Deleted member 1973
pastebin.com/Tb8AYcyk
- Joined
- Jun 8, 2019
- Posts
- 5,826
- Reputation
- 6,886
Follow along with the video below to see how to install our site as a web app on your home screen.
Note: this_feature_currently_requires_accessing_site_using_safari
You didn't even watch the video which explained how the polls were right last year and right this one as well did you?Im not american and dont care about the election very much but the polls seem to be totally out of kilter with every other data set. if i cared enough to analyse the situation i would literally disregard polls. every other metric seems good for trump but as i say i havent looked into it enough to know for sure
Hmm I'm not sure it matters who wins. Until the Jews are kicked out of USA and Israel is pulled off the tit, we will have the same rulers since 1913.
This the man who calls you an incel and says "I'm what you guys call chad" on reddit:> Vaush
la goblinaThis the man who calls you an incel and says "I'm what you guys call chad" on reddit:
View attachment 730511
Can't believe he had the audacity to make a video about how to get laid.
No. as i said i dont care. i dont think polls predicting an underwhelming democrat surge in a midterm really matters when vbm, registration data, campaign spending, primary turnout and enthusiasm all suggest trump is probably going to win a host of states the much less reliable polls have him significantly down in. all of those indicators have historically been more reliable than polls.You didn't even watch the video which explained how the polls were right last year and right this one as well did you?
No. as i said i dont care. i dont think polls predicting an underwhelming democrat surge in a midterm really matters when vbm, registration data, campaign spending, primary turnout and enthusiasm all suggest trump is probably going to win a host of states the much less reliable polls have him significantly down in. all of those indicators have historically been more reliable than polls.
How were they right? Serious questionYou didn't even watch the video which explained how the polls were right last year and right this one as well did you?
Watch. The. Video.How were they right? Serious question
ive seen no evidence dems have high enthusiasm levels. Biden events are badly attended, and actual numbers (not polls) from vbm in most polls dont even show a clear dem advantage in early voting. moreover, biden needs progressives to vote for him to win. the polls are factoring in a surge in the youth vote. progressives, didnt vote for sanders, which is why biden is even the candidate. why would progressives and young people who didnt turn out to vote for sanders turn out to vote for biden, who hates them and treats them like shit. as ive said every metric other than polling points to a trump victory. not certain, but its leaning that wayNah man. Trump is losing this shit. Democrat are voting like their life depends on it. One reason why Biden Number is skyrocketing like shit.. Week ago Biden Number where at 16+... At that time Hillary clinton was winning Trump only 4+. The other problem is that Trump is not outsider anymore. He has been president for 4 years. He cannot lie anymore and Biden is not as hated as Hillary clinton.
Copeive seen no evidence dems have high enthusiasm levels. Biden events are badly attended, and actual numbers (not polls) from vbm in most polls dont even show a clear dem advantage in early voting. moreover, biden needs progressives to vote for him to win. the polls are factoring in a surge in the youth vote. progressives, didnt vote for sanders, which is why biden is even the candidate. why would progressives and young people who didnt turn out to vote for sanders turn out to vote for biden, who hates them and treats them like shit. as ive said every metric other than polling points to a trump victory. not certain, but its leaning that way
as ive said I have no vested interest. if you get your understanding of the political situation purely or even primarily from american polls you are, undeniably, bluepilled.Cope
Lol at thinking anybody’s gonna watch a 30 minute videoWatch. The. Video.
ive seen no evidence dems have high enthusiasm levels. Biden events are badly attended, and actual numbers (not polls) from vbm in most polls dont even show a clear dem advantage in early voting. moreover, biden needs progressives to vote for him to win. the polls are factoring in a surge in the youth vote. progressives, didnt vote for sanders, which is why biden is even the candidate. why would progressives and young people who didnt turn out to vote for sanders turn out to vote for biden, who hates them and treats them like shit. as ive said every metric other than polling points to a trump victory. not certain, but its leaning that way
everything youve said here is based on polling. yes a record number of people have already voted (due to coronavirus) but if you look at the registrations of requested ballots and estimate the number of returned ballot by registration (ie estimating from past performance, surveys etc the number of ballots returned by registration) then the democrats barely have a lead in most battleground states in this early voting. if they dont get a massive lead with early voting (which it looks like they havent/arent doing) they are likely going to lose.Then you havent take research.. More than 10m people have already voted which is record high.. Dems have more to lose if they lose this race. The other problems is that Rust belt manufacturing has been recession even before Covid...Coal industry is also gone. Trump only won the race because he won the rust belt and he did not managed fix the problems he promised to fix. If Biden wins Florida the race will end.
Here is other reasons.
- National Lead: At this point in 2016, Clinton's lead over Trump was just 6 pts, at only 46%. Biden is up over the highly desired 50% mark at 52% compared to 42% for Trump
- White & Non-College Whites: Biden has eaten a massive amount into Trump's hold with white voters (Trump won whites by 18 pts in 2016, now he's up only 2 pts) & non-college whites (Trump won by 30 pts in 2016, now down to 18 pts)
- Ohio and Iowa: Trump blew out Clinton and won these by 8 & 9 pts respectively in 2016, Biden is now leading 1 & 2 pts respectively, a huge shift
- Favorability: Clinton was a very disliked candidate, at only 42% favorable and a whopping 53% unfavorable. It's completely shifted: Biden is well liked at 53% favorable vs 41% unfavorable
- Honesty/Trustworthiness: Where Clinton and Trump's trustworthiness among likely voters was at 41% & 45% respectively, Biden and Trump are at 58% & 33%, another huge difference
- Trust to handle nation's biggest problem: Republicans were more trusted to handle the country's problems by 4 pts, 42% to 38% for Dems in 2016, while now it's shifted to 47% for Dems & 39% for Reps
The only reason she even had supporters was because she's a female. She just lost, because she is a terrible person, that is incredibly incompetent and a chronic liarbecause Hillary was female
As ive said things like registration, vbm numbers and visible enthusiasm as well as primary numbers are far more reliable than polls at pretty much every election, and they are by and large falling in favour of trump. as far as im aware this is further supported by biden moving his money out of states he would be campaigning in if his internal data suggested he was on course for a landslide.Then you havent take research.. More than 10m people have already voted which is record high.. Dems have more to lose if they lose this race. The other problems is that Rust belt manufacturing has been recession even before Covid...Coal industry is also gone. Trump only won the race because he won the rust belt and he did not managed fix the problems he promised to fix. If Biden wins Florida the race will end.
Here is other reasons.
- National Lead: At this point in 2016, Clinton's lead over Trump was just 6 pts, at only 46%. Biden is up over the highly desired 50% mark at 52% compared to 42% for Trump
- White & Non-College Whites: Biden has eaten a massive amount into Trump's hold with white voters (Trump won whites by 18 pts in 2016, now he's up only 2 pts) & non-college whites (Trump won by 30 pts in 2016, now down to 18 pts)
- Ohio and Iowa: Trump blew out Clinton and won these by 8 & 9 pts respectively in 2016, Biden is now leading 1 & 2 pts respectively, a huge shift
- Favorability: Clinton was a very disliked candidate, at only 42% favorable and a whopping 53% unfavorable. It's completely shifted: Biden is well liked at 53% favorable vs 41% unfavorable
- Honesty/Trustworthiness: Where Clinton and Trump's trustworthiness among likely voters was at 41% & 45% respectively, Biden and Trump are at 58% & 33%, another huge difference
- Trust to handle nation's biggest problem: Republicans were more trusted to handle the country's problems by 4 pts, 42% to 38% for Dems in 2016, while now it's shifted to 47% for Dems & 39% for Reps
Copeas ive said I have no vested interest. if you get your understanding of the political situation purely or even primarily from american polls you are, undeniably, bluepilled.
O v e rThen you havent take research.. More than 10m people have already voted which is record high.. Dems have more to lose if they lose this race. The other problems is that Rust belt manufacturing has been recession even before Covid...Coal industry is also gone. Trump only won the race because he won the rust belt and he did not managed fix the problems he promised to fix. If Biden wins Florida the race will end.
Here is other reasons.
- National Lead: At this point in 2016, Clinton's lead over Trump was just 6 pts, at only 46%. Biden is up over the highly desired 50% mark at 52% compared to 42% for Trump
- White & Non-College Whites: Biden has eaten a massive amount into Trump's hold with white voters (Trump won whites by 18 pts in 2016, now he's up only 2 pts) & non-college whites (Trump won by 30 pts in 2016, now down to 18 pts)
- Ohio and Iowa: Trump blew out Clinton and won these by 8 & 9 pts respectively in 2016, Biden is now leading 1 & 2 pts respectively, a huge shift
- Favorability: Clinton was a very disliked candidate, at only 42% favorable and a whopping 53% unfavorable. It's completely shifted: Biden is well liked at 53% favorable vs 41% unfavorable
- Honesty/Trustworthiness: Where Clinton and Trump's trustworthiness among likely voters was at 41% & 45% respectively, Biden and Trump are at 58% & 33%, another huge difference
- Trust to handle nation's biggest problem: Republicans were more trusted to handle the country's problems by 4 pts, 42% to 38% for Dems in 2016, while now it's shifted to 47% for Dems & 39% for Reps
everything youve said here is based on polling. yes a record number of people have already voted (due to coronavirus) but if you look at the registrations of requested ballots and estimate the number of returned ballot by registration (ie estimating from past performance, surveys etc the number of ballots returned by registration) then the democrats barely have a lead in most battleground states in this early voting. if they dont get a massive lead with early voting (which it looks like they havent/arent doing) they are likely going to lose.
Biden is more conservative and racist than trump tbhView attachment 730678
Please daddy government take all of my hard earned money to give it to broke hoes so they can be sexually liberated by white chads constantly and raise their subhuman criminal kids on their own
Only if biden promised free subsidised nintendo switches for everyone but noone is perfect
if i was a american of euroean descent i would legitimately be very worried about the impact a biden win would have on my quality of life and status in society. theyre going to try to take everything from you lot. if they succeed it will have a profound impact on your quality of life. you already pay for everyone else and suffer from affirmative action.Meh cant trust polls homie + presidents always have an advantage in reelection.
Whi cares you'll still be an incel tbh unless the president will make laws to finance our surgeries idgaf
democrats are supposed to be in the lead for vbm. they must be shitting themselves at the numbers coming out of wi and mi. independents in nc lean heavily republican, even more so than the rest of the country. trump will undoubtedly win nc ia and oh. probably win fl and az and hes looking pretty good to win at least one rust belt state. if you think this is o v e r youre either a doomer or an idiotIn both North Carolina and Florida, registered Democrats have cast more ballots than registered Republicans so far. In North Carolina, independent voters have also cast more early ballots than registered Republicans. if Biden wins florida alone. The game is over for Trump.
democrats are supposed to be in the lead for vbm. they must be shitting themselves at the numbers coming out of wi and mi. independents in nc lean heavily republican, even more so than the rest of the country. trump will undoubtedly win nc ia and oh. probably win fl and az and hes looking pretty good to win at least one rust belt state. if you think this is o v e r youre either a doomer or an idiot
Fake news, Trump banned Epstein, what prosecution there was kept fishing for Trump and at best they could only get victims to say Trump helped them lolJFL if you support either of these geriatric elitist pedophiles.
JFL at taking the polls at face valueNah man. Trump is losing this shit. Democrat are voting like their life depends on it. One reason why Biden Number is skyrocketing like shit.. Week ago Biden Number where at 16+... At that time Hillary clinton was winning Trump only 4+. The other problem is that Trump is not outsider anymore. He has been president for 4 years. He cannot lie anymore and Biden is not as hated as Hillary clinton.
Why does Biden have supporters then? He’s not female?The only reason she even had supporters was because she's a female. She just lost, because she is a terrible person, that is incredibly incompetent and a chronic liar
if i was a american of euroean descent i would legitimately be very worried about the impact a biden win would have on my quality of life and status in society. theyre going to try to take everything from you lot. if they succeed it will have a profound impact on your quality of life. you already pay for everyone else and suffer from affirmative action.
lol @ you for thinking trump cares about your subhuman ass.Fake news, Trump banned Epstein, what prosecution there was kept fishing for Trump and at best they could only get victims to say Trump helped them lol
"they" successfully gaslighted you