D
Deleted member 26859
Greatest Blackpill Philosopher of Our Time
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All GDP is not created equal... while it's usually a measure of output for most economies, it's an input for China. The government sets targets and then uses debt to spend on as much as it needs to reach that growth target. So it isn't actually growing on it's own, they are forcing the numbers up to an insane degree just to keep things afloat. Now, a lot of governments use debt to boost their economy. The problem is with the way China does it - they spend the money on the supply-side, not the demand side.To put it simply - much of the growth from that GDP doesn't go to the people. It goes to unproductive assets and oversupply of goods. The people aren't feeling hardly any of that 5-6% you speak of, but it allows people to go on youtube and say "Look! It's growing at 5-6%!"...while much of the country suffers.
China growth isnt going to be 5 to 6%, but just 3% or below by the end of this decade. For a developing country, growth below 5% is already recession as the economy is still in dire need of more advanced services and wherewithals to weather (particularly China in this case) their inevitable aging and geographic disparities. Not to mention that all China statistics released by their stability obsessed statistical bureau must be taken with a grain of salt, the growth commands greater scrutiny. And most importantly, given China's towering debt, slower growth means China can't grow its way out of debt, at a much much lower GDP and wealth per capita in Western countries with your so-called "Great Recession". Once you are already rich and developed, slow pace is affordable. But if you are insanely aging and still poor, growth still matters a lot.
its actually over.
china is finished.
China growth isnt going to be 5 to 6%, but just 3% or below by the end of this decade. For a developing country, growth below 5% is already recession as the economy is still in dire need of more advanced services and wherewithals to weather (particularly China in this case) their inevitable aging and geographic disparities. Not to mention that all China statistics released by their stability obsessed statistical bureau must be taken with a grain of salt, the growth commands greater scrutiny. And most importantly, given China's towering debt, slower growth means China can't grow its way out of debt, at a much much lower GDP and wealth per capita in Western countries with your so-called "Great Recession". Once you are already rich and developed, slow pace is affordable. But if you are insanely aging and still poor, growth still matters a lot.
its actually over.
china is finished.