MaghrebGator
Kraken
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It has been made clear during the recent days and weeks that they are barely standing with their two feet inside their own domains
1-The retreat on Syria, their own US in Afghanistan 2020.
2-They went to Lybia with all what they had in Syria after the defeat, to support Haftar (Secular puppet of the UAE) in the eastern part of the country against the western part Turkey backed muslim brotherhood goverment, which seems a move that makes them shift away from the Iranians leaving them to their own luck and instead focusing into their relationship with the pro secular Gulf countries, UAE and Saudi, with whom they also have good relationships and trade. The fall of Assad seems to have reaffirmed this because documents that supposedly have been leaked showed Russian-Israeli agreements that focused into preventing more Iranian-Lebanese militias presence into Syria when Assad was in power, in exchange for the Israelis not attacking the former regime's air force (Which explains why the Israelis destroyed Syria's air force after Bashar's fall, clearly realizing that they didn’t have any Russian guarantees anymore). In definitive, the betrayal of their best ally, which also makes me think that they will abandon Yemen also which was perhaps the only point of contention between them and the UAE.
3- The completely unnecesary entrance of North Korean troops into battle inside Kursk (A region which hasn't been cleared from Ukranians invading troops for months now), which have already had confirmed casualties. Rumours say that they have send them into waves like in WW2, but i doubt these claims because the other side also plays propaganda like no one else. Anyways, this showcases something way more deep than "Muh we just are helping the Koreans develop their army". It's clear that Putin basically wants to mantain the current status quo of the average citizen in Russia (Living decently, not much poverty as in the past) to not turn public opinion against the war in Ukraine, while mantaining an image of "We are comfortably winning, sanctions are irrelevant, we don't need to call for mandatory mobilization for every man", and at the same time he needs soldiers, so that's how he is filling the gaps that are narrowing apart from a blind faith in the new US administration that i'm sure is watching all of that and planning how to prey upon the Russians when the time for an agreement comes and there is no going back for Russia because they have depleted all their plans just to mantain the status quo mentioned above
4-The Russian General assasinated in Russian soil the recent days
All of this has made pretty much evident and clear that Russia's playground is far, FAR AWAY from the US and China, and that they are actually fighting literally a cold proxy war against Turkey in several countries for the sake of the UAE mainly, and most importantly, without even any real idelogical motives that could motivate such efforts like it actually does occur with Turkey which is a country whose ruler and party have neo-ottoman goals both inside and outside their domains. They are dedicating completely unnecesary resources to fight proxy wars in Lybia and Sudan, all for the sake of the UAE (Which is ultimately a slave state of the US and Israel), and then they are mantaining some Sahara Africa regimes like Burkina Faso and Niger after supporting their coups, for the sake of hurting the US-France-NATO but with heavy contradictions amongst eachother, since they are countries which are still fighting everyday and with still a very unclear agenda after more than a year since they got in power. One guesses that they might be also planning handing them on a silver plate to the UAE.
I remember some months ago i made a thread speaking about how i was shocked while reading a chinese newspaper and realized how they treated their relationship with Russia with some disdain and even as if it was more like they were doing them a favour. I said that they did not look like allies, but more like a sort of conventional relationship. Now i understand why that was the case.
Conclusion: They need either a serious reset in their external policy by changing their allies for others of more use and benefit while leaving ideological biases which are irrelevant for their population aside, or accepting the abandonment of spending into countries which are tens of thousands of kilometers away and focus more into the ones that border them. Now many would say "Muh it's not that much about ideology as it is about resources" Blah blah blah, as if competent countries like Turkey wouldn't accept sharing the cake with the Russians in exchange of cooperation "B-b-b-but Turkey is in NATO" yeah and they also applied for BRICS and were rejected, and accepted keeping Russian bases in Syria, and sent trash to the Ukranians during the war for the sake of their relations with Russia, etc etc etc
1-The retreat on Syria, their own US in Afghanistan 2020.
2-They went to Lybia with all what they had in Syria after the defeat, to support Haftar (Secular puppet of the UAE) in the eastern part of the country against the western part Turkey backed muslim brotherhood goverment, which seems a move that makes them shift away from the Iranians leaving them to their own luck and instead focusing into their relationship with the pro secular Gulf countries, UAE and Saudi, with whom they also have good relationships and trade. The fall of Assad seems to have reaffirmed this because documents that supposedly have been leaked showed Russian-Israeli agreements that focused into preventing more Iranian-Lebanese militias presence into Syria when Assad was in power, in exchange for the Israelis not attacking the former regime's air force (Which explains why the Israelis destroyed Syria's air force after Bashar's fall, clearly realizing that they didn’t have any Russian guarantees anymore). In definitive, the betrayal of their best ally, which also makes me think that they will abandon Yemen also which was perhaps the only point of contention between them and the UAE.
3- The completely unnecesary entrance of North Korean troops into battle inside Kursk (A region which hasn't been cleared from Ukranians invading troops for months now), which have already had confirmed casualties. Rumours say that they have send them into waves like in WW2, but i doubt these claims because the other side also plays propaganda like no one else. Anyways, this showcases something way more deep than "Muh we just are helping the Koreans develop their army". It's clear that Putin basically wants to mantain the current status quo of the average citizen in Russia (Living decently, not much poverty as in the past) to not turn public opinion against the war in Ukraine, while mantaining an image of "We are comfortably winning, sanctions are irrelevant, we don't need to call for mandatory mobilization for every man", and at the same time he needs soldiers, so that's how he is filling the gaps that are narrowing apart from a blind faith in the new US administration that i'm sure is watching all of that and planning how to prey upon the Russians when the time for an agreement comes and there is no going back for Russia because they have depleted all their plans just to mantain the status quo mentioned above
4-The Russian General assasinated in Russian soil the recent days
All of this has made pretty much evident and clear that Russia's playground is far, FAR AWAY from the US and China, and that they are actually fighting literally a cold proxy war against Turkey in several countries for the sake of the UAE mainly, and most importantly, without even any real idelogical motives that could motivate such efforts like it actually does occur with Turkey which is a country whose ruler and party have neo-ottoman goals both inside and outside their domains. They are dedicating completely unnecesary resources to fight proxy wars in Lybia and Sudan, all for the sake of the UAE (Which is ultimately a slave state of the US and Israel), and then they are mantaining some Sahara Africa regimes like Burkina Faso and Niger after supporting their coups, for the sake of hurting the US-France-NATO but with heavy contradictions amongst eachother, since they are countries which are still fighting everyday and with still a very unclear agenda after more than a year since they got in power. One guesses that they might be also planning handing them on a silver plate to the UAE.
I remember some months ago i made a thread speaking about how i was shocked while reading a chinese newspaper and realized how they treated their relationship with Russia with some disdain and even as if it was more like they were doing them a favour. I said that they did not look like allies, but more like a sort of conventional relationship. Now i understand why that was the case.
Conclusion: They need either a serious reset in their external policy by changing their allies for others of more use and benefit while leaving ideological biases which are irrelevant for their population aside, or accepting the abandonment of spending into countries which are tens of thousands of kilometers away and focus more into the ones that border them. Now many would say "Muh it's not that much about ideology as it is about resources" Blah blah blah, as if competent countries like Turkey wouldn't accept sharing the cake with the Russians in exchange of cooperation "B-b-b-but Turkey is in NATO" yeah and they also applied for BRICS and were rejected, and accepted keeping Russian bases in Syria, and sent trash to the Ukranians during the war for the sake of their relations with Russia, etc etc etc
