL, WHERE'S THE LIVESTREAM, MUST.WATCH.BERYL.DECIMATE.CARIBEANCELS

WTNT42 KNHC 282033
TCDAT2

Tropical Depression Two Discussion Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
500 PM AST Fri Jun 28 2024

The low pressure system that NHC has been monitoring over the
central tropical Atlantic has developed sufficiently organized deep
convection in bands around the center. In addition, visible
satellite images show that the circulation has tightened, and the
center now appears well-defined. Thus, a tropical depression has
formed, and the initial intensity is set at 30 kt based on the
latest Dvorak classifications. Development this far east in late
June is unusual, in fact, there have only been a few storms in
history that have formed over the central or eastern tropical
Atlantic this early in the year.

The depression is moving westward at 15 kt. A strong subtropical
ridge to the north of the system should keep it moving relatively
quickly westward to west-northwestward during the next few days.
The system might gain a little more latitude toward the end of the
forecast period when it nears a weakness in the subtropical ridge.
There is a fair amount of spread in the model guidance, especially
in the day 3-5 time frame, due to differences in the strength of the
ridge and the aforementioned weakness. The NHC track forecast lies
near the consensus aids and is slightly south of the middle of the
guidance envelope. Based on this forecast, the system is expected
to move across the Windward Islands Sunday night and Monday and
track across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea through the
middle of next week.

Typically, the atmospheric environment is unfavorable for
intensification in this portion of the Atlantic basin in late June.
However, the overall atmospheric and oceanic conditions appear
conducive for steady strengthening during the next few days.
Accordingly, the official forecast calls for strengthening and shows
the depression becoming a tropical storm tonight or early Saturday
and then a hurricane before it reaches the Windward Islands. It
should be noted that some of the model guidance is quite aggressive
and a fair amount are higher than the official forecast. For
example, the hurricane regional models show the system becoming a
major hurricane and the GFS model shows the system deepening below
970 mb prior to reaching the Windward Islands.

Key Messages:

1. Tropical Depression Two is expected to strengthen and be a
hurricane when it reaches the Windward Islands late Sunday night or
Monday, bringing a risk of heavy rainfall, hurricane-force winds,
and dangerous storm surge and waves.

2. Hurricane and Tropical Storm Watches will likely be required for
portions of the Windward and southern Leeward Islands later tonight
or early Saturday.

3. Interests in the central and western Caribbean should monitor the
progress of this system. Users are reminded that there is large
uncertainty at days 4 and 5 and to not focus on the specific
details of the track or intensity forecast.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 28/2100Z 9.1N 41.9W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 29/0600Z 9.4N 44.5W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 29/1800Z 10.1N 48.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 30/0600Z 10.7N 51.5W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 30/1800Z 11.3N 54.8W 65 KT 75 MPH
60H 01/0600Z 12.0N 58.2W 75 KT 85 MPH
72H 01/1800Z 13.0N 61.9W 85 KT 100 MPH
96H 02/1800Z 15.5N 69.2W 90 KT 105 MPH
120H 03/1800Z 17.5N 76.4W 80 KT 90 MPH

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

 

[JohnDoe]

WTNT42 KNHC 282033
TCDAT2

Tropical Depression Two Discussion Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
500 PM AST Fri Jun 28 2024

The low pressure system that NHC has been monitoring over the
central tropical Atlantic has developed sufficiently organized deep
convection in bands around the center. In addition, visible
satellite images show that the circulation has tightened, and the
center now appears well-defined. Thus, a tropical depression has
formed, and the initial intensity is set at 30 kt based on the
latest Dvorak classifications. Development this far east in late
June is unusual, in fact, there have only been a few storms in
history that have formed over the central or eastern tropical
Atlantic this early in the year.

The depression is moving westward at 15 kt. A strong subtropical
ridge to the north of the system should keep it moving relatively
quickly westward to west-northwestward during the next few days.
The system might gain a little more latitude toward the end of the
forecast period when it nears a weakness in the subtropical ridge.
There is a fair amount of spread in the model guidance, especially
in the day 3-5 time frame, due to differences in the strength of the
ridge and the aforementioned weakness. The NHC track forecast lies
near the consensus aids and is slightly south of the middle of the
guidance envelope. Based on this forecast, the system is expected
to move across the Windward Islands Sunday night and Monday and
track across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea through the
middle of next week.

Typically, the atmospheric environment is unfavorable for
intensification in this portion of the Atlantic basin in late June.
However, the overall atmospheric and oceanic conditions appear
conducive for steady strengthening during the next few days.
Accordingly, the official forecast calls for strengthening and shows
the depression becoming a tropical storm tonight or early Saturday
and then a hurricane before it reaches the Windward Islands. It
should be noted that some of the model guidance is quite aggressive
and a fair amount are higher than the official forecast. For
example, the hurricane regional models show the system becoming a
major hurricane and the GFS model shows the system deepening below
970 mb prior to reaching the Windward Islands.

Key Messages:

1. Tropical Depression Two is expected to strengthen and be a
hurricane when it reaches the Windward Islands late Sunday night or
Monday, bringing a risk of heavy rainfall, hurricane-force winds,
and dangerous storm surge and waves.

2. Hurricane and Tropical Storm Watches will likely be required for
portions of the Windward and southern Leeward Islands later tonight
or early Saturday.

3. Interests in the central and western Caribbean should monitor the
progress of this system. Users are reminded that there is large
uncertainty at days 4 and 5 and to not focus on the specific
details of the track or intensity forecast.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 28/2100Z 9.1N 41.9W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 29/0600Z 9.4N 44.5W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 29/1800Z 10.1N 48.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 30/0600Z 10.7N 51.5W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 30/1800Z 11.3N 54.8W 65 KT 75 MPH
60H 01/0600Z 12.0N 58.2W 75 KT 85 MPH
72H 01/1800Z 13.0N 61.9W 85 KT 100 MPH
96H 02/1800Z 15.5N 69.2W 90 KT 105 MPH
120H 03/1800Z 17.5N 76.4W 80 KT 90 MPH

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


View attachment 3003789View attachment 3003791View attachment 3003792

The great depression: beryl edition

 

[Xangsane]

The great depression: beryl edition

Predict beryl peak intensity

 

[JohnDoe]

Predict beryl peak intensity

peak intensity? isn't it this? 96H 02/1800Z 15.5N 69.2W 90 KT 105 MPH
105MPH, them caribbeancels are going to be flying left and right up and down, we need a livestream

 

[Xangsane]

peak intensity? isn't it this? 96H 02/1800Z 15.5N 69.2W 90 KT 105 MPH
105MPH, them caribbeancels are going to be flying left and right up and down, we need a livestream

gonna be stronger than that tbh

 

[JohnDoe]

gonna be stronger than that tbh

Very naice!

 

[Xangsane]

Very naice!

y

 

[Xangsane]

peak intensity? isn't it this? 96H 02/1800Z 15.5N 69.2W 90 KT 105 MPH
105MPH, them caribbeancels are going to be flying left and right up and down, we need a livestream

 

[JohnDoe]

View attachment 3003891

The great tropical depression
mirin that 120mph wind

 

[Xangsane]

The great tropical depression
mirin that 120mph wind

PSL of beryl?

 

[JohnDoe]

PSL of beryl?

6.4 PSL

 

[Xangsane]

6.4 PSL

y

 

[JohnDoe]

y

dunno

 

[Xangsane]

dunno

 

[Xangsane]

The great tropical depression
mirin that 120mph wind

Major through the caribbbean
Jova

 

[Xangsane]

peak intensity? isn't it this? 96H 02/1800Z 15.5N 69.2W 90 KT 105 MPH
105MPH, them caribbeancels are going to be flying left and right up and down, we need a livestream

JFLLLLLLLL

Hurricane Beryl	Satellite | Buoys | Grids | Storm Archive​
...BERYL IS NOW A HURRICANE AND FORECAST TO INTENSIFY QUICKLY... ...EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING WINDS AND STORM SURGE TO THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AS A MAJOR HURRICANE...

 

[JohnDoe]

I wanna go stand in the middle of beryl and go up in a whirl straight to God, i am tired of this life.

 

[Xangsane]

I wanna go stand in the middle of beryl and go up in a whirl straight to God, i am tired of this life.

bERyl is BBC only

 

[JohnDoe]

bERyl is BBC only

so what you're saying is that as a currycel beryl will not lift me up into gods kingdom? only bbccels will get that privilege? why...

 

[Xangsane]

so what you're saying is that as a currycel beryl will not lift me up into gods kingdom? only bbccels will get that privilege? why...

no she will spare the bbc

 

[Xangsane]

so what you're saying is that as a currycel beryl will not lift me up into gods kingdom? only bbccels will get that privilege? why...

Hurricane Beryl	Satellite | Buoys | Grids | Storm Archive​
...BERYL IS NOW A VERY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE... ...LIFE-THREATENING WINDS AND STORM SURGE EXPECTED IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS BEGINNING EARLY MONDAY... 8:00 AM AST Sun Jun 30 Location: 10.6°N 53.9°W Moving: W at 21 mph Min pressure: 968 mb Max sustained: 100 mph