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Magic
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I took this normie article and made my own TLDR version with PSL examples:
www.psychologytoday.com
Enjoy!
1. The Dunning-Kruger Effect
The more you know, the less confident you're likely to be, not out of lacking knowledge, but due to caution. Experts are aware of what they don't know, and are careful to not say anything they're not 100% sure of. On the other hand, if you know only a little about something, you see it simplistically – biasing you to believe that the concept is easier to comprehend than it may actually be.
So don't just blindly take advice from some greycels just because they sound very confident and firm with what they're saying. They likely don't know shit.
2. Confirmation Bias
We all favour ideas that confirm our existing beliefs. Likewise, when we conduct research, we all suffer from trying to find sources that justify what we believe about the subject. That is, we must overcome confirmation bias and consider both sides of the story. Remember, we are cognitively lazy – we don’t like changing how we think about things.
I guess this one is kind of obvious.
3. Self-Serving Bias
Ever got rejected by a girl because she was just not in the mood, or she had a boyfriend? Ever succeeded in your approach because of your good looks and low inhibition? Congratulations, you’ve engaged the self-serving bias! We attribute successes and positive outcomes to our doing, basking in our own glory when things go right; but, when we face failure and negative outcomes, we tend to attribute these events to other people or contextual factors outside ourselves.
4. The Curse of Knowledge and Hindsight Bias
Once you (truly) understand a new piece of information, that piece of information is now available to you and often becomes seemingly obvious. It might be easy to forget that there was ever a time you didn’t know this information and so, you assume that others, like yourself, also know this information: the Curse of Knowledge. However, it is often an unfair assumption that others share the same knowledge.
That's why we often find it hard to explain the blackpill to a normie. We get caught up in the middle of our argument because the normie doubts one of your premises and you don't even know how to begin to explain why that is true, you don't even understand how that would be a real question because it is so obvious to you.
The Hindsight Bias is similar to the Curse of Knowledge in that once we have information about an event, it then seems obvious that it was going to happen all along. I should have seen it coming!
I often ask myself how I couldn't figure out the blackpill earlier in life, because the true nature of humans is now comically crystal clear to me.
5. The Sunk Cost Fallacy
We generally believe that when we put something in, we should get something out – whether it’s effort, time or money. With that, sometimes we lose… and that’s it – we get nothing in return. A sunk cost refers to something lost that cannot be recovered. Our aversion to losing makes us irrationally cling to the idea of ‘regaining’, even though it has already been lost (known in gambling as chasing the pot ). The appropriate advice of cutting your losses is applicable here.
I think the blackpill does a really good job at eliminating this sort of cope from people's lives. It what is it, you lost it, it's over.
6. Negativity Bias
Negativity Bias is not totally separate from Pessimism Bias, but it is subtly and importantly distinct. In fact, it works according to similar mechanics as the Sunk Cost Fallacy in that it reflects our profound aversion to losing. We like to win, but we hate to lose even more. So, when we make a decision, we generally think in terms of outcomes – either positive or negative. The bias comes into play when we irrationally weigh the potential for a negative outcome as more important than that of the positive outcome.
The secret to low inhibition is getting around this tendency that we have.
7. The Backfire Effect
The Backfire Effect refers to the strengthening of a belief even after it has been challenged. In this case, one’s idea is being challenged or rejected and thus, they may hold on tighter to the idea than they had before. However, there are caveats to the Backfire Effect – for example, we also tend to abandon a belief if there's enough evidence against it with regard to specific facts.
You ever say something that you don't even feel that strongly about, but then someone who feels very strongly the other way disagrees with you in a rather aggressive way and then your opinion becomes much stronger as you engage in a discussion with them? Well, that is the reason.
8. The Forer Effect
The Forer Effect refers to the tendency for people to accept vague and general personality descriptions as uniquely applicable to themselves without realizing that the same description could be applied to just about everyone else. For example, when people read their horoscope, even vague, general information can seem like it’s advising something relevant and specific to them.
Everyone wants to be special, if you give them any reason to believe that they are, they'll take that label in a heartbeat.
12 Common Biases That Affect How We Make Everyday Decisions
Make sure that the decisions that matter are not made based on bias.
Enjoy!
1. The Dunning-Kruger Effect
The more you know, the less confident you're likely to be, not out of lacking knowledge, but due to caution. Experts are aware of what they don't know, and are careful to not say anything they're not 100% sure of. On the other hand, if you know only a little about something, you see it simplistically – biasing you to believe that the concept is easier to comprehend than it may actually be.
So don't just blindly take advice from some greycels just because they sound very confident and firm with what they're saying. They likely don't know shit.
2. Confirmation Bias
We all favour ideas that confirm our existing beliefs. Likewise, when we conduct research, we all suffer from trying to find sources that justify what we believe about the subject. That is, we must overcome confirmation bias and consider both sides of the story. Remember, we are cognitively lazy – we don’t like changing how we think about things.
I guess this one is kind of obvious.
3. Self-Serving Bias
Ever got rejected by a girl because she was just not in the mood, or she had a boyfriend? Ever succeeded in your approach because of your good looks and low inhibition? Congratulations, you’ve engaged the self-serving bias! We attribute successes and positive outcomes to our doing, basking in our own glory when things go right; but, when we face failure and negative outcomes, we tend to attribute these events to other people or contextual factors outside ourselves.
4. The Curse of Knowledge and Hindsight Bias
Once you (truly) understand a new piece of information, that piece of information is now available to you and often becomes seemingly obvious. It might be easy to forget that there was ever a time you didn’t know this information and so, you assume that others, like yourself, also know this information: the Curse of Knowledge. However, it is often an unfair assumption that others share the same knowledge.
That's why we often find it hard to explain the blackpill to a normie. We get caught up in the middle of our argument because the normie doubts one of your premises and you don't even know how to begin to explain why that is true, you don't even understand how that would be a real question because it is so obvious to you.
The Hindsight Bias is similar to the Curse of Knowledge in that once we have information about an event, it then seems obvious that it was going to happen all along. I should have seen it coming!
I often ask myself how I couldn't figure out the blackpill earlier in life, because the true nature of humans is now comically crystal clear to me.
5. The Sunk Cost Fallacy
We generally believe that when we put something in, we should get something out – whether it’s effort, time or money. With that, sometimes we lose… and that’s it – we get nothing in return. A sunk cost refers to something lost that cannot be recovered. Our aversion to losing makes us irrationally cling to the idea of ‘regaining’, even though it has already been lost (known in gambling as chasing the pot ). The appropriate advice of cutting your losses is applicable here.
I think the blackpill does a really good job at eliminating this sort of cope from people's lives. It what is it, you lost it, it's over.
6. Negativity Bias
Negativity Bias is not totally separate from Pessimism Bias, but it is subtly and importantly distinct. In fact, it works according to similar mechanics as the Sunk Cost Fallacy in that it reflects our profound aversion to losing. We like to win, but we hate to lose even more. So, when we make a decision, we generally think in terms of outcomes – either positive or negative. The bias comes into play when we irrationally weigh the potential for a negative outcome as more important than that of the positive outcome.
The secret to low inhibition is getting around this tendency that we have.
7. The Backfire Effect
The Backfire Effect refers to the strengthening of a belief even after it has been challenged. In this case, one’s idea is being challenged or rejected and thus, they may hold on tighter to the idea than they had before. However, there are caveats to the Backfire Effect – for example, we also tend to abandon a belief if there's enough evidence against it with regard to specific facts.
You ever say something that you don't even feel that strongly about, but then someone who feels very strongly the other way disagrees with you in a rather aggressive way and then your opinion becomes much stronger as you engage in a discussion with them? Well, that is the reason.
8. The Forer Effect
The Forer Effect refers to the tendency for people to accept vague and general personality descriptions as uniquely applicable to themselves without realizing that the same description could be applied to just about everyone else. For example, when people read their horoscope, even vague, general information can seem like it’s advising something relevant and specific to them.
Everyone wants to be special, if you give them any reason to believe that they are, they'll take that label in a heartbeat.
