Thompsonz
- Joined
- Nov 30, 2023
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He's making a comeback
Kamala voters will be on suicide watch
Kamala voters will be on suicide watch
OldRooster
Get off my lawn!
- Joined
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The big day! I will be glued to my TV starting at probably 6PM Eastern Time, will be watching Prime TV Election special with a holographic projection of Brian Williams as the anchor. During the day I will be checking early results reported out of Florida, supposedly they will be an indication of size of the Trump vote, so I am told, a lot of BS is getting posted for clicks, hard to tell what reports are significant without being an election expert.
As I see it, Trump is a 75% favorite to win in 2024. My core analysis is based upon the fact he significantly outperformed the polls in both 2016 and 2020, especially in the critical states of PA,WI, and MI, I have seen no reason to believe the polling errors have been corrected. As can be seen from this table, he out performed in PA by 1.9% in 2020 and 2.4% in 2016, in WI by 5.7% in 2020 and 6.7% in 2016, in MI by 3.2% in 2020 and 3.7% in 2016. Even if the polling errors are cut by 70% he still wins easily. Also multiple credible reports of a 10%to 20% drop in the Black vote from 2020 (the year of St. George Floyd)
As I see it, Trump is a 75% favorite to win in 2024. My core analysis is based upon the fact he significantly outperformed the polls in both 2016 and 2020, especially in the critical states of PA,WI, and MI, I have seen no reason to believe the polling errors have been corrected. As can be seen from this table, he out performed in PA by 1.9% in 2020 and 2.4% in 2016, in WI by 5.7% in 2020 and 6.7% in 2016, in MI by 3.2% in 2020 and 3.7% in 2016. Even if the polling errors are cut by 70% he still wins easily. Also multiple credible reports of a 10%to 20% drop in the Black vote from 2020 (the year of St. George Floyd)
nathan
Kraken
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- Jul 3, 2023
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trump will win
thereallegend
Religion & Spirituality
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Good analysis.The big day! I will be glued to my TV starting at probably 6PM Eastern Time, will be watching Prime TV Election special with a holographic projection of Brian Williams as the anchor. During the day I will be checking early results reported out of Florida, supposedly they will be an indication of size of the Trump vote, so I am told, a lot of BS is getting posted for clicks, hard to tell what reports are significant without being an election expert.
As I see it, Trump is a 75% favorite to win in 2024. My core analysis is based upon the fact he significantly outperformed the polls in both 2016 and 2020, especially in the critical states of PA,WI, and MI, I have seen no reason to believe the polling errors have been corrected. As can be seen from this table, he out performed in PA by 1.9% in 2020 and 2.4% in 2016, in WI by 5.7% in 2020 and 6.7% in 2016, in MI by 3.2% in 2020 and 3.7% in 2016. Even if the polling errors are cut by 70% he still wins easily. Also multiple credible reports of a 10%to 20% drop in the Black vote from 2020 (the year of St. George Floyd)
PrinceLuenLeoncur
You are all mortal scum before fused Zamasu
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Good boy I’m glad I got you to join the one true church
looksmaxxed
Kraken
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whatever happens there will be violence. better take advantage of the chaos and collect some scalps
noobs
Kraken
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jews have already decided
