[Jova for Hawaii] GILMA IS EXPLODING AND MIGHT GO ER IN HAWAII AND SQUISHYLAND

Xangsane

Xangsane

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AYOOOO COME LOOK

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AT THIS LIL NIGGA NAMED "GILMA"

JJceARD
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NHC HAS THIS BITCH AT CATEGORY 1 (JFL SHE DOES NOT LOOK LIKE A CATEGORY 1, BUT BEST TRACK HAS HER AT A 2, AND MOGS CARLOTTA)

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BUT SHE'S ABOUT TO GO ER IN HAWAII (LOOK AT THAT SOUTHWARD TREND)

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WILL LIKELY KAKYOINMAXX

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AND MIGHT EVEN CROSS THE INTERNATIONAL DATE LINE TO VISIT SQUISHY SQUISHY

GFS turns this into a whole typhoon/hurricane around the IDL. Shows Gilma lingering for days and days

ALSO HURRICANE HONE(Y) IS COMING!

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ANTHEM FOR THIS THREAD:

 
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SHEEEEIT C4 PEAK NIGGA

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000
WTPZ42 KNHC 212039
TCDEP2

Hurricane Gilma Discussion Number 14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072024
200 PM PDT Wed Aug 21 2024

Gilma's satellite presentation has improved significantly over the
past three hours as a clear eye has appeared in visible imagery, and
the latest subjective Dvorak intensity estimates from TAFB and SAB
were both T5.0/90-kt. Using these estimates Gilma's initial
intensity is set to 90 kt for this advisory, which represents an
increase of 30-kt over the past 24 hours, meeting the criteria of
rapid intensification.

Gilma is moving more west-northwestward this afternoon, estimated at
285/6 kt. Over the next few days, a large subtropical ridge poleward
of the hurricane should continue to steer it generally westward to
west-northwestward. The latest track guidance has shifted slightly
poleward, reversing the trend of the previous few cycles, possibly
due to the more northern short-term motion as the hurricane's
inner-core has become established. The latest NHC track was shifted
slightly in that direction of the consensus track aids, blending
them with the prior track forecast.

Given the improvements to the inner core, Gilma is expected to
steadily strengthen over the next day. The NHC intensity forecast
now shows strengthening to a Category 4 hurricane in 24 h, which is
in agreement with the latest HCCA consensus aid and still slightly
below some of the hurricane-regional models (e.g. HAFS-A and
HAFS-B). After 48 h, sea-surface temperatures begin to gradually
decrease, and slow weakening is still expected to begin at that
time, though a little less than the previous advisory.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 21/2100Z 16.3N 123.2W 90 KT 105 MPH
12H 22/0600Z 16.6N 124.0W 105 KT 120 MPH
24H 22/1800Z 16.9N 125.2W 115 KT 130 MPH
36H 23/0600Z 17.1N 126.4W 110 KT 125 MPH
48H 23/1800Z 17.4N 127.8W 105 KT 120 MPH
60H 24/0600Z 17.6N 129.3W 100 KT 115 MPH
72H 24/1800Z 17.7N 131.0W 95 KT 110 MPH
96H 25/1800Z 18.0N 134.6W 85 KT 100 MPH
120H 26/1800Z 18.5N 138.6W 75 KT 85 MPH

$$
Forecaster Alaka/Papin
 
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Asian storms might mog
 

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