2024 Election if only white people voted: Arizona

[james_2006]

Trump: 1,362,342 (58.9%)

Harris: 950,508 (41.1%)

Margin: Trump+17.8%

 

[james_2006]

bump

 

[ewri]

stop

 

[james_2006]

stop

what

 

[silently_said]

 

[ewri]

 

[OldRooster]

What States would Trump have lost the white vote? Very likely, VT, Maine, CT, MA, RI. Because New England is a bubble. Outside of New England, no other State is obviously a Trump white vote loss. Do you have similar maps for CA, WA, and OR?

eta: I think they only have such data for the 10 States they did exit polling in. So not CA WA or OR

 

[james_2006]

What States would Trump have lost the white vote? Very likely, VT, Maine, CT, MA, RI. Because New England is a bubble. Outside of New England, no other State is obviously a Trump white vote loss. Do you have similar maps for CA, WA, and OR?

eta: I think they only have such data for the 10 States they did exit polling in. So not CA WA or OR

He wins 38/50 states. The only states he loses are

Maine
New Hampshire
Vermont
Massachusetts
Rhode Island
Connecticut
Maryland
(Not a state but also DC)
Colorado
California
Oregon
Washington
Hawaii

Trump wins New York, Delaware, Illinois, Minnesota, and New Mexico all by under 5 points.

I’m going in alphabetical order I posted Arkansas and Cali will come out later today