Genetic continuity of Indo‑Iranian speakers since the Iron Age in southern Central Asia

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Since prehistoric times, southern Central Asia has been at the crossroads of the movement of people,

culture, and goods. Today, the Central Asian populations are divided into two cultural and linguistic

groups: the Indo-Iranian and the Turko-Mongolian groups. Previous genetic studies unveiled that

migrations from East Asia contributed to the spread of Turko-Mongolian populations in Central

Asia and the partial replacement of the Indo-Iranian populations. However, little is known about

the origin of the latters. To shed light on this, we compare the genetic data on two current-day

Indo-Iranian populations



Yaghnobis and Tajiks



with genome-wide data from published ancient

individuals. The present Indo-Iranian populations from Central Asia display a strong genetic continuity

with Iron Age samples from Turkmenistan and Tajikistan. We model Yaghnobis as a mixture of 93%

Iron Age individual from Turkmenistan and 7% from Baikal. For the Tajiks, we observe a higher Baikal

ancestry and an additional admixture event with a South Asian population. Our results, therefore,

suggest that in addition to a complex history, Central Asia shows a remarkable genetic continuity

since the Iron Age, with only limited gene flow.

Central Asia is a large region stretching from the Caspian Sea in the west to Lake Baikal in the east, encompassing

Tajikistan, Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan and north Afghanistan. This region has found

itself at the crossroads of migration routes since modern humans left Africa1,2, leading to a long-term presence

of humans, a rich history, and a high cultural diversity. For illustration, agropastoral communities present since

the Djeitun culture3 6000 years BCE were replaced during the Chalcolithic (4800–3000 BCE) by the emergence

of denser villages and the premises of irrigated agriculture. During the Middle Bronze Age, the Bactrio Margian

Archaeological Complex (BMAC) civilization flourished in southern Central Asia with characteristic proto-urban

cities, powerful irrigation techniques, and a marked social hierarchy4. A pastoral nomadic lifestyle emerged later

in northern Central Asia around 3000 BCE and gained importance in this region during the late Bronze Age

(2400–2000 BCE). At the end of the Bronze Age, from about 1800 BCE, the Oxus civilization underwent dur-

ing its final phase important transformations: while remaining in the same tradition, the material culture was

impoverished with some ceramic forms and artifacts disappearing; some habitat sites were abandoned, monu-

mental architecture disappeared, the level of technological development seemed to decrease5; international trade,

which had been flourishing during the previous peak phase, slowed down considerably, or even came to a halt,

except for contacts with the steppes of northern Central Asia6; funerary practices changed with the appearance

of new modes of burial, before the total disappearance of burials during the Early Iron Age, that can be linked to

an ideological evolution7. The period between 1800 and 1500 BCE saw Andronovo-like culture take over, until

the rise of Yaz culture8,9. Then, Central Asia was the scene of the eastwards conquests of Achaemenids, Greeks,

Partho-Sassanians and Arabic people and of the westward movement of various Asian peoples like the Huns, the

Xiongnus, and the Mongols10, before being a trade centre along the Silk Road, particularly during the Sassanid

Empire and after the Islamic invasion.

Today, the complex demographic history of Central Asia results in a composite genetic diversity, with mod-

ern Central Asian populations being divided into two culturally distinct groups: a first group composed of

Turkic and Mongolic-speaking populations (referred to later as Turko-Mongol populations including Kyrgyz,

Kazakhs…), who are semi-nomadic herders10 and show genetic affinities with Eastern Asian and Siberian popula-

tions; and a second group formed by Tajiks and Yaghnobis who live in southern Central Asia, speak Indo-Iranian

1Eco‑Anthropologie (EA), Muséum national d′Histoire naturelle, CNRS, Université de Paris, Paris, France. 2CMPG,

Institute of Ecology and Evolution, University of Berne, Berne, Switzerland. 3Mission Archéologique Française

au Turkménistan (MAFTUR), Paris, France. 4CAGT, UMR 5288, CNRS, Université Paul Sabatier III, Toulouse,

France. *email: perle.gv@gmail.com

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languages, practice agriculture, are sedentary and who are genetically more similar to present-day western

Eurasian populations2,11 and Iranians12. Moreover, Yaghnobis are known to have been isolated for a long time

with no evidence of recent admixture12. Modern DNA studies suggested that the Indo-Iranian group was present

in Central Asia before the Turko-Mongol group11, maybe as early as Neolithic times; the Turko-Mongol group

emerged later from the admixture between a group related to local Indo-Iranian and a South-Siberian or Mon-

golian group11,13,14 with a high East-Asian ancestry (around 60%). Turkmens, however, genetically stand out from

the Turko-Mongol group, being intermediate with the Indo-Iranian group15, which suggests a recent language

and culture shift16, possibly through a mostly elite dominance-driven linguistic replacement.

Paleogenetic studies confirmed that multiple migration waves and admixture events, in which steppe popula-

tions played an important role, have occurred in Eurasia in the last 10,000 years13,17–20. Although the settlement

of Europe was extensively studied21–26, there have been only a few studies exploring the population history of

Central Asia, and even fewer focusing on southern Central Asia. In northern Central Asia (Kazakhstan, South-

ern Russia), genetic studies evidenced eastward and westward movement of populations since the late Neolithic

period13,17,18,27,28, leading to a gradient of western steppe genetic ancestry. In southern Central Asia where most

of the ancient genomes date back to the late Neolithic and the Bronze Age, it was shown that populations from

the BMAC were strongly related to southern Iranian ancient populations with some individuals displaying

additional steppe-ancestry18

.

However, the relation between modern Indo-Iranian speaking populations and ancient populations from

southern Central Asia remains unclear: what are the genetic sources of modern Indo-Iranian speakers? Can

they be traced back to the Iron or the Bronze Age? Is there one or several different population histories among

a given linguistic group of populations? What is the role of the Turkmens in this story?

Paleogenetic studies brought additional tools to seek the origins of these populations. To explore the origins

of modern Indo-Iranians in relationship with their Turko-Mongol neighbours, we jointly analyzed genome-wide

data in 16 modern populations (one Yaghnobi and four Tajik populations, 11 from distinct Turko-Mongol ethnic

groups from Central Asia, i.e. in Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and from West Mongolia and South Siberia)

as well as 1501 present-day genomes from Eurasia and Africa29,30 and 3109 ancient published genomes from all

Eurasia13,17–20,22–24,27,28,31–45 (Table S1), including 126 ancient genomes from southern Central Asia17,18 (Fig. 1a).

Results

Modern Indo‑Iranian genetic affinities with ancient samples. To explore the relation between pre-

sent-day Central Asian individuals and the Eurasian genomic diversity, ancient and modern, we first performed

a Principal Component Analysis (PCA) (Fig. 1b, Supplementary fig. S1 and S2) on 1915 modern genomes and

projected 3102 ancient genome-wide data onto it. Regarding the present-day Eurasian diversity, the three top

Principal Components (PCs) roughly mimic the geographical repartition of modern populations: the PC1 (3%

of variance) discriminates between Eastern and Western Eurasian individuals, the PC2 between South Asian and

modern European individuals, and the PC3 discriminates against the Baikal populations from the East Asian

cluster (see Supplementary fig. S1). Present-day Indo-Iranian individuals from Central Asia cluster together on

the first three PCs while Turko-Mongol individuals form a gradient from the Indo-Iranian cluster to ancient

Baikal samples on PC3, in agreement with cultural categorization instead of geography. However, a substructure

appears within the Indo-Iranian group with the Yaghnobis (TJY) falling closely to the Western cluster, while the

Tajiks populations (TJA, TJE, TAB) stretch toward the Baikal cluster, indicating some additional East Asian or

Baikal Hunter-Gatherer (BHG) proximity.

For the ancient individuals, Bronze Age, Iron Age, and historical steppe individuals fall on a cline stretching

up from European to East Asian groups, with Western_Steppe individuals clustering on the bottom of the Euro-

pean cluster and Central_Steppe individuals spreading from the Western_Steppe cluster to the Okunevo_BA cluster

close to Baikal and Siberian modern individuals. The ancient individuals of southern Central Asia (Neolithic,

Bronze Age and Iron Age) follow a cline stretching from Neolithic Iranian individuals (Iran_N) to present-day

Iranians and Yaghnobis.

Contrastingly, the Iron Age samples (Turkmenistan_IA and Ksirov_Kushan individuals) are located close to

modern Indo-Iranian populations, although slightly negative values on the first axis and positive values on the

third axis suggest an addition of Baikal ancestry in the present-day Indo-Iranians. Finally, it appears from this

PCA (Fig. 1c) that ancient and present-day Indo-Iranian populations from Central Asia form together a cline

between Iranian Neolithic farmers and Central_Steppe Bronze Age, with a clear shift in ancestry toward Steppe

between Bronze Age and Iron Age as observed before18, and a smaller shift toward eastern Asian ancestry between

Iron Age and present-day. This shift is more pronounced for Tajiks than Yaghnobis.

To confirm our initial observations and identify genetic structures, we performed an unsupervised cluster-

ing analysis using ADMIXTURE47 on the same dataset used for the PCA (see Supplementary fig. S4, S5 and

S6). Consistently with the PCA, we evidenced in all modern Indo-Iranians the presence of a genetic component

maximized in Iran Neolithic farmers (Iran_N, dark green; mean value for Yaghnobis: 37%; 25% for Tajiks), of

another maximized in Eastern European Hunter-Gatherers (EEHG) and Western Scandinavian Hunter-Gath-

erers (WSHG) (pale green; mean value for Yaghnobis: 13%; for Tajiks: 10%) and of a third component (dark

blue; mean value for Yaghnobis: 36%; for Tajiks: 29%) that is not completely maximized in any population of our

dataset, but is found in present-day Europeans and in Anatolian Neolithic farmers (Anatolia_N). In addition,

a fourth component maximized in Baikal Hunter-Gatherers (BHG: Shamanka_EN) and largely present in all

modern Turko-Mongol populations (red; 50% on average) is also inferred to a lower extent in the modern Indo-

Iranian populations, with a significantly smaller proportion in Yaghnobis than in Tajiks (mean value respectively

7% and 14%; t-test p-value

=

2.10–16). Finally, the Tajiks present a small proportion (4%) of modern East Asian

ancestry (pink component, maximized in the Han population), which is largely present in all Turko-Mongol

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Figure 1. Geographic and genetic structure of our dataset. (a) Map of the published ancient samples in

our dataset (Map generated using ggmap46 and Map tiles by Stamen Design, under CC BY 3.0. Data by

OpenStreetMap, under ODbL). (b) PCA computed on a set of 236,566 SNPs for present-day Eurasians

populations including 527 present-day Central Asian individuals genotyped on an 300k SNPs array15 and we

projected the 3102 ancient genomes onto the two first Principal Components. Ancient genomes are represented

with different colors by region, with density line to facilitate the reading. (c) Details of panel (b) focusing on

Indo-Iranians individuals with ancient individuals from Neolithic, Bronze Age, Iron Age and Historical times.

(Figures done with ggplot2 v. 3.3.3 R package https:// cran.r- proje ct. org/ web/ packa ges/ ggplo t2/ index. html).

populations from Central Asia (mean value 10%), and around 8% of the component maximized in present-day

South Asian populations (orange), which are both absent in Yaghnobis.

The ADMIXTURE analysis is also congruent with the PCA concerning the ancient groups (see Supplemen-

tary fig. S4 and S5). Indeed, Iron Age southern Central Asian individuals present a remarkably similar profile

to Yaghnobis’ profile: for instance, the individual labelled as Turkmenistan_IA has a profile with about 25% of

WSHG/EEHG component, 30% of Iran_N component and 35% of the Anatolian farmer ancestry component

but missing BHG ancestry (Fig. 2). Bronze Age Central Steppe pastoralists show a similar profile except for a

significant increase in Iranian ancestry, and Western Steppe pastoralists have the beige component maximized

in Western European Hunter-Gatherers (WEHG), which is absent in modern Indo-Iranian populations.

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Figure 2. ADMIXTURE analysis of 5019 individuals (3102 ancient and 1915 modern). The results for a subset

of the dataset (present-day Indo-Iranian individuals and ancient populations discussed in the main text) are

displayed for K

=

10, which has the lowest cross validation value (0.994). The full analysis is shown in SI. In the

first column, the modern individuals from Central Asia; second column, the ancient individuals from southern

Central Asia; third column, ancient individuals from the Steppe; last column, miscellaneous individuals

discussed in the main text. (Figure done with ggplot2 v. 3.3.3 R package https:// cran.r- proje ct. org/ web/ packa ges/

ggplo t2/ index. html).

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Figure 3. Gene flow in Indo-Iranian populations since Iron Age. Positive D-statistics (Z > 3) of the form

D(Mbuti, Ancient population; Turkmenistan_IA, TJY/TJE/TUR). A positive D-statistic demonstrates that a

gene flow occurred from the ancient population to the Indo-Iranian or Turkmen population compared to

Turkmenistan_IA. The estimated statistic ± 3 standard errors is indicated. (Figure done with ggplot2 v. 3.3.3 R

package https:// cran.r- proje ct. org/ web/ packa ges/ ggplo t2/ index. html).

Thus, modern Indo-Iranian speaking populations appear as midway between Central Steppe and southern

Central Asia Bronze Age populations, quite similarly to the Turkmenistan Iron Age individuals, with a lim-

ited impulse from eastern and southern Asian groups.

Population continuity within the Indo‑Iranians. To formally test for genetic continuity with Iron Age

southern Central Asia and the limited admixture with Baikal-related populations at the source of the present-

day Indo-Iranian speaking populations, we performed D-statistics, f3-statistics and qpAdm modelling on the

same dataset used for the PCA et ADMIXTURE analyses as well as on a dataset formed by shotgun sequences

from 3 Yaghnobis (TJY), 19 Tajiks (TJE) and 24 Turkmens (TUR)48 as well as the ancient genomes for a final set

of

~

700k SNPs.

We identified and characterized gene flows that occurred since the Iron Age by computing D-statistics of the

form D(Mbuti, Ancient population ; Turkmenistan_IA, present day Indo-Iranian) for every ancient population in

our dataset (Fig. 3, Table S5). These statistics are expected positive when gene flows occurred from the Ancient

population to the present-day Indo-Iranians. For the Yaghnobis, only one individual, an Iron Age individual

from Nepal genetically close to East Asian populations (Nepal_Chokhopani_2700BP.SG)45, has a significantly

positive D-statistic (Z > 3). Tajik individuals (TJE) display a higher number of ancient populations (N

=

41) for

which D-statistic is positive; the common characteristic of these ancient populations is to exhibit a large amount

of BHG ancestry, consistently with the ADMIXTURE analysis (Fig. 2). We also note that the Tajiks present a

positive D-statistic with an historical individual from India (Great Andaman) (Fig. 3) showing a possible con-

nection with South Asia. Thus, modern Indo-Iranian populations descend from groups related to those present

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Source left populations

Admixture proportion SE

Target

A B C A p-value

B C A B C

TJY TurkmenIA XiongNu 0.2462 0.933 0.067 0.010 0.010

TJY TurkmenIA XiongNu EuropeEN 0.2691 0.897 0.071 0.032 0,044 0.010 0.041

TJY TurkmenIA XiongNu BMAC 0.1301 0.906 0.068 0.026 0.104 0.011 0.107

TJY TurkmenIA XiongNu UkraineScythian 0.0911 0.899 0.069 0.032 0.052 0.010 0.048

TJA TurkmenIA XiongNu GreatAndaman_100BP 0.2780 0.709 0.165 0.129 0.053 0.022 0.072

TUR TAB GoldenHorde 0.48007 0.941 0.059 0.005 0.005

TurkIA BMAC Andronovo 0.327016 0.471 0.529 0.036 0.036

Table 1. Plausible models for Yaghnobis (TJY), Tajiks (TJA, TAB), Turkmens (TUR) and Turkmenistan_IA

(TurkIA) as a mixture of two or three sources obtained with qpAdm.

in Turkmenistan as early as Iron Age, with a contribution from another East Asian population who brought the

BHG ancestry and, except for Yaghnobis, a contribution from a South Asian population.

Then, we formally test if the contributions detected with D-statistics are due to admixture events that occurred

since the Iron Age. We first computed f3-statistic49 of the form f3(TJY/TJA/TJE/TAB ; Source1, Source2), that

is expected to be negative (Z < -3) if the Indo-Iranian populations can be modeled as admixed between the two

sources (Table S7). Only combinations implying a population from East Asia ancestry (like the XiongNu) and

westerner populations representing the components seen in the ADMIXTURE analysis (Iranian Neolithic, Ana-

tolian farmer, and Steppe ancestry) were significant (Fig. 2). These statistics attest to the existence of an actual

admixture between a population probably presenting a mix of Iran Neolithic, BMAC, Anatolian early neolithic

and Bronze Age Steppe ancestry with a population with a strong affinity to the BHG ancestry. The Yaghnobi

population has significantly fewer pairs with a negative f3-statistic than the Tajik populations, probably due to

their long-term isolation. We also specifically calculated f3-statistic of the form f3(TJY/TJA/TJE/TAB; Ancient

population, Turkmenistan_IA) and obtained several negative f3-statistics always with the same ancient popula-

tions implied in the positive D-statistic (see Supplementary fig. S3, Table S6) showing that Indo-Iranians can be

successfully modelled as the admixture of Iron Age Turkmenistan and BHG-related population.

We then modelled Yaghnobi and Tajik populations using qpAdm23 to estimate mixture proportions. To test

which proximal populations fit the best in our model, we used the rotating method23 and we excluded all com-

binations with a p-value ≤ 0.01. We first tried a two-ways admixture testing several possibilities among rotat-

ing sources. For the Yaghnobis, the only model retained was the one with

~

93–88% from Turkmenistan_IA

and

~

7–12% ancestry from XiongNu (Table 1). With 3-ways modelling, we could not reject different models for

TJY: 3 models imply 90% ancestry from Turkmenistan_IA and 7% ancestry from XiongNu, and around 3% of

ancestry from Europe_EN, BMAC or Ukraine_Scythian; we also obtained a model with Ukraine_Scythian, BMAC

and XiongNu inferring the older admixture at the origin of Turkmenistan_IA (Table 1). When testing for more

admixture sources, we obtained only two 4-ways models and one 5-ways model (Supp. Data). One interesting

model is a 4-ways model with 17% Ukrainian Scythians, 60% Turkmenistan_IA, 14% BMAC and 8% XiongNu,

i.e. this model shows a close affinity of Yaghnobis with Western Steppe-like populations.

To model Tajiks, all 2-ways admixture models were excluded and we obtained one 3-ways admixture model

(p-value

=

0.49) implying around 17% ancestry from XiongNu, almost 75% ancestry from Turkmenistan_IA,

and around 8% ancestry from a South Asian individual (Indian_GreatAndaman_100BP)50 representing a deep

ancestry in South Asia (Table 1).

Thus, the qpAdm modelling shows that at least 90% of the ancestry of current Indo-Iranian ancestry is

modelized as inherited from Iron Age individuals from southern Central Asia with an affinity with BMAC.

Consequently, Indo-Iranians present a strong genetic continuity in the region since the Iron Age with anecdotic

admixture with BHG ancestry related individuals, and, for the Tajiks, with South Asian ancestry related popula-

tions possibly after Iron Age.

Finally, we used DATES18 to estimate the number of generations since the admixture events. We obtained

35 ± 15 generations for the admixture between Turkmenistan_IA and XiongNu-like populations at the ori-

gins of the Yaghnobis, i.e. an admixture event dating back to

~

1019 ± 447 years ago considering 29 years per

generation51. For Tajiks (TJE, TAB, TJA) we obtained dates from

~

546 ± 138 years ago (18.8 ± 4.7 genera-

tions) to

~

907 ± 617 years ago (31.2 ± 21.3 generations) for the West/East admixture. We also obtained a date

of

~

944 ± 300 years ago for the admixture with the South Asian population.

Iron age Turkmenistan ancestry. Previous studies13,18 have already shown Turkmenistan_IA can be mod-

elled as an admixture between BMAC and some steppe populations, and on the PCA (Fig. 1c), Turkmenistan_IA

indeed belongs to the steppe cline. However, the steppes are split between several groups (Western steppe, Cen-

tral steppe, Eastern steppe) depending on their amount of Eastern Asian ancestry. The ADMIXTURE analy-

sis discriminates the Western and Central steppe ancestries by the presence of a red and mauve component

(maximized respectively in East-Siberia and East Asia populations) in the latter, which is absent from Turk-

menistan_IA, indicating an affinity with the Western steppe. Nevertheless, we noted that Andronovo or Sintashta

individuals also lacked this component while being classified as Central_Steppe. Thus Central_Steppe group is

highly heterogenous and gathers populations with some East-Asian ancestry like Karasuk or Central Saka and

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Figure 4. Absence of affinity of Turkmenistan_IA with East Asia ancestry shown by D-stat. In grey are non-

significative (Z < 3) D-statistics, in blue significative positive D-statistics and in red significative negative one.

Only populations with strong East Asian or BHG ancestry show a significative D-statistic. (Figure done with

ggplot2 v. 3.3.3 R package https:// cran.r- proje ct. org/ web/ packa ges/ ggplo t2/ index. html).

others more Western steppe-like as Andronovo and Sintashta. Furthermore, we obtained the higher f3-outgroup

statistic of the form f3(Mbuti; Ancient pop, Turkmenistan_IA) for ancient populations from BMAC complex

or West Eurasia, highlighting the double origin and affinity with the West. This affinity is further confirmed

with D-statistics of form D(Mbuti, Turkmenistan_IA; Western_Steppe, Central_Steppe) (Fig. 4B) that are sig-

nificantly negative (Z < -3) when a Western_Steppe population is opposed to a Central_Steppe population with

an East Asian ancestry, like Central Saka or Karasuk (Fig. 4B). With D-statistic of the form D(Mbuti, Turk-

menistan_IA; HG1 , HG2) – HG1 and HG2 belonging to WEHG, EEHG, WSHG, and BHG populations – we

evidenced that the steppe populations admixed with BMAC lacked East Asian or Baikal component (Fig. 4A).

Indeed, we only see significant D-statistics when BHG was confronted with the other HGs (Fig. 4A). Using HG

populations avoids inferences from recent admixture; nevertheless, it failed to discriminate between most of the

different steppe groups of this period at this level. This suggests that Turkmenistan_IA is devoid of the East Asian

ancestry observed in several Central steppe groups as early as Bronze Age.

Finally, we tested different steppe populations which admixed with BMAC to model Turkmenistan_IA with

qpAdm. We first constituted a set with Poltavka, Srubnaya (Western_Steppe) and 4 individuals from Russia

labelled as Andronovo (Central_Steppe)52, to estimate the affinity with Europe and Western steppe previously

highlighted with D-statistics and f3-statistics. We only obtained one model with 2 sources that we could not

exclude (Table 1), and it implies an admixture of 43% BMAC and 57% Andronovo (p-value

=

0.31) suggesting

that Andronovo individuals are the best proxy for the steppe population which admixed with BMAC to form

the Iron Age southern Central Asia group. When testing for the best model between Andronovo and Karasuk

(Central steppe with East Asian component) to estimate the affinity with Asia, we produced a single fitting/

relevant model implying Andronovo (p-value

=

0.51) with roughly the same proportions. Further tests explored

the best model between Andronovo and Sintashta, two genetically close populations, and the single signifi-

cantly outcome was the one with Andronovo and BMAC (p-value

=

0.498) in the same proportions. Eventually,

we tested the best model between the individuals labelled Andronovo and two populations belonging to the

Andronovo-complex: Fedorovo Shoindykol18 and Alakul Lisakovskiy18. Once again, the only valid model was

the one with Andronovo and BMAC. Overall, we can say that the Iron Age population from southern Central

Asia emerges from the admixture of BMAC with a Bronze Age population close to the Andronovo individuals,

which presents a profile with an affinity with Western steppe rather than with a Central steppe with an affinity

with East Asia (like Karasuk).

A Turkmens’ history. Despite speaking a Turko-Mongol language and having the same cultural practices

as other Turko-Mongol ethnic groups53, Turkmens are genetically closer to Indo-Iranian populations than to

Turko-Mongols54,55

.

Indeed, Turkmens (TUR) fall into the Tajiks cluster and not in the Turko-Mongol cline in the PCA (Fig. 1)

and in the ADMIXTURE analysis (Fig. 2), all Turko-Mongol populations from Central Asia except Turkmens

show a significant (t-test, p-value < 2.10–16) high amount of Baikal (red component, mean 50%) and East Asian

ancestry (pink component, maximized in the Han population). Turkmens, for their part, display a completely

different pattern, with an amount of Baikal component (mean value: 22%) closer to the proportion in Tajiks

(mean value: 15%) and almost no East Asian component. They do not show as much South Asia related ancestry

as Tajiks, suggesting that the admixture with South Asian populations occurred or continued after Turkmens

split from the remainder of the Indo-Iranian group.

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Figure 5. Turkmens’ affinity with Tajiks rather than with Turko-Mongol groups shown by f3 statistics of the

form f3(Mbuti; TUR/TJA/AKZ , Ancient population). (A) Outgroup f3-statistics for Turkmen and for Tajiks

(TJA) plotted against each other. (B) Outgroup f3-statistics for Turkmen and for Kazakhs (AKZ), belonging to

the Turko-Mongol group, plotted against each other. (Figure done with ggplot2 v. 3.3.3 R package https:// cran.r-

proje ct. org/ web/ packa ges/ ggplo t2/ index. html).

We have established genetic affinity profiles with ancient populations for all Central Asia populations includ-

ing Turkmens of the first dataset, based on f3-outgroup statistics of the form f3(Mbuti; Ancient pop, Present-

day pop) (Fig. 5; Table S8). The f3-outgroup values comparing Turkmen to any ancient population are strongly

correlated with the one comparing Tajiks to any ancient populations (Fig. 5a). On the other hand, f3-outgroups

values comparing Eastern steppes and Baikal groups to a Turko-Mongol population (Kazakhs) are higher than

those comparing these ancient populations to Turkmens (Fig. 5b). The Turkmens are more similar to Indo-

Iranian populations than to any Turko-Mongol population on the amount of shared Siberian/East Asian ancestry.

Finally, we modeled Turkmens as a mixture of Central Asia basal ancestry (represented by Yaghnobis) and

East Asian ancestry (we obtained a negative value for f3(TUR; TJY, DevilsCave_N); f3

=

−0.0025, Z

=

−5.266).

qpAdm modelling for Turkmens produces a single nonrejected model (p-value

=

0.048007) implying 6% of

Golden Horde Asian and 94% of Tajiks (TAB) (with TJY, XiongNu, GoldenHordeAsian, TAB, Turkmenistan_IA

as potential rotating left population) (Table 1). For this admixture event, we estimated a date of 687 ± 100 BP

(23.7 ± generations) with DATES.

These results enlighten that Turkmens were an Indo-Iranian-like population not so long ago, who recently

shifted language and culture without a substantial genetic change in population.

Discussion

Our research provides insight into the history of Indo-Iranians by using evidence to trace modern populations

back to the Iron Age in southern Central Asia. As proposed by former genetic studies2,11 and as supported by

historical56 and archaeological evidence57, we found that Indo-Iranian speakers settled in Central Asia long

before Turko-Mongol speakers11. The main event at the bottom of Indo-Iranian ancestry in southern Central

Asia occurred at the end of the Bronze Age/Early Iron Age, through the admixture between local BMAC groups

and Andronovo-related populations perhaps linked to the end of the Oxus Civilization. We note here that the

steppe group who admixed with BMAC did not present East Asian ancestry, which is consistent with both the

archeological58 and genetic38 findings of the East Asian ancestry arriving in the Central steppe core only at the

end of the Iron Age.

The populations falling under the name Andronovo form a complex group. Indeed, when screening the indi-

viduals used under the label Andronovo in our dataset, we note that they all belong to one site, Kytmanovo52,59

,

which is eastward, but show a genetic profile very close to the Sintashta individuals, whose area expanded near

the Caspian Sea. Individuals from other cultures belonging to the Andronovo complex have been sequenced17,18

but overall they form a moderately heterogenous genetic group. Moreover, some studies have shown that Steppe

groups can be labelled similarly but be different genetically, such as, for instance, Srubnaya Alakulskaya individu-

als being closer to Andronovo individuals than to Srubnaya from the Samara region28. The nomadic populations

from the end of the Bronze and Iron Age being very genetically heterogenous, we suspect that the source of the

Western steppe ancestry found in Iron Age southern Central Asia may not be sampled yet. It is interesting to

notice that the gene flow between the Steppe and southern Central Asia went two-ways38,60. A recent study60

has highlighted that a gene flow from BMAC contributed to the genetic formation of Scythians. Our findings

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combined with these studies strongly corroborate the hypothesis based on archaeological evidence that south-

ern Central Asia civilizations since BMAC and Western steppe culture had a strong cultural connection6,8,61–64

.

Overall, we demonstrate here a remarkable example of genetic continuity since the Iron Age in Indo-Iranian

populations from Central Asia despite the frenzy of population migrations in the area since the Bronze Age.

Similar to Zhabagin et al. work65, the present study shows no impact of the Arab cultural expansion in Central

Asia on the Indo-Iranian speaker’s genetic diversity, despite the first one leading to a shift in language for Tajiks.

We also do not see a gene flow from Iran despite the Persian cultural expansion which led to a language shift

from an east-Iranian language to a west-Iranian in Tajiks—when Yaghnobis kept their east-Iranian language66

.

Yaghnobis, for their pair, are characterized by strong genetic stability over time (small amount of negative

admixture f3-statistics, fewer significative D-statistics), which can be linked back to their long-term isolation12,67

.

Yaghnobis are indeed an isolated ethno-linguistic population historically present in the hardly accessible valley

of the Yaghnob River. Evidence suggests that the separation between Yaghnobis and Tajiks occurred at least

1000 years ago, which explains the high genetic differentiation observed in Indo-Iranians by previous studies53,67

.

Interestingly, it implies that Yaghnobis could represent a good proxy for the ancestry present in Central Asia

before the migration waves that led to the current genetic diversity, despite the strong drift that occurred.

The amount of East-Asian ancestry due to admixture with modern Turko-Mongol groups remains low even

in Tajiks, consistent with the findings of Martinez-Cruz et al.

2, who observed the light impact the westward inva-

sions (Huns, Mongols) had on Indo-Iranian groups in Central Asia. On the other hand, we have highlighted for

Yaghnobis, Tajiks, and Turkmens a small amount of gene flow from BHG-ancestry dating to around 1000 years

ago, suggesting a recent wave of westward migration from the Altai mountains, after the Iron Age. This recent

wave can be linked to the origin of the Turko-Mongol in Central Asia which has been demonstrated by Martinez-

Cruz et al.

2 and Li et al.

68 to be from an ancestral group of Turkic speakers from the Altai region. Our quite

recent date of admixture differs significantly from the date obtained by Palstra et al.

11 which placed the admixture

event back to 8 ky BP for Tajiks and 2.3 ky BP for Kyrgyz. The more recent inferred dates of admixture for Tajiks

compared to Yaghnobis could be explained by the fact that Tajiks received a more continuous gene flow from the

eastward source, continuous gene flow that occurred after the first admixture event that formed the Yaghnobis

genetic composition. Indeed, the qpAdm method cannot detect a continuous admixture which can be expected in

this context. Furthermore, the search of their ancestry confirms a genetic homogeneity within Yaghnobis, Tajiks,

and Turkmens, despite their cultural, notably linguistic differences, with some genetic differences emerging from

various patterns of gene flow in Tajiks and Turkmens.

Notably, we evidenced an admixture event from South Asia restricted to the Tajik population, undocumented

before despite evidence in Iranian Turkmens69. According to previous archaeological studies70,71, multidirectional

cultural exchanges with South Asia are known to have taken place as early as the Chalcolithic period: notably

from Sialk culture and other Iranian cultures towards Balochistan70 or from Geoksjur culture of Turkmenistan

to southern Afghanistan. In the opposite direction, from south to north, Mundigak III type ceramics find paral-

lels as far as Badakhshan in northeast Afghanistan, material from Balochistan and shells used in necklaces and

bracelets from the Arabian Sea are found at the Sarazm site in Tajikistan, showing a long-distance commercial

exchange. All these ancient populations were on the move with probably quite frequent exchanges and cultural

blends between populations, Iron Age included71. Intriguingly, genetic proximity between southern Central Asian

and South Asian groups has already been suggested for BMAC samples18 and raises the question of the timing

of this gene flow. Two models can be considered: the first one assumes the formation of a homogeneous basal

Indo-Iranian background (as observed today in Yaghnobis) and subsequent recent gene flow from South Asian

populations; the second model acknowledges the presence of South Asian ancestry in some Bronze Age BMAC

samples18 and suggests Tajiks and Yaghnobis could have derived from distinct BMAC populations, respectively

with and without South Asian ancestry, who have both experienced independent admixture with Andronovo-

like steppe populations during Iron Age, and eastern nomads with BHG ancestry afterwards. Because the date

of the gene-flow from South Asian populations in Tajik genomes is relatively recent, the data favours the first

hypothesis; however, uncertainties on the model of admixture (one versus several pulses) may be compatible

with continuous gene-flow since the Bronze Age. Additionally, our recent date of admixture fits with the arrival

of the South Asian ancestry at the same that the shift from east to west-Iranian language in Tajiks linked to the

Persian expansion 1500 years ago66

.

Lastly, the case of Turkmens is a notable example of a population changing language and cultural practices

without substantial changes in their genetic ancestry. Indeed, Turkic-speaking peoples found in all Eurasia are

the result of several nomadic migrations14,72, which cover an area ranging from Siberia to Eastern Europe and

the Middle East, through Central Asia and have been occurring during a wide period, the 5th–16th centuries14

.

In regions other than Central Asia, several studies have shown that Turkic-speaking peoples genetically resemble

their geographic neighbours, with no clear genetic signal that would distinguish them14,72. This lends to support

the model of a language replacement by elite-dominance rather than by demic diffusion for languages of the

Turkish family expansion72. Turkmens fit in this global model but are an exception in their region. Indeed, the

other Turkic-speaking populations, like Kyrgyz or Kazakhs, show a different genetic profile with a clear dominant

East Asian and Baikal components, attesting to a more significant admixture with nomads from South-Siberia

and Mongolia, which have been dated around the tenth-fourteenth centuries14. The small amount of East Asian

ancestry in Turkmens has been linked to an admixture dated around the 15th century, so slightly after the first

admixture in Central Asia, and may come from gene flow with these Turco-Mongol groups.

The question of the diffusion of Indo-European languages has been a hot topic in the last few years23,52,73–75

.

Linguistic analyses point either to Anatolia74 or the Pontic Steppe75 as the region where the Indo-European

languages originated. The expansion of Yamnaya related populations westward during the late Neolithic, and

eastward during the Bronze Age, through the migration of Andronovo groups, suggests that they were speakers

of such languages. Interestingly, the ancestry pattern found in Indo-Iranian speakers from Central Asia is not

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found in other Indo-Iranian speaking populations, namely, the Iranians Persians69. This ethnic group displays

a genetic continuity since the Bronze Age with ancient individuals from Iran, with limited gene flow from the

steppes (either Central or Eastern)69. Furthermore, our study of the Turkmen population presents another

example where language and genetics do not match, questioning the idea of inferring language displacement

using population movement. Their genetic affiliation to modern western Eurasian populations, seen in earlier

studies, is due to a common steppe ancestry.

Conclusion

Our results bring to light that for Indo-Iranian speakers various patterns of genetic and linguistic continuity or

discontinuity coexisted through time. In southern Central Asia, we show that the actual Indo-Iranians are the

product of a long-term continuity since the Iron Age with only limited recent impulses from other Eurasian

groups. Our results provide further evidence that the demography of this region is complex and needs small-scale

studies like this one to be fully understood. From this perspective, the precise timing of these impulses cannot

be solved until more genetic data from samples from the Iron Age and historical times, who do not belong to

the Steppe cultural complex, have been obtained.

Methods

Compiling and merging genomic data. We selected 3102 published ancient human genomes from Eur-

asia (Table S1) from Paleolithic to Middle Age, whom DNA sequencing data generated with whole genome shot-

gun or hybridization capture technics, from the merge dataset v42.4 available at https:// reich. hms. harva rd. edu/

allen- ancie nt- dna- resou rce- aadr- downl oadab le- genot ypes- prese nt- day- and- ancie nt- dna- data. We retained

non-related individuals with more than 10,000 SNPs hit on the 1240k panel. We also added ancient individuals

from two recent publications about Middle East37 and Mongolian Steppe38

.

The ancient dataset was classified based on geographical, chronological, and ancestry criteria. The individu-

als from the steppe with known ancestry (usually related to their localization) were labelled as Western_Steppe,

Central_Steppe or Eastern_Stepppe respectively referring to a population with a close genetic affinity with West-

ern European Hunter Gatherer (WEHG; Loschbour, LaBrana) or Eastern European HG (EEHG ; Popovo HG,

Sidelkino, Karelia HG, Samara HG); to individuals with a higher ancestry from Western Siberian HG (WSHG

; Tyumen Hg and Sosonivoy HG), a strong affinity with Baikal HG (BHG, Shamanka HG) or with eastern non-

Africans; to populations exhibiting an East Asian component, although not all of them do like for example

Andronovo population.

We analysed ancient genotypes with 1388 Eurasian individuals, 109 Yoruba, and 3 Mbuti individuals from two

modern publicly available datasets: the SGDP dataset30, the 1000 Genomes dataset29. Furthermore, we also used

a Central Asian specific dataset53 obtained in our lab using capture including 527 individuals. We merged these

modern data using mergeit from EIGENSOFT49 and we haploidized them by randomly selecting one allele per

position. The final merge includes 237,644 SNPs for 5129 individuals. For the analysis requiring more SNPs, we

used individuals sequenced by shotgun48 from only three populations in the Central Asia dataset: 3 Yaghnobis

(TJY), 19 Tajiks (TJE) and 24 Turkmens (TUR), and we pseudo-haploidized and combined them with the 1240k

panel to obtain a second dataset of 716 743 SNPs and 4648 individuals.

PCA. We performed PCA with smartpca49 on 1915 Eurasian present-day individuals and we projected all the

3109 ancient samples on top of the 3 best PCs. We used default parameters with lsqproject: YES, and numoutli-

eriter: 0 settings.

To verify possible projection limitation of our method, we also perform a PCA with LASER v276. We gener-

ated a reference space using 1915 Eurasian present-day individuals (including the Central Asian individuals),

after filtering for a minimum allele frequency of 0.05. Then we downloaded the bam files for 635 relevant ancient

individuals13,17,18 and projected independently every ancient individual into the reference space with 10 replicates.

We obtained similar plots, with nearly perfect correlation between the first 3 PCs for the ancient individuals

generated by smartpca and LASER (Supplementary fig. S2) indicating no significant limitation in our first PCA.

Admixture. We performed ADMIXTURE analysis47 on 1915 Eurasian present-day individuals and 3109

ancient samples from the first dataset on a subset of 236 665 SNPs pruned for linkage disequilibrium (by using

PLINK77 –indep-pairwise 200 25 0.4 function). We run ADMIXTURE analyses for clustering with K between 2

and 15, with 20 replicates performed for each K. The best value of K clusters, 10, is the value with lowest cross-

validation error (Supplementary fig. S6).

D and F3‑statistics. We computed the f3 outgroup statistics using the qp3Pop program with the inbreed

option set to YES on our second dataset and D-statistics using the qpDstat program of the ADMIXTOOLS

package51. We used Mbuti as the outgroup for both statistics in the main text, but we obtained similar results

using Yoruba population as the outgroup (not shown).

qpAdm analysis. We performed rotating qpAdm analysis with ADMIXTOOLS package to model the

ancestry of Central Asian modern populations. For Indo-Iranians, we used Mbuti, Han, Natufian, WEHG, Ust-

Ishim, MA1, Kostenki14, EEHG as reference populations.

Prior to the analysis, we checked if the reference populations could well discriminate between the source

populations by computing f4-stat of the form f4(Mbuti, Source1, RefX, RefY), for all the sources and all the

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combinations of outgroups possible. Then we plotted the pairwise f4 and calculated a correlation score. We

observed that our dataset discriminates well BMAC and Iran_N.

We first tested a rotating group with Turkmenistan_IA, XiongNu, and GoldenHordeAsian to assert the best

source of East-Asian ancestry in our model. To test different models, we used Iran_N, Europe_EN, BMAC, Turk-

menistan_IA, XiongNu, Ukraine_Scythian and Germany_Corded_Ware as rotating source populations. And to

model Tajiks, we add Indian_GreatAndaman_100BP to represent a deep ancestry from South Asia.

To model Turkmenistan_IA, we used the same reference group with Iran_N and BHG added and we used

Germany_CordedWare, Russia_Poltavka, XiongNu, EuropeEN, BMAC, Andronovo, Ukraine_Scythian as the rotat-

ing group. We also performed tests with smaller rotating groups: (1) Andronovo, Alakul_Lisakovskiy, BMAC (2)

Andronovo, Fedorovo_Shoindykol, BMAC (3) Andronovo, Sintashta, BMAC (4) Andronovo, Karasuk, BMAC, (4)

Andronovo, Afanasievo, BMAC.

To model Turkmens, we used the same reference group as for Turkmenistan_IA, and used TJY, Mongo-

lia_XiongNu, Kazakhstan_GoldenHordeAsian, TAB, Turkmenistan_IA as the rotating group.

Dates

We used DATES v75318 to estimate the time of admixture events in Tajiks, Yaghnobis, and Turkmens. To convert

the estimated admixture date in generations into years, we assumed 29 years per generation51. The standard errors

of DATES estimates come from the weighted block jackknife with ‘‘binsize: 0.001,’’ ‘‘maxdis: 1,’’ ‘‘runmode: 1,’’

‘‘mincount: 1,’’ ‘‘lovalfit: 0.45’’ as parameters as in the example file at https:// github. com/ priya moorj ani/ DATES/

blob/ master/ examp le/ par. dates.

Received: 7 July 2021; Accepted: 14 December 2021

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Scientific Reports | (2022) 12:733 | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-04144-4

Content courtesy of Springer Nature, terms of use apply. Rights reserved

12

Vol:.(1234567890)www.nature.com/scientificreports/

Acknowledgements

P.G.V. is supported by a PhD grant from E.N.S de Lyon. We would like to thank Ludovic Orlando, Laure Ségurel

and Paul Verdu for their fruitful comments about this work. We would like to thank Romain Laurent for his

assistance and Amanda Graham and Marcus Kearsey for proofreading the English. J.B.S addresses his acknowl-

edgments to the Mission archéologique franco-turkmène (MAFTur), the French Ministry of Foreign Affairs

(MEAE), the French Archaeological Delegation in Afghanistan (DAFA), the Shelby White and Leon Levy Pro-

gram for Archaeological Publication.

Author contributions

E.H. and C.B supervised the study. P.G.V. performed all the population genetics analyses. J.B.S. provided input

about the archeology and the history of the region. N.M. processed the Central Asian dataset. P.G.V. wrote

the manuscript and prepare all the figures with contributions from all co-authors. All authors reviewed the

manuscript.

Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interests.

Additional information

Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at https:// doi. org/

10. 1038/ s41598- 021- 04144-4.

Correspondence and requests for materials should be addressed to P.G.-V.

Reprints and permissions information is available at www.nature.com/reprints.

Publisher’s note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and

institutional affiliations.

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International

License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or

format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the

Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this

article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the

material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not

permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from

the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http:// creat iveco mmons. org/ licen ses/ by/4. 0/.

© The Author(s) 2022
 
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