Making Money with USA Elections

[cobicado901]

Trump odds are inflated. You can open a position now in favor of Kamala and sell before 5Nov.

 

[JohnDoe]

Yep, open a position now on Kamala and on Election day the odds will flip, even if temporarily, and you can basically just arbitrage and come out in profit regardless of who wins.

 

[cobicado901]

Yep, open a position now on Kamala and on Election day the odds will flip, even if temporarily, and you can basically just arbitrage and come out in profit regardless of who wins.

Literally what i am saying. Too much liquidity on the Trump side when it doesnt make sense according to the polls,info,etc…

 

[JohnDoe]

I do actually think Trump will win, only because he supports Israel and jews will do anything they can to help him gain victory as Kamala is anti-jew.

 

[cobicado901]

I do actually think Trump will win, only because he supports Israel and jews will do anything they can to help him gain victory as Kamala is anti-jew.

Democratic Party is also very Pro-Israel.
But either way, this election is close to 50/50 and the odds are saying 60-65/35-40. Its easy money.

 

[JohnDoe]

Democratic Party is also very Pro-Israel.
But either way, this election is close to 50/50 and the odds are saying 60-65/35-40. Its easy money.

Of-course, both parties have always been Pro-Israel, the jews run the show in America, they don't really have a choice. Trump however is a massive jew bootlicker and Kamala on the surface atleast promises to restrict them in some way, by reducing aid or whatever other talking points she has. Really there is no winning for the American populace, the leaders will serve Israel before its citizens, they're fucked.

 

[oppastoppathe2nd]

Yep, open a position now on Kamala and on Election day the odds will flip, even if temporarily, and you can basically just arbitrage and come out in profit regardless of who wins.

@cobicado901 insanely high iq.

 

[JohnDoe]

insanely high iq

No it's common sense if you aren't 15 years old and were around during the past 2 elections and saw the odds and how it all played out

 

[cobicado901]

Of-course, both parties have always been Pro-Israel, the jews run the show in America, they don't really have a choice. Trump however is a massive jew bootlicker and Kamala on the surface atleast promises to restrict them in some way, by reducing aid or whatever other talking points she has. Really there is no winning for the American populace, the leaders will serve Israel before its citizens, they're fucked.

True. But on the other side, Trump also wants to maintain the reputation of “anti-wars” or that “he closes all the wars in the worlds” and he is the “peace king”.

Tbh I think that Israel-Palestine conflict will remain exactly the same even with Kamala “restrictions”

 

[gooner23]

Literally what i am saying. Too much liquidity on the Trump side when it doesnt make sense according to the polls,info,etc…

i mean a republican rarely ever wins the popular vote and usually wins through the electoral college, so "polls" are a bit misleading 538 has trump winning 54- 45

Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?

538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Kamala Harris’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

this is gonna be like way closer than bidens 90 - 10 2020 so its not really inflated i wouldn't even bother betting on it.

 

[cobicado901]

i mean a republican rarely ever wins the popular vote and usually wins through the electoral college, so "polls" are a bit misleading 538 has trump winning 54- 45

Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?

538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Kamala Harris’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

this is gonna be like way closer than bidens 90 - 10 2020 so its not really inflated i wouldn't even bother betting on it.

Ofc I know about that. Kamala Harris +4 or higher is what gives her the electoral college win.

But the liquidity on Trump is too heavy because of MAGA, Elon Musk on Twitter giving attention to Polymarket…

Its inflated, Trump has not a 62.5% probability to win the election and he will never have.

 

[gooner23]

Ofc I know about that. Kamala Harris +4 or higher is what gives her the electoral college win.

But the liquidity on Trump is too heavy because of MAGA, Elon Musk on Twitter giving attention to Polymarket…

Its inflated, Trump has not a 62.5% probability to win the election and he will never have.

i mean this speculation doesn't matter when kamala has equal endorsements, if you look at the swing states in the south it shows trump dominating and thats what's probably skewing it hard to trumps side, and its probably a combination of factors cause she was doing good at some point, but the scam call kamala scheme deadass ruining her chances literal constant news articles of people complaining about it

 

[Muttcel foid killer]

I do actually think Trump will win, only because he supports Israel and jews will do anything they can to help him gain victory as Kamala is anti-jew.

gonna have to disagree with you their although trump is pro pissrael so is kikemala and every other politician in the west

 

[cobicado901]

i mean this speculation doesn't matter when kamala has equal endorsements, if you look at the swing states in the south it shows trump dominating and thats what's probably skewing it hard to trumps side, and its probably a combination of factors cause she was doing good at some point, but the scam call kamala scheme deadass ruining her chances literal constant news articles of people complaining about it

still not 60+% imo. Yeah you can talk about the bad things Kamala has done and I can talk about the bad things Trump has done to prove our points but it doesnt really matter when the odds are based on liquidity and almost all the liquidity is controlled by Polymakert, Elon Musk, and MAGA crypto bros.

Also the party who wins Pennsylvania is the party who most likely will win and I dont believe its 60/40. All the polls are so close to 50/50. You can arbitrage this trust me

 

[gooner23]

still not 60+% imo. Yeah you can talk about the bad things Kamala has done and I can talk about the bad things Trump has done to prove our points but it doesnt really matter when the odds are based on liquidity and almost all the liquidity is controlled by Polymakert, Elon Musk, and MAGA crypto bros.

Also the party who wins Pennsylvania is the party who most likely will win and I dont believe its 60/40. All the polls are so close to 50/50. You can arbitrage this trust me

but you gotta compare what it looked like in 2020

Arizona : President: general election : 2020 Polls

The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

2020 United States presidential election in Arizona - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

biden was dominating but when it came time for the actual election he won arizona by .3%
if its equal there is a good chance that trump wins the state

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2020/pennsylvania/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election_in_Pennsylvania

4.6% - 1.17% when it came time to the actual results

 

[cobicado901]

but you gotta compare what it looked like in 2020

Arizona : President: general election : 2020 Polls

The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

2020 United States presidential election in Arizona - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

biden was dominating but when it came time for the actual election he won arizona by .3%
if its equal there is a good chance that trump wins the state

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2020/pennsylvania/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election_in_Pennsylvania

4.6% - 1.17% when it came time to the actual results

I tottally agree to what you're saying and Trump can win this election because the polls “do not favour him” but his odds will decrease from 63% to atleast 55% like 100%.

Anything above 60%+ is just too high and Im just saying that you can make money because of this margin (given by Polymarket trumpbros).

Again, Trump can be your favourite and I can agree but its just not those numbers.

 

[gooner23]

I tottally agree to what you're saying and Trump can win this election because the polls “do not favour him” but his odds will decrease from 63% to atleast 55% like 100%.

Anything above 60%+ is just too high and Im just saying that you can make money because of this margin (given by Polymarket trumpbros).

Again, Trump can be your favourite and I can agree but its just not those numbers.

can now bet on it in robhinhood

37 harris 63 trump rn

 

[cobicado901]

can now bet on it in robhinhood

37 harris 63 trump rn

the odds will be the same for every bookie (like a cartel lol) so people cant arbitrage between them

 

[Gargantuan]

Trump is going to win

 

[cobicado901]

Trump is going to win

Ok and?

 

[Gargantuan]

Ok and?

Put your money on Trump.

 

[Poopless One]

What stocks nigga?

 

[chudlite]

Trump odds are inflated. You can open a position now in favor of Kamala and sell before 5Nov.

on what site can you do this

 

[chudlite]

What stocks nigga?

nah he means market bets i think

 

[cobicado901]

@chudlite @gooner23 @Gargantuan
@JohnDoe

Kamala Harris on Betfair/Orbit/Piwi

34% to Win
+188
2.88

maybe I will open my position now… this is kinda insane. (I still think Trump is favourite but 66/67% appears to be exaggerated)

@gooner23 thoughts on probability now?

 

[gooner23]

@chudlite @gooner23 @Gargantuan
@JohnDoe

Kamala Harris on Betfair/Orbit/Piwi

34% to Win
+188
2.88

maybe I will open my position now… this is kinda insane. (I still think Trump is favourite but 66/67% appears to be exaggerated)

@gooner23 thoughts on probability now?

no idea all swing states are still showing them equal or slightly towards trump even with his recent comments but most of what he says was priced in like 4 years ago

 

[incel194012940]

real people dont vote for kamala

all matrix controlled NPCs ahahaha

 

[Lethbridge]

Thanks for putting me onto this, wish I listened sooner and put more in. How high do you expect Kamala’s odds to peak?

 

[cobicado901]

Thanks for putting me onto this, wish I listened sooner and put more in. How high do you expect Kamala’s odds to peak?

i think you are kinda late tbh

I put money when it was 2.88 and now its 2.52 (34% to 39%)

But there are other good methods to make money with this

@gooner23 if you want to see the update.

 

[Lethbridge]

i think you are kinda late tbh

I put money when it was 2.88 and now its 2.52 (34% to 39%)

But there are other good methods to make money with this

@gooner23 if you want to see the update.

I bought at 37.5 but only 100$ because of crypto transfer issues (this shit is NOT the future)

Hoping for an opportunity to add more but rn is not looking viable as you said.

When do you plan to sell?

 

[Lethbridge]

Appreciate the tip by the way @cobicado901, very much

 

[cobicado901]

When do you plan to sell?

Idk but before the election day, i will not wait for this bet result.

 

[Roge]

Got a 2.1x bet on trump, no way you are going to have 2x by doing all this garbage.

You are fighting for the pennies I'll drop on a commission fee after cashing out

 

[Roge]

Also hugely jfl If you think you are faster than arbitraging bots on poly.

Definitely on the spectrum

 

[Deleted member 101955]

Trump odds are inflated. You can open a position now in favor of Kamala and sell before 5Nov.

even tho i like trump i know damn well he isnt winning this election jfl. Nuremology is king

 

[Roge]

And after reading thread your operating amounts are just laughable, at this point go work fucking degenerate gambler

 

[cobicado901]

Also hugely jfl If you think you are faster than arbitraging bots on poly.

Definitely on the spectrum

I already did. Cry.

 

[Occultcel]

Democratic Party is also very Pro-Israel.
But either way, this election is close to 50/50 and the odds are saying 60-65/35-40. Its easy money.

The polls have a strong liberal bias. They are conducted by over educated liberal Kamala supporters. The Vegas odds are more in line with reality.

 

[looks>books]

Yep, open a position now on Kamala and on Election day the odds will flip, even if temporarily, and you can basically just arbitrage and come out in profit regardless of who wins.

Is it too late?

 

[JohnDoe]

Is it too late?

The odds are probably going to yo-yo through the next day or two, up to you. I'm leaning a kamala win now tbh.

 

[PrinceofDarkness]

Is it too late?

no you have until jan 2025 the day the winner is announced

 

[looks>books]

no you have until jan 2025 the day the winner is announced

No to do the method.

Voting ends today

 

[PrinceofDarkness]

perfect that their polling his states first. When her states get counted that’s key.

 

[PrinceofDarkness]

No to do the method.

Voting ends today

You can still do the method but it’s worthless. The payout will be in January if you didn’t cash out like early af or before the counting then it’s useless.

 

[Lethbridge]

went down like 1.5k but basically made it back on other markets after panic selling

sheesh