Comprehensive Breakdown of 'Demographic Winter' (Important Thread)

[NuclearBrainReturns]

I will split this into sections so it is easier on the eyes.

STATISTICS
The population of Europe is ageing rapidly and the birth rate is very low. Europe has a lower birth rate than any other continent, although it has been an exception to the global trend of decline in fertility in recent years. Current birth rates are so low that each generation is smaller than the previous one. Much of Southern and Eastern Europe, as well as Austria, Germany and Russia (as also the developed nations of East Asia), have very low fertility rates, with the average birth rate standing at 1.5. For example, the fertility rate is 1.6 in Russia, 1.4 in Poland, and 1.2 in South Korea. Thirteen EU Member States have negative rates of natural change, with deaths outnumbering births the most in Bulgaria (-6.0 per 1 000 persons), Lithuania (-3.7), Romania (-3.5), Croatia and Latvia (both -3.4) and Hungary (-3.2). Projecting from the above, Europe’s share of the world’s population will shrink. In 2015, the EU-28 had 509.4 million inhabitants — that is, some 6.9% of the total world population, down from 13.5% in 1960 — and its share is projected to fall further to just 4.1% by the end of this century.

FUTURE PREDICTIONS
Are these concerns exaggerated? One has to notice that the EU-28 is still characterised by continuing population growth. The population of the EU-28 increased during 2016 by 1.5 million people, and it is projected that the number of Europeans will grow further in the next decades — from 506.3 million in 2015 to 539.8 million in 2050. Therefore, the ever more important challenges for Europe are considered to concern not absolute numbers, but rather Europe’s share in the global population, as well as the composition and, above all, the ageing of its population. At present, 25% of the European population is aged 60 years and older. In 2050, it will be 35%. The same process of population ageing will also affect other regions of the globe, but at a later point and at a much lower level. Africa, which has the youngest age distribution of all regions, is also projected to experience a rapid ageing of its population. The percentage of Africa’s population aged 60 or over is expected to rise from 5% in 2017 to around 9% in 2050, and to nearly 20% by the end of the 21st century.

SOCIO-ECONOMICAL IMPACT
Within the current political climate, we are seeing a rapid decline in trade and food stuffs around the world. Global prices of wheat and barley went up 31% over the past year. In February, food prices were at record high due to high demand, transportation costs & port disruptions. Volatile natural gas prices sent fertilizer prices soaring. All could lead millions more to face severe hunger. With severe hunger comes a desperate attempt to flee. Where are all these people going to flee to? It's an easy answer; Europe, Australia, Canada and the United States. Europe is going to get the brunt of it all due to its proximity to these - now - destitute nations in Africa and the Middle east. These people will need to be housed, fed, employed and have families of their own. This will indirectly change the demographics of Europe and change Europe's ethnicity percentages. This is not good for anyone. Ethnic conflict and a societal breakdown will come from this as it has already been unravelling itself over the past 10 - 20 years. By the year 2030 we are expected to have a million people every year fleeing the 3rd world and coming to Europe. This will make it even harder for European families to have children of their own and being able to find housing. The European governments will not have enough money in their coffers to cover the costs of pensions for all of the newly retired baby boomers whose age will be late 60s - mid 70s by that point. The older cohort of boomers are already retiring and that is causing enough trouble as it is.

CONCLUSION
By 2100, many European countries will become majority non-European. Africa and the Middle East will become wastelands, only used for manufacturing and extracting resources. China will have a monopoly on this in Africa as they have already established themselves in the continent (See: 'Empire Of Dust' Documentary: ). Younger Europeans now will not be getting a pension when they are old (2060-2100) and will be working into their graves. There may not be enough land for burials so your body may be turned into fertilizer to support the migrant populations. I think we may be past the point of no return and this is our fate. I don't see how anyone would be able to get us out of this without being JFK'd the moment he speaks up about it in a public forum in politics.

 

[TsarTsar444]

But migration also really doesn't make sense, sooner or later even if africans come to europe, in few gens they will also become liberal and not have children as much, so where will these africans (aka new europeans) then get their migrants from? This is like masking the symptoms and not really fixing the core problem which is capitalism/consumerism, loss of values and religion, belief in God etc. Solution is to simply erase every evidence of anything that came out of the age of reason and beyond, similar to what Nazis did to the jewish books in the Night of Knives

 

[AlexAP]

The soundtrack

 

[NuclearBrainReturns]

But migration also really doesn't make sense, sooner or later even if africans come to europe, in few gens they will also become liberal and not have children as much, so where will these africans (aka new europeans) then get their migrants from? This is like masking the symptoms and not really fixing the core problem which is capitalism/consumerism, loss of values and religion, belief in God etc. Solution is to simply erase every evidence of anything that came out of the age of reason and beyond, similar to what Nazis did to the jewish books in the Night of Knives

The reduction in birthrates only happens when the majority population still influences peoples choices. For example, in the UK today, 1st generation immigrants from the middle east generally have 4 children minimum. Then, those children grow up to have 2 children, then 3rd generation may stabilise at 2 children or maybe even 1. But that is because the host population still influences these people as they are integrated.

If you flood a country with people from non native areas, the native population will not have as much of an influence and so the country will change to reflect the values of the incomming population. Its all about numbers and how many come in a short period of time.

 

[Deleted member 7580]

Dn rd

What’s name of that tera Stacy in your avi ?

 

[NuclearBrainReturns]

Dn rd

What’s name of that tera Stacy in your avi ?

nadine

 

[TsarTsar444]

The reduction in birthrates only happens when the majority population still influences peoples choices. For example, in the UK today, 1st generation immigrants from the middle east generally have 4 children minimum. Then, those children grow up to have 2 children, then 3rd generation may stabilise at 2 children or maybe even 1. But that is because the host population still influences these people as they are integrated.

If you flood a country with people from non native areas, the native population will not have as much of an influence and so the country will change to reflect the values of the incomming population. Its all about numbers and how many come in a short period of time.

Not true even jn the slightest, ideas is what matters, you can never destroy ideas. During the 1800's the Europeans powers crushed the French revolution and did a whole revivial effort to shut of any semblance of enlightening thought, with the whole classicism and romanticism movements. But it simply didn't work out, cause alot of the people learnt about those values and it stuck with them.

This is a quite known sociological phenomenon, minorities are actually the ones that will resist those values the most effectively because of tribal allegiance and feeling threatened, once a minority becomes the majority they would greatly stop fearing the past majorities values and accept them themselves

This has happened with post Napoleonic period but an even greater example would be the Germanic migrations. When the Germans started massively flooding the decaying Roman Empire in a few centuries they completely sucked up to their values and ideals and tried to emulate them.

And even in 2022 this is happening in the middle east. You can comfortably go on the net and look up birth rates in countries like Tunisia, Algeria, Lebanon in 1980 and 2022, almost half of what they once were because of spread of western values