DEBBY IS HERE TO SPREAD HER LEGS! DEBBY HAS ARRIVED!

Afbeelding 2024 08 03 013920722
 
Black

I don't know, just a sexy name tbh, exotic sounding

Fernando ( Barbara )

Fish and weed

Kanye is mentally deranged

Chadlite bones but not appealmaxxed

still can slay due to status so Low CL appeal

Big black hurrican, Humberto is givving of BBC vibes rn
Jfl at debby and Ernesto
I’m more worried about ernesto tho
They are predicting he’s a Harvey reincarnate
 
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Jfl at debby and Ernesto
I’m more worried about ernesto tho
They are predicting he’s a Harvey reincarnate
How do I start learning about hurricanes?
 
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@DalitBoss @heightmaxxing @Darkeningstar


 
  • JFL
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Sheeeeit look at deb deb go
 
MUH state of emergency
1722705091882
 
antic - Caribbean Sea - Gulf of Mexico​
Tropical Weather Outlook (en Español)
200 PM EDT Sat Aug 3 2024​
Tropical Weather Discussion
1805 UTC Sat Aug 3 2024​
TC Type Image
Tropical Storm Debby RSS Feed icon
...DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM DEBBY OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO... ...HURRICANE WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA...

5:00 PM EDT Sat Aug 3
Location: 23.9°N 83.2°W
Moving: NW at 15 mph
Min pressure: 1007 mb
Max sustained: 40 mph
Public
Advisory
#6

500 PM EDT
Forecast
Advisory
#6

2100 UTC
Forecast
Discussion
#5

1100 AM EDT
Wind Speed
Probabilities
#6

2100 UTC
US Watch/
Warning

140 PM EDT
Productos en español:
(más información)
Aviso
Publico
Pronóstico
Discusión
 
https://image.cnbcfm.com/api/v1/ima...rm-ian.jpeg?v=1664182804&w=929&h=523&vtcrop=y

Btw, this is what Ian looked like 3 days before it hit Ft Myers. Reminscent of Debby given a healthy overall cyclonic "skeleton" was present but there was still not a heck-ton of inner core convection. I'm going to be very interested to see how Debby performs over the bathwater Gulf with 30-32 C waters and nearly 5 knots of shear.

Ian definitely proves how, given the right conditions, an anemic skeleton storm can turn into a beast. But Debby will have only half as much time as Ian at most, so the ceiling should be a lot lower despite the 32C SSTs and possibly great UL environment.
 
no shear 32 degrees JFL
1722726185391
 
I'm starting to think that we could see an "surprise" major hurricane like Idalia and Michael...
:double:


Not Michael. Almost no chance. It would be too far NE in the Gulf for that, too early and MJO is edge of Phase 1. There’s enough support to assume pressure will drop all the way to landfall, but there isn’t anything saying it could get past Cat 2 in the Gulf. JMO, and I do expect it to bring a solid punch. But north of Tampa and east of Apalachicola is really tough to get anything super strong. There’s always a first time as we all know but Big Bend isn’t a hotspot. Record is 3 Cat 3’s ever - 1896 Cedar Key, 1950 Easy and Idalia last year

I understand MJO as far as the ability for tropical systems to develop. But once the core is made it is the up to the surrounding environment as to what it does. Going off of past years has kind of lost its edge. We aren't in Kansas anymore.


No I got you. 2020’s are a brave new world. But here’s the thing. It’s never a given or certainty, but if MJO is in Phase 2 or Phase 3 and there is developing storm between 85-95W, those are the ones that hit hardest. Joe B mentioned that a month or two ago. Like literally almost every major hit on the US the last few years has been mostly 2 then 3. Phase 4 sometimes Texas or just off the Se US coast. I left my cpu at work so I don’t have the link to the hurricane hotspots by phase so sorry on that.
 

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