IronMike
DOMAIN EXPANSION: BLACK NEW WORLD ORDER
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To extend that projection out to the year 2100, the mathematical hurdles become significantly steeper because the demographic baseline compounding over the next several decades is much lower.
According to long-range projections from organizations like the United Nations Population Division and the U.S. Census Bureau, the non-Hispanic white population is projected to drop to roughly 36% to 40% of the total U.S. population by 2100 under standard baseline migration assumptions.
The Required Fertility Rate by 2100
To completely reverse this multi-generational trend and return the non-Hispanic white population to a sustained majority (above 50%) by 2100 through births alone, family sizes would need to reach historic, post-WWII Baby Boom levels:- Under Baseline Immigration: If net international immigration continues at its standard pace of over 1 million people per year, the required Total Fertility Rate (TFR) for non-Hispanic white women would need to rise from the current ~1.6 up to an estimated 3.5 to 4.0 children per woman.
- In Family Terms: The average white family would need to have 4 children. Because many individuals choose to have no children or only one, a very large percentage of families would need to have 5, 6, or more children to mathematically pull the demographic average up to that level.
Why the Requirement Exponentially Increases by 2100
Every decade that passes makes altering the 2100 outcome through fertility more difficult due to compounding demographic momentum:- Shrinking Cohorts of Mothers: Because white births currently sit below 50% of the U.S. total, each successive generation of white women reaching childbearing age is smaller relative to the rest of the population. To make up for a smaller "base" of potential mothers, those mothers have to bear exponentially more children per capita to match or outpace the growth of other demographic groups.
- The Long-Term Impact of Immigration: Over a 75-year span, immigration plays a dominant role in population architecture. New immigrants arrive, establish families, and have children, compounding the growth of Hispanic, Asian, Black, and multiracial demographics. To offset this structural growth without altering immigration policy, native fertility rates must rise drastically to outpace both the immigration influx and the natural growth of those newer populations.