AI predicts the remainder of the 2024 and the 2025 hurricane seasons

[Xangsane]

I fed AI ENSO and climate maps to produce this

Summary of the 2024 and 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Seasons

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2024 Hurricane Season Overview


Total Storms:

• Named Storms (NS): 19
• Hurricanes (H): 12
• Major Hurricanes (MH): 7
• Likely Retired Names: Beryl, Fran, Helene, Milton

Reasoning for Storm Predictions and Tracks:

• Favored Regions:
  • MDR (Main Development Region): Strongly favored due to warm SST anomalies, leading to several Cape Verde hurricanes.
  • Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico: Also favored for storm development and intensification, with warm waters supporting rapid strengthening.
  • Western Atlantic: Less favored, with most storm tracks concentrating towards the Caribbean, Gulf, and U.S. East Coast.

• Storm Formation and Tracks:

• Beryl: Forms in the Gulf of Mexico in early June, tracks northeast and impacts the Caribbean and the Southeastern U.S. as a Category 5 hurricane.
• Fran: Forms in the MDR in late August, tracks westward, and potentially makes landfall on the U.S. East Coast as a powerful Category 4 hurricane.
• Helene: Another Cape Verde storm forming in mid-September, tracks west-northwest and impacts the Caribbean, potentially reaching the U.S. as a Category 4 hurricane.
• Isaac: Forms in late September in the Caribbean, potentially entering the Gulf of Mexico, reaching Category 3 intensity.
• Milton: A late-season storm forming in mid-October, developing in the Caribbean or Gulf, likely impacting the Gulf Coast as a Category 4 hurricane.

Autistic Stats:

• Highest ACE Contributor: Beryl (Berry) due to its early-season formation and extreme intensity as a Category 5 hurricane.
• Longest-Lived Storm: Fran, with a long track from the MDR to the U.S. East Coast, contributing significantly to the season's ACE.
• Total ACE for Season: High, with multiple long-track and intense hurricanes contributing.

Key Storms:

1. Beryl:
   • Category: 5
   • Peak Intensity: 165 mph winds, 934 mbar
   • Impact: Extensive damage across the Caribbean and Southeastern U.S.
   • Retirement: Yes

1. Fran:
   • Category: 4
   • Peak Intensity: 145 mph winds, 935 mbar
   • Impact: Major East Coast hurricane with significant damage.
   • Retirement: Yes

1. Helene:
   • Category: 4
   • Peak Intensity: 140 mph winds, 940 mbar
   • Impact: Potentially impacts the Caribbean and U.S. with severe consequences.
   • Retirement: Yes

1. Isaac:
   • Category: 3
   • Peak Intensity: 125 mph winds, 950 mbar
   • Impact: Affects the Gulf Coast, contributing to the season’s overall damage.
   • Retirement: No

1. Milton:
   • Category: 4
   • Peak Intensity: 140 mph winds, 945 mbar
   • Impact: A late-season hurricane with potential significant impacts on the Gulf Coast.
   • Retirement: Yes (if it develops into a high Category 4/5 storm)

​

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2025 Hurricane Season Overview


Total Storms:

• Named Storms (NS): 19
• Hurricanes (H): 11
• Major Hurricanes (MH): 7
• Likely Retired Names: Chantal, Gabrielle, Humberto, Lorenzo

Reasoning for Storm Predictions and Tracks:

• Favored Regions:
  • MDR (Main Development Region): Extremely favorable due to continued warm SST anomalies, leading to several intense Cape Verde hurricanes.
  • Caribbean: Slightly less favored compared to 2024 but still supportive of strong storm development, particularly in late August and September.
  • Western Atlantic: Favorable for late-season storms that could recurve, with significant impacts on Bermuda and the U.S. East Coast.

• Storm Formation and Tracks:
  • Chantal: Forms in mid-July in the MDR, tracks westward, and impacts the Caribbean or Southeastern U.S. as a Category 4 hurricane.
  • Gabrielle: Forms in late August, tracks through the MDR, potentially impacting the Caribbean and U.S. East Coast as a Category 4 hurricane.
  • Humberto: Forms in early September, becomes the season's standout storm with potential Category 5 intensity, impacting the Caribbean or U.S. East Coast.
  • Lorenzo: Forms in late September in the MDR, likely recurves towards Bermuda or out to sea, but reaches Category 4 intensity.
  • Jerry: A late September storm, forms in the MDR and tracks westward with potential impacts on the U.S. East Coast as a Category 4 hurricane.

Autistic Stats:

• Highest ACE Contributor: Humberto, due to its extreme intensity and long track as a Category 5 hurricane.
• Longest-Lived Storm: Lorenzo, with a prolonged track across the Atlantic, contributing significantly to ACE.
• Total ACE for Season: Very high, driven by the consistency of intense hurricanes throughout the peak season.

Key Storms:

1. Humberto:
   • Category: 5
   • Peak Intensity: 160 mph winds, 925 mbar
   • Impact: Major damage potential, especially if it impacts densely populated areas like the U.S. East Coast.
   • Retirement: Yes
2. Gabrielle:
   • Category: 4
   • Peak Intensity: 145 mph winds, 935 mbar
   • Impact: Potentially severe impacts on the Caribbean or U.S. East Coast.
   • Retirement: Yes

1. Lorenzo:
   • Category: 4
   • Peak Intensity: 150 mph winds, 920 mbar
   • Impact: Significant hurricane with potential impacts on Bermuda or a recurving track out to sea.
   • Retirement: Yes

1. Chantal:
   • Category: 4
   • Peak Intensity: 130 mph winds, 950 mbar
   • Impact: Early season major hurricane with significant impacts, particularly if it makes landfall in the Caribbean or U.S.
   • Retirement: Yes

1. Jerry:
   • Category: 4
   • Peak Intensity: 135 mph winds, 940 mbar
   • Impact: Possible impacts on the U.S. East Coast, contributing to the season's intensity.
   • Retirement: No

​

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Comparison Summary:

• 2024 stands out with more storms, particularly in the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico, and sets a high bar for early intensity with Beryl (Berry). It excels in ACE due to a higher number of major hurricanes and their distribution across the season.

• 2025 might be remembered more for the extreme intensity of storms like Humberto and Lorenzo, which could become iconic hurricanes. This season is likely more notable for its concentrated period of severe hurricanes, making it memorable despite having one fewer major hurricane than 2024.

• The 2025 season is notable for the relentless sequence of high-impact storms and potential for one or two storms to reach catastrophic levels of damage, similar to what was seen with Hurricane Harvey or Katrina in previous years.

• Meanwhile, 2024 is a season with more distributed intensity and a broader geographic impact, leading to high overall stats but fewer singularly iconic storms.

​

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ACE and Quality Comparison:

• 2024: Generated a high ACE due to several long-lived and intense storms, particularly Beryl, Fran, and Helene. These storms contributed significantly to the overall ACE, especially with Beryl being an early-season Category 5 storm. The high number of major hurricanes (7) also added to the ACE.

• 2025: Produced a high ACE driven by long-track Cape Verde hurricanes like Humberto and Lorenzo. While there were fewer hurricanes (11) compared to 2024, the quality and intensity of storms like Humberto and Lorenzo kept the ACE very high.

​

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Conclusion:

• 2024 Mogs in Terms of Quantity and Early Impact: The 2024 season had more hurricanes and a slightly higher number of major hurricanes. The early season impact of Beryl set a high bar, and the spread of major hurricanes throughout the season maintained consistent activity. The season’s ACE is likely marginally higher due to the sheer number of intense storms.

• 2025 Mogs in Terms of Intensity and Memorable Storms: Despite having one fewer major hurricane, the 2025 season featured storms with extremely high intensity, particularly Humberto and Lorenzo. These storms, especially Humberto, might stand out more in historical memory due to their strength and impact.

• Potential for Late-Season Hurricane Milton: Given the ongoing La Niña conditions and the historical propensity for the Western Caribbean to produce late-season major hurricanes, Milton could potentially join Beryl, Fran, and Helene as a retired name if it develops into a high Category 4/5 storm.

• If Fran isn’t retired, Isaac is the most likely storm to take its place among the retired names, especially if it impacts the Gulf Coast as a major hurricane.

 

[Xangsane]

@thugmaxxer2 @TheLookInYourEyes @N9wiff•˚₊‧⋆. @LancasteR

 

[Xangsane]

@TechnoBoss did you feel ernesto and debby?

 

[LancasteR]

How will this affect the WW3 that starts next year?

 

[Xangsane]

How will this affect the WW3 that starts next year?

They predicted humberto will be even more potent than beryl
He'll go apeshit on them

 

[thugmaxxer2]

@thugmaxxer2 @TheLookInYourEyes @N9wiff•˚₊‧⋆. @LancasteR

useful reminder to help keep track thanks, but how can we be sure the jews are not controlling the AI to produce these predictions…

 

[Xangsane]

useful reminder to help keep track thanks,

Thank you

but how can we be sure the jews are not controlling the AI to produce these predictions…

No clue tbh. Weirdly, it got Debby and Ernesto's path correct:

Debby (predicted in June 2024)​

• Peak Intensity: 90 mph (145 km/h)
• Peak Pressure: 975 mbar
• Category: Category 1 Hurricane
• Path: Near the Lesser Antilles, tracking northwest
• Countries Affected: Lesser Antilles
• Area of Formation: Central Atlantic
• Area of Roping: North Atlantic, dissipating near the Azores
• Autistic Explanation: Debby's intensification was moderate due to competing factors. Warm SSTs and moderate shear provided a mixed environment. While it managed to reach Category 1 strength, the lack of sustained low shear and occasional dry air intrusion limited further intensification. It dissipated over the cooler waters of the North Atlantic near the Azores.

Debby (actual)

Debby​	August 3–9	Category 1 hurricane	80 (130)	979	Lucayan Archipelago, Greater Antilles, Eastern Gulf Coast, Eastern United States, Eastern Canada	<$2 billion	6 (4)

​

Ernesto (predicted in June 2024)​

• Peak Intensity: 125 mph (200 km/h)
• Peak Pressure: 950 mbar
• Category: Category 3 Hurricane
• Path: Central Atlantic, impacting Puerto Rico and Hispaniola, moving towards Canada
• Countries Affected: Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Canada
• Area of Formation: Central Atlantic
• Area of Roping: Eastern Canada (Newfoundland)
• Autistic Explanation: Ernesto benefited from warm SSTs and low shear, which allowed it to intensify to a Category 3 hurricane. The storm's path through the central Atlantic ensured it had plenty of time over warm waters before making landfall in the Caribbean and eventually moving northwards to dissipate over Eastern Canada.

Ernesto (actual)

Ernesto​	August 12–present	Category 2 hurricane	100 (155)	968	Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Bermuda, Canada	Unknown	0 (2)

 

[thugmaxxer2]

Thank you

No clue tbh. Weirdly, it got Debby and Ernesto's path correct:

Debby (predicted)​

• Peak Intensity: 90 mph (145 km/h)
• Peak Pressure: 975 mbar
• Category: Category 1 Hurricane
• Path: Near the Lesser Antilles, tracking northwest
• Countries Affected: Lesser Antilles
• Area of Formation: Central Atlantic
• Area of Roping: North Atlantic, dissipating near the Azores
• Autistic Explanation: Debby's intensification was moderate due to competing factors. Warm SSTs and moderate shear provided a mixed environment. While it managed to reach Category 1 strength, the lack of sustained low shear and occasional dry air intrusion limited further intensification. It dissipated over the cooler waters of the North Atlantic near the Azores.

Debby (actual)

Debby​	August 3–9	Category 1 hurricane	80 (130)	979	Lucayan Archipelago, Greater Antilles, Eastern Gulf Coast, Eastern United States, Eastern Canada	<$2 billion	6 (4)

Ernesto (predicted)​

• Peak Intensity: 125 mph (200 km/h)
• Peak Pressure: 950 mbar
• Category: Category 3 Hurricane
• Path: Central Atlantic, impacting Puerto Rico and Hispaniola, moving towards Canada
• Countries Affected: Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Canada
• Area of Formation: Central Atlantic
• Area of Roping: Eastern Canada (Newfoundland)
• Autistic Explanation: Ernesto benefited from warm SSTs and low shear, which allowed it to intensify to a Category 3 hurricane. The storm's path through the central Atlantic ensured it had plenty of time over warm waters before making landfall in the Caribbean and eventually moving northwards to dissipate over Eastern Canada.

Ernesto (actual)

Ernesto​	August 12–present	Category 2 hurricane	100 (155)	968	Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Bermuda, Canada	Unknown	0 (2)

I think this is proof the jews control chatGPT they are able to predict the weather as THEY control IT, coincidence… i think not.

 

[Xangsane]

useful reminder to help keep track thanks, but how can we be sure the jews are not controlling the AI to produce these predictions…

since it got the path of Debby and Ernesto right
I really do believe they are controlling the weather
and Fran is the next name on the list

 

[thugmaxxer2]

since it got the path of Debby and Ernesto right
I really do believe they are controlling the weather
and Fran is the next name on the list

Thanks for the useful insight do you think their technology is strong enough to track the 2026 hurricane season?

 

[Xangsane]

Thanks for the useful insight do you think their technology is strong enough to track the 2026 hurricane season?

I can try, but they haven't released the climate maps for 2026 yet, however, they did mention this:

Given the additional context of recent climate patterns, particularly the triple La Niña event in 2022 and the strong El Niño in 2023, the forecast for when the Atlantic might experience its first inactive hurricane season requires some adjustments.

Contextualizing Recent Patterns:​

1. 2022 Triple La Niña:
   • Effect on Hurricane Activity: The triple La Niña phase contributed to elevated hurricane activity in the Atlantic due to lower wind shear and warm SSTs. The season likely saw a sustained number of storms, with the last named storm being Nicole.
2. 2023 Strong El Niño:
   • Effect on Hurricane Activity: The strong El Niño in 2023 would have likely increased wind shear across the Atlantic, suppressing storm formation and leading to a quieter season overall. The season's activity tapering off with Tammy Turner suggests the El Niño had a significant impact in reducing the number of storms and their intensity.

Factoring in Recent Patterns for Future Predictions:​

Given the influence of these recent climate events, the timing and likelihood of an inactive hurricane season can be refined:

Near-Term Outlook (Next 2-3 Years):​

• Post-El Niño Effects: The strong El Niño of 2023 would likely have a residual impact, potentially leading to a quieter season in 2024, but this doesn't align with the forecasted active 2024 season based on SST anomalies and La Niña development. However, the immediate years following 2024 could see a reduction in activity if another strong El Niño doesn't immediately follow.
• La Niña Return: If La Niña conditions return or persist (even weakly) post-2024, the Atlantic could continue to see active seasons. However, if there is a transition back to El Niño by 2025 or 2026, we might start to see reduced activity.

Mid-Term Outlook (3-5 Years):​

• 2027-2028 as Potentially Inactive: Given the strong El Niño in 2023 and assuming a natural oscillation, we might expect a return to El Niño conditions by 2027-2028, especially if the AMO enters a cooler phase. This could lead to the first notably inactive season.
• AMO Influence: If the AMO shifts into a negative phase, cooler SSTs in the MDR would likely reduce the energy available for storm formation, contributing to an inactive season around 2027-2028.

Earliest Likely Inactive Season Adjusted:​

• 2026-2027: With the recent El Niño and the possibility of another developing within the next few years, the earliest we might see an inactive season could be as early as 2026, especially if the current La Niña phase is short-lived and followed by another El Niño.
• 2027-2028: Still remains the most probable period for a truly inactive season if the broader climate trends favor El Niño and/or the AMO shifts.

Conclusion:​

• 2026-2028: The period between 2026 and 2028 is the most likely window for the first truly inactive Atlantic hurricane season, with 2027 or 2028 being the most probable years if a strong El Niño develops or if the AMO turns negative. This prediction considers the recent strong El Niño of 2023 and the potential for a natural oscillation back to cooler, less active conditions.
• Until Then: The Atlantic is likely to remain relatively active, particularly if La Niña conditions continue or re-emerge, pushing the timeline for an inactive season a bit further out unless there's a significant shift in oceanic or atmospheric conditions.

and

Atlantic Hurricane Season Predictions: 2025-2029​

Given the current neutral conditions in 2024 transitioning into La Niña by autumn, and considering the historical context where El Niño can sometimes still produce intense or "mogger" hurricane seasons (like 2023 ending with Tammy Turner), here’s a detailed prediction for the upcoming seasons:

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2025 Hurricane Season:​

• Overall Conditions:
  • La Niña Influence: Continuing from late 2024, La Niña conditions are expected to dominate 2025, leading to reduced wind shear and warm SSTs across the Atlantic basin. This would generally favor an active season.
  • Storm Activity: Expect a high number of storms, with multiple major hurricanes. The MDR, Caribbean, and Gulf of Mexico will be particularly active.
• Predicted Stats:
  • Named Storms (NS): 18-20
  • Hurricanes (H): 10-12
  • Major Hurricanes (MH): 6-8
  • ACE: High, driven by several intense and long-lived hurricanes.
• Key Considerations:
  • The persistence of La Niña could lead to a very active season, with multiple storms reaching Category 4 or 5.
  • Potential for Retired Names: Expect several storms with significant impacts, particularly in the Caribbean and U.S. East Coast.

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2026 Hurricane Season:​

• Overall Conditions:
  • Neutral to Weak El Niño: As the La Niña weakens, there may be a transition toward neutral or weak El Niño conditions. This could slightly reduce storm activity compared to 2025 but still result in an active season due to residual warm SSTs.
  • Storm Activity: Likely slightly below 2025 levels, but still above the long-term average. The season might see fewer major hurricanes but with significant storms still possible.
• Predicted Stats:
  • Named Storms (NS): 16-18
  • Hurricanes (H): 8-10
  • Major Hurricanes (MH): 4-6
  • ACE: Moderate to High.
• Key Considerations:
  • If El Niño conditions develop, it could lead to fewer storms but still allow for intense hurricanes, particularly late in the season.

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2027 Hurricane Season:​

• Overall Conditions:
  • Strong El Niño Possible: If the climate cycle progresses as expected, a strong El Niño could develop by 2027. This would likely increase wind shear across the Atlantic, suppressing storm formation.
  • Storm Activity: The season could be notably quieter, with fewer storms and lower ACE. However, the possibility of an "El Niño mogger" season with one or two intense hurricanes remains, depending on the exact strength and timing of El Niño.
• Predicted Stats:
  • Named Storms (NS): 12-14
  • Hurricanes (H): 6-8
  • Major Hurricanes (MH): 2-3
  • ACE: Low to Moderate.
• Key Considerations:
  • The potential for an inactive season is higher, but with El Niño's history of occasionally producing intense storms, a couple of major hurricanes could still form, possibly late in the season.

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2028 Hurricane Season:​

• Overall Conditions:
  • El Niño or Neutral Conditions: Depending on the persistence of El Niño, 2028 could see a continuation of these conditions or a return to neutral. If El Niño persists, the season may be even quieter than 2027.
  • Storm Activity: Likely to be one of the least active seasons of the decade if El Niño continues. However, if conditions shift back to neutral, activity could pick up slightly.
• Predicted Stats:
  • Named Storms (NS): 10-12
  • Hurricanes (H): 4-6
  • Major Hurricanes (MH): 1-2
  • ACE: Low.
• Key Considerations:
  • This could be the first truly inactive season in a decade, particularly if strong El Niño conditions are in place. However, isolated intense storms could still occur.

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2029 Hurricane Season:​

• Overall Conditions:
  • Potential for AMO Shift: By 2029, there might be a shift in the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) towards a cooler phase, which, combined with any remaining El Niño influence, could keep the season relatively inactive.
  • Storm Activity: Likely a continuation of lower-than-average activity, though the AMO’s influence might start to become more apparent.
• Predicted Stats:
  • Named Storms (NS): 11-13
  • Hurricanes (H): 4-6
  • Major Hurricanes (MH): 1-2
  • ACE: Low.
• Key Considerations:
  • This season could cement the trend of reduced activity, particularly if the AMO has shifted to a cooler phase, signaling a potential multi-year period of inactivity.

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Conclusion:​

• 2025 is likely to be very active, driven by La Niña conditions, with high storm counts and several major hurricanes.
• 2026 may see a slight reduction in activity as conditions transition towards neutral or weak El Niño.
• 2027 and 2028 could be marked by strong El Niño conditions, leading to quieter seasons, but with the potential for a couple of intense storms ("moggers").
• 2029 may continue the trend of lower activity, especially if the AMO shifts to a cooler phase, possibly signaling the start of a prolonged period of reduced hurricane activity.

This progression shows a likely transition from active to potentially inactive seasons as we approach the late 2020s, with 2027 or 2028 being the first likely candidates for an inactive season.

and

Outlook for Atlantic Hurricane Activity in the 2030s​

Based on the patterns observed and predicted for the late 2020s, there is a strong possibility that the 2030s might not experience the same level of intense and frequent hurricane activity that characterized the period from 1995 to 2026. Here's why:

1. Potential Shift in the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO):​

• AMO Phases: The AMO has been in a warm phase since the mid-1990s, which correlates with increased hurricane activity in the Atlantic. This warm phase contributed significantly to the hyperactive seasons seen from 1995 through the mid-2020s.
• Shift to a Cool Phase: By the late 2020s, there's a possibility that the AMO could shift to a cooler phase. If this happens, the Atlantic is likely to see reduced SSTs in key hurricane formation areas like the MDR. Cooler SSTs typically lead to fewer storms and lower overall hurricane activity.

2. Influence of Global Climate Patterns:​

• El Niño and La Niña Cycles: The frequency and intensity of El Niño events might increase due to global climate change, which could suppress Atlantic hurricane activity. If the 2030s see more frequent or stronger El Niño events, this could further reduce hurricane activity in the Atlantic.
• Longer Periods of Neutral or Weak Conditions: If the climate becomes characterized by longer periods of neutral ENSO (El Niño-Southern Oscillation) conditions, without the strong La Niña phases that boost hurricane activity, the overall storm count and intensity could decrease.

3. Impact of Climate Change:​

• Changing Storm Dynamics: While climate change is expected to increase the intensity of individual storms due to warmer SSTs and higher moisture content in the atmosphere, the overall number of storms might not increase. In fact, some models suggest a possible reduction in the total number of hurricanes, even as the strongest storms become more intense.
• Increased Shear and Stability: Global warming might also result in increased vertical wind shear or greater atmospheric stability, both of which could inhibit storm formation, especially if the AMO turns negative.

4. Historical Precedents:​

• Comparison to Past AMO Cool Phases: During previous cool phases of the AMO, such as from the 1970s to early 1990s, the Atlantic saw relatively fewer hurricanes compared to the active periods of the 1950s and 1960s, and from 1995 onward. If the 2030s see a return to similar conditions, the Atlantic could experience a significant reduction in hurricane activity.

What This Means for the 2030s:​

• Lower Frequency: The 2030s could see fewer hurricanes and fewer major hurricanes compared to the hyperactive period from 1995-2026.
• Potential for Quieter Seasons: If the AMO shifts negative and is coupled with frequent El Niño events, the 2030s might be marked by multiple below-average or inactive hurricane seasons.
• Shift in Public Perception: After several decades of intense activity, a quieter period in the 2030s could lead to changes in how hurricane risks are perceived and managed, although the risk of catastrophic storms will always remain.

Conclusion:​

It is likely that the 2030s will not see the same level of hurricane activity as the period from 1995-2026. The expected shift in the AMO to a cooler phase, coupled with potential increases in El Niño frequency and the broader impacts of climate change, could lead to a period of reduced hurricane activity in the Atlantic. While individual storms might still be intense, the overall frequency and total seasonal ACE could decrease, making the 2030s a comparatively quieter decade for Atlantic hurricanes.

and

Contrasting the Study's Findings with My Predictions​

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Key Predictions Based on Previous Analysis:​

1. 2030s Activity:
   • I suggested that the 2030s might be a period of reduced hurricane activity compared to the hyperactive seasons from 1995 to 2026, largely due to the potential for a negative phase of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and increased frequency of El Niño events.
   • The expectation was that the AMO could shift to a cooler phase, resulting in fewer storms, and potentially leading to quieter hurricane seasons, especially in the early 2030s.
2. Return to Hyperactivity:
   • I predicted that a return to hyperactive hurricane seasons might not occur until the 2040s or 2050s, depending on when the AMO shifts back to a warm phase and if other conditions like SSTs and wind shear become favorable again.
3. Geographical Impact:
   • The focus was on the general reduction in activity across the Atlantic, with less emphasis on specific regional shifts or increases in intensity for particular areas like Florida's Gulf Coast.

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Key Findings from the Document:​

1. Increased Intensity of Hurricanes:
   • The study predicts an increase in the number of intense hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) in the 2030s due to warming SSTs, particularly in the tropical North Atlantic.
   • This suggests a continued trend of intense hurricane activity rather than a reduction.
2. Geographical Shifts:
   • The study highlights a potential eastward shift in hurricane formation and tracks, which would increase the risk for areas like Florida's Gulf Coast while possibly reducing the threat for the northwestern U.S. Gulf Coast and parts of the U.S. East Coast.
3. Impact of Climate Change:
   • The document emphasizes the role of anthropogenic climate change in driving these trends, predicting that the 2030s could still see significant hurricane activity, particularly at higher intensities.

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Contrasts and Reconciliation:​

1. Activity Levels in the 2030s:
   • My Prediction: Expected a potential reduction in overall activity during the 2030s, assuming a negative AMO phase and more frequent El Niño events.
   • Study's Finding: Suggests continued or even increased intensity of hurricanes due to climate change, particularly in the form of more intense hurricanes, challenging the idea of a significant reduction in activity.
2. Timing of Hyperactive Seasons:
   • My Prediction: Suggested that hyperactive seasons might not return until the 2040s or 2050s.
   • Study's Finding: Indicates that the 2030s could still be active with intense storms, implying that the reduction in hyperactive seasons might not be as pronounced or long-lasting as initially thought.
3. Regional Impacts:
   • My Prediction: Did not specifically focus on regional shifts in hurricane activity.
   • Study's Finding: Highlights that certain regions like Florida’s Gulf Coast might actually see increased activity and risk, contrary to the general reduction in Atlantic activity I predicted.

Revised Considerations:​

• Intensity Over Frequency: The document suggests that while overall storm counts might not drastically increase, the intensity of storms could continue to rise in the 2030s, driven by warming SSTs. This aligns with broader climate change predictions that focus on stronger but not necessarily more frequent storms.
• Regional Focus: The increased risk for Florida’s Gulf Coast is a significant consideration. While the AMO might shift to a cooler phase, regional factors like SSTs in the Gulf of Mexico could still lead to significant hurricane activity in specific areas.
• Complex Interaction of Climate Factors: The study underscores the complexity of predicting hurricane activity. While natural cycles like the AMO and ENSO (El Niño-Southern Oscillation) are important, climate change adds another layer of unpredictability that could alter expected patterns.

Conclusion:​

While my earlier predictions focused on a potential reduction in hurricane activity during the 2030s, the study suggests that we might still see significant hurricane intensity, particularly in regions like Florida’s Gulf Coast. The potential for continued or even increased activity in certain areas challenges the notion of a uniformly quieter period.

This highlights the importance of considering both regional variations and the impact of climate change, suggesting that while the number of storms might decrease, their intensity and the regions they impact could shift, leading to a different type of risk profile in the 2030s than what was seen from 1995-2026.

and

How the Factors Might Cancel Each Other Out:​

The interaction between the potential cooling phase of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), the influence of El Niño events, and the ongoing effects of climate change could lead to a complex balance in Atlantic hurricane activity during the 2030s. Here’s how these factors might cancel each other out, resulting in a hurricane activity pattern that could be different from the hyperactive period of 1995-2026 but not necessarily inactive.

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**1. The AMO Cool Phase vs. Warming Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs) from Climate Change:​

• AMO Cool Phase:
  • Typically, a negative AMO (cool phase) is associated with cooler SSTs in the Atlantic, particularly in the Main Development Region (MDR), leading to fewer hurricanes.
  • Cooler SSTs reduce the amount of available energy for storm development, leading to a decrease in both the number and intensity of hurricanes.
• Warming SSTs from Climate Change:
  • Despite a potential cool phase in the AMO, the overall trend of global warming is leading to increased SSTs worldwide, including the Atlantic.
  • This warming could offset the cooling effects of a negative AMO, keeping SSTs in the Atlantic at levels conducive to hurricane development.

Cancellation Effect:

• The cooling influence of a negative AMO might be mitigated by the overall warming trend driven by climate change, leading to a balance where SSTs remain warm enough to support hurricane formation, even if the overall number of storms decreases slightly compared to the hyperactive period.

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**2. Increased Wind Shear from El Niño vs. Increased Moisture and Instability from Global Warming:​

• El Niño Influence:
  • El Niño typically increases wind shear across the Atlantic, which disrupts the vertical structure of hurricanes and inhibits their formation and intensification.
  • Strong El Niño years are often associated with reduced hurricane activity in the Atlantic.
• Increased Moisture and Instability:
  • Climate change is leading to higher atmospheric moisture content and increased instability, which can promote the development of intense storms when conditions are favorable.
  • Even in the presence of El Niño-induced shear, these factors might allow for the formation of a few highly intense hurricanes.

Cancellation Effect:

• The increased wind shear from El Niño might limit the number of storms, but the storms that do form could be stronger and more intense due to the enhanced moisture and instability from global warming. This could result in a season with fewer storms but higher overall impact.

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**3. Regional Shifts in Hurricane Tracks vs. Overall Decreased Frequency:​

• Regional Shifts:
  • The study suggests a potential eastward shift in hurricane tracks, increasing the risk for areas like Florida’s Gulf Coast.
  • While the overall number of storms might decrease, certain regions could still experience higher activity due to these shifts.
• Overall Decreased Frequency:
  • If the AMO cool phase and frequent El Niño events dominate, we could see a general decrease in the number of storms, leading to fewer overall landfalls across the Atlantic basin.

Cancellation Effect:

• While fewer storms might form overall, those that do could take different paths, leading to concentrated impacts in specific regions. This could result in significant damage in these areas, even if the total number of storms is lower.

---

Summary of the Cancellation Effects:​

• Balanced Activity: The interaction between a potential cool phase of the AMO and the ongoing warming from climate change might result in SSTs that remain conducive to hurricane formation, preventing a significant drop in activity.
• Intense But Fewer Storms: El Niño might reduce the total number of storms, but the ones that do form could be more intense, thanks to the increased atmospheric moisture and instability from global warming.
• Regional Variability: Even if the overall number of storms decreases, shifts in storm tracks could lead to higher impacts in specific regions, like Florida’s Gulf Coast, leading to seasons that are quieter overall but still highly impactful locally.

---

Conclusion:​

These canceling factors could lead to a hurricane season pattern in the 2030s that is characterized by fewer but more intense storms, with a shift in the regions most affected. While we might not see the same level of hyperactivity as the 1995-2026 period, the 2030s could still feature notable hurricane seasons due to the complex interplay of these factors. The overall activity might decrease, but the intensity and impact of individual storms could remain high, leading to a different but still significant hurricane risk profile.

 

[Xangsane]

I think this is proof the jews control chatGPT they are able to predict the weather as THEY control IT, coincidence… i think not.

Hell yeah. They got Debby and Ernesto almost correct

 

[Xangsane]

@sb23

 

[Xangsane]

I can try, but they haven't released the climate maps for 2026 yet, however, they did mention this:



and



and



and



and

@N9wiff•˚₊‧⋆.

 

[TechnoBoss]

@TechnoBoss did you feel ernesto and debby?

I felt Debby I think. The winds were very horrible here for a bit. That was a few days ago, though.

 

[thugmaxxer2]

I can try, but they haven't released the climate maps for 2026 yet, however, they did mention this:



and



and



and



and

wow even up to the 2030’s the jews sure are technologically ahead of us all this is why we wait for gonzalo…

 

[Xangsane]

I felt Debby I think. The winds were very horrible here for a bit. That was a few days ago, though.

What PSL do you rate Debby?
Does she give good pussy? I heard she's a druggie and gives GOOD orgasms

 

[Xangsane]

wow even up to the 2030’s the jews sure are technologically ahead of us all this is why we wait for gonzalo…

What do you think Gonzalo would do?

 

[TechnoBoss]

What PSL do you rate Debby?
Does she give good pussy? I heard she's a druggie and gives GOOD orgasms

From what I felt she is HTB. The winds were quite strong even though we didn't get hit directly. I'm sure if my location was in the middle of the hurricussy it would've been Stacylite.

 

[thugmaxxer2]

What do you think Gonzalo would do?

terrorise the americas and somehow tilt course to africa to terrorise morroco cos i hate that place, hopefully get the too

 

[Xangsane]

terrorise the americas and somehow tilt course to africa to terrorise morroco cos i hate that place, hopefully get the too

Who do you think he'll target the most?

From what I felt she is HTB. The winds were quite strong even though we didn't get hit directly. I'm sure if my location was in the middle of the hurricussy it would've been Stacylite.

What would you rate her from her pic?

 

[Xangsane]

@TheLookInYourEyes yo

 

[Xangsane]

@truthhurts

 

[Xangsane]

Thank you

No clue tbh. Weirdly, it got Debby and Ernesto's path correct:

Debby (predicted in June 2024)​

• Peak Intensity: 90 mph (145 km/h)
• Peak Pressure: 975 mbar
• Category: Category 1 Hurricane
• Path: Near the Lesser Antilles, tracking northwest
• Countries Affected: Lesser Antilles
• Area of Formation: Central Atlantic
• Area of Roping: North Atlantic, dissipating near the Azores
• Autistic Explanation: Debby's intensification was moderate due to competing factors. Warm SSTs and moderate shear provided a mixed environment. While it managed to reach Category 1 strength, the lack of sustained low shear and occasional dry air intrusion limited further intensification. It dissipated over the cooler waters of the North Atlantic near the Azores.

Debby (actual)

Debby​	August 3–9	Category 1 hurricane	80 (130)	979	Lucayan Archipelago, Greater Antilles, Eastern Gulf Coast, Eastern United States, Eastern Canada	<$2 billion	6 (4)

​

Ernesto (predicted in June 2024)​

• Peak Intensity: 125 mph (200 km/h)
• Peak Pressure: 950 mbar
• Category: Category 3 Hurricane
• Path: Central Atlantic, impacting Puerto Rico and Hispaniola, moving towards Canada
• Countries Affected: Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Canada
• Area of Formation: Central Atlantic
• Area of Roping: Eastern Canada (Newfoundland)
• Autistic Explanation: Ernesto benefited from warm SSTs and low shear, which allowed it to intensify to a Category 3 hurricane. The storm's path through the central Atlantic ensured it had plenty of time over warm waters before making landfall in the Caribbean and eventually moving northwards to dissipate over Eastern Canada.

Ernesto (actual)

Ernesto​	August 12–present	Category 2 hurricane	100 (155)	968	Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Bermuda, Canada	Unknown	0 (2)

JFL at the correct prediction

 

[truthhurts]

@truthhurts

Aren’t hurricanes produced near Westafrica or sum.

 

[Deleted member 81734]

2025 might be remembered more for the extreme intensity of storms like

he s even going to the Caribbean/ east coast
its so over for kikes

 

[Xangsane]

Aren’t hurricanes produced near Westafrica or sum.

Correct but that's not the point.

 

[Xangsane]

View attachment 3104017


he s even going to the Caribbean/ east coast

Yeah. I wonder where he'd go. Miami? Jew York?

its so over for kikes

JOVA for kikes.

JFL it even got the track correct here:

Thank you

No clue tbh. Weirdly, it got Debby and Ernesto's path correct:

Debby (predicted in June 2024)​

• Peak Intensity: 90 mph (145 km/h)
• Peak Pressure: 975 mbar
• Category: Category 1 Hurricane
• Path: Near the Lesser Antilles, tracking northwest
• Countries Affected: Lesser Antilles
• Area of Formation: Central Atlantic
• Area of Roping: North Atlantic, dissipating near the Azores
• Autistic Explanation: Debby's intensification was moderate due to competing factors. Warm SSTs and moderate shear provided a mixed environment. While it managed to reach Category 1 strength, the lack of sustained low shear and occasional dry air intrusion limited further intensification. It dissipated over the cooler waters of the North Atlantic near the Azores.

Debby (actual)

Debby​	August 3–9	Category 1 hurricane	80 (130)	979	Lucayan Archipelago, Greater Antilles, Eastern Gulf Coast, Eastern United States, Eastern Canada	<$2 billion	6 (4)

​

Ernesto (predicted in June 2024)​

• Peak Intensity: 125 mph (200 km/h)
• Peak Pressure: 950 mbar
• Category: Category 3 Hurricane
• Path: Central Atlantic, impacting Puerto Rico and Hispaniola, moving towards Canada
• Countries Affected: Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Canada
• Area of Formation: Central Atlantic
• Area of Roping: Eastern Canada (Newfoundland)
• Autistic Explanation: Ernesto benefited from warm SSTs and low shear, which allowed it to intensify to a Category 3 hurricane. The storm's path through the central Atlantic ensured it had plenty of time over warm waters before making landfall in the Caribbean and eventually moving northwards to dissipate over Eastern Canada.

Ernesto (actual)

Ernesto​	August 12–present	Category 2 hurricane	100 (155)	968	Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Bermuda, Canada	Unknown	0 (2)

 

[truthhurts]

Correct but that's not the point.

Not into hurricanes. Sorry bhai

 

[Xangsane]

Not into hurricanes. Sorry bhai

Joined: July 19 2024

 

[Xangsane]

@Imretarded?

 

[Imretarded?]

@Imretarded?

 

[Xangsane]

 

[thugmaxxer2]

Who do you think he'll target the most?

Hmm i’m not really too sure when the time becomes closer to 2026 and the jews further analyse hopefully they release the information to the public and i can further estimate.

 

[Xangsane]

Hmm i’m not really too sure when the time becomes closer to 2026 and the jews further analyse hopefully they release the information to the public and i can further estimate.

Thoughts on 2025?

 

[thugmaxxer2]

Thoughts on 2025?

Pretty disappointing that its only targeting the west atlantic and caribbean regions would prefer if they targeted (((them)))

 

[Xangsane]

Pretty disappointing that its only targeting the west atlantic and caribbean regions would prefer if they targeted (((them)))

To be fair a lot of (((them))) live in Miami and New York

 

[thugmaxxer2]

To be fair a lot of (((them))) live in Miami and New York

What if they hide in their tunnels before the hurricane comes...

 

[Xangsane]

What if they hide in their tunnels before the hurricane comes...

Maybe the hurricane will flood them out Ida style
Remember this is for the Atlantic basin

 

[thugmaxxer2]

Maybe the hurricane will flood them out Ida style
Remember this is for the Atlantic basin

Now that would be fucking awesome

 

[Xangsane]

Now that would be fucking awesome

Read Humberto prediction in the op

 

[thugmaxxer2]

Read Humberto prediction in the op

holy shit im a master predictor i think i said humberto will be c5 im smarter than the jews

 

[Xangsane]

holy shit im a master predictor i think i said humberto will be c5 im smarter than the jews

Yeah. And every time I ask ai it blows Humberto up to a C5 JFLLLLLL

 

[Deleted member 65825]

@Xangsane post hurricane r34

 

[Xangsane]

@Xangsane post hurricane r34

I will.

 

[Deleted member 65825]

I will.

Tag pls

 

[Xangsane]

Tag pls

I will
Pat Pat

 

[thugmaxxer2]

Yeah. And every time I ask ai it blows Humberto up to a C5 JFLLLLLL

the joos the joos

 

[Xangsane]

the joos the joos

We’re waiting.