enchanted_elixir
Access All My Guides ➡️ shorturl.at/SPUPX
Contributor
- Joined
- Apr 15, 2022
- Posts
- 18,326
- Reputation
- 26,437
From: http://faculty.webster.edu/corbetre/personal/reading/spengler-decline.html
Oswald Spengler is a renowned German polymath that specializes in understanding history in a scientific, and systems-thinking way, seeing the fundamental megatrends that drive cultures through their birth, rise, peak, decay, and death.
Spengler predicts the future of the 20th-21st centuries:
In short:
The passage discusses the evolution of military strategy and international relations from the Napoleonic era to the aftermath of World War I. Initially, since Napoleon's time, nations engaged in a continuous arms race, focusing on building vast military forces and fleets. This "war without war" involved intense preparation and diplomatic negotiations conducted by military headquarters rather than traditional court diplomacy. The tension and scale of military readiness grew until it culminated in World War I.
Post-WWI, the nature of warfare and military organization shifted. The extensive conscription armies that had characterized the previous century would give way to smaller, professional, volunteer forces eager for conflict. These new forces would be more active and aggressive, seeking actual wars rather than merely preparing for them.
The text predicts that within two generations, the will of these militarized states will overshadow that of more passive, comfortable nations. Conflicts will involve large-scale battles for global dominance, with significant territories like India, China, South Africa, and Russia at stake. The focus will be on major powers manipulating smaller states and their resources, reducing the importance of smaller nations' fates.
Finally, the passage emphasizes that the international order has shifted from intellectual debate to a more precarious state of affairs where nations must either decisively maintain their stance or face collapse. The moral lesson is that nations must remain resolute, firm and vigilant or die.
So [ChatGPT], WW3 will be about global dominance?
Yes, based on the passage, World War III—or future conflicts—are projected to be about global dominance. The text suggests that such wars will involve major powers battling over significant territories and resources on a grand scale. The conflicts will revolve around the control and influence over continents and key global regions like India, China, South Africa, and Russia.
The passage anticipates that these wars will not be about merely preparing for potential conflicts but will involve actively seeking and engaging in war. It foresees a shift from the extensive conscription armies of the past to smaller, highly professional, and aggressive forces that are eager for conflict. This dynamic will make global dominance the central issue in these future wars.
As I can see it, there will be factions that want to take over the world and fix the degeneracy, literally.
The only factions I can see that qualify are:
I can't see the Radical White Nationalists giving a damn outside of Europe (especially Europe), and the Non-White majority Anglo nations. But... their nations are passive and comfortable, and the USA hasn't been an ethnostate since the first major wave of immigration back in the late 1800s-early 1900s.
The Radical Warrior White Nationalists are MUCH, MUCH, MUCH more likely to gain serious steam in Europe compared to the USA.
Of course, my view is very limited, and there may be many more factions that are WILLING TO FIGHT for global dominance.
Oswald Spengler is a renowned German polymath that specializes in understanding history in a scientific, and systems-thinking way, seeing the fundamental megatrends that drive cultures through their birth, rise, peak, decay, and death.
Spengler predicts the future of the 20th-21st centuries:
Shortly after that quote he follows with:Ever since Napoleon, hundreds of thousands, and latterly millions, of men have stood ready to march, and mighty fleets renewed every ten years have filled the harbours. It is a war without war, a war of overbidding in equipment and preparedness, a war of figures and tempo and technics, and the diplomatic dealings have been not of court with court, but of headquarters with headquarters. The longer the discharge was delayed, the more huge became the means and the more intolerable the tension. This is the Faustian, the dynamic, form of ‘the Contenting States’ during the first century of that period, but it ended with the explosion of the World War [1914]. For the demand of these four years has been altogether too much for the principle of universal service – child of the French Revolution, revolutionary through and through, as it is in this form – and all tactical methods evolved from it. The place of the permanent armies as we know them will gradually be taken by professional forces of volunteer war-keen soldiers; and from millions we shall revert to hundreds of thousands. But ipso facto this second century will be one of actually Contending States. These armies are not substitutes for war – they are for war, and they want war.
Within two generations it will be their will that prevails over that of all the comfortables put together. In these wars of theirs for the heritage of the whole world, continents will be at stake, India, China, South Africa, Russia, Islam, called out, new technics and tactics played and counter played. The great cosmopolitan foci of power will dispose at their pleasure of smaller states – their territory, their economy and their men alike – all that is now merely province, passive object, means to end, and its destinies are without importance to the great march of things. We ourselves, in a very few years, have learned to take little or no notice of events that before the War would have horrified the world; who today [1922] seriously thinks about the millions that perish in Russia?”
“From the rigour of these facts there is no refuge. The Hague Conference of 1907 was the prelude of the World War; the Washington Conference of 1921 will have been that of other wars. The history of these times is no longer an intellectual march of wits in elegant forms for pluses and minuses, from which either side can withdraw when it pleases. The alternatives now are to stand fast or to go under – there is no middle course. The only moral that the logic of things permits to us now is that of the climber on the face of the crag – a moment’s weakness and all is over.”
In short:
The passage discusses the evolution of military strategy and international relations from the Napoleonic era to the aftermath of World War I. Initially, since Napoleon's time, nations engaged in a continuous arms race, focusing on building vast military forces and fleets. This "war without war" involved intense preparation and diplomatic negotiations conducted by military headquarters rather than traditional court diplomacy. The tension and scale of military readiness grew until it culminated in World War I.
Post-WWI, the nature of warfare and military organization shifted. The extensive conscription armies that had characterized the previous century would give way to smaller, professional, volunteer forces eager for conflict. These new forces would be more active and aggressive, seeking actual wars rather than merely preparing for them.
The text predicts that within two generations, the will of these militarized states will overshadow that of more passive, comfortable nations. Conflicts will involve large-scale battles for global dominance, with significant territories like India, China, South Africa, and Russia at stake. The focus will be on major powers manipulating smaller states and their resources, reducing the importance of smaller nations' fates.
Finally, the passage emphasizes that the international order has shifted from intellectual debate to a more precarious state of affairs where nations must either decisively maintain their stance or face collapse. The moral lesson is that nations must remain resolute, firm and vigilant or die.
So [ChatGPT], WW3 will be about global dominance?
Yes, based on the passage, World War III—or future conflicts—are projected to be about global dominance. The text suggests that such wars will involve major powers battling over significant territories and resources on a grand scale. The conflicts will revolve around the control and influence over continents and key global regions like India, China, South Africa, and Russia.
The passage anticipates that these wars will not be about merely preparing for potential conflicts but will involve actively seeking and engaging in war. It foresees a shift from the extensive conscription armies of the past to smaller, highly professional, and aggressive forces that are eager for conflict. This dynamic will make global dominance the central issue in these future wars.
As I can see it, there will be factions that want to take over the world and fix the degeneracy, literally.
The only factions I can see that qualify are:
- Afghans/ISIS types
- Radical Warrior White (maybe Aryan) Nationalists
I can't see the Radical White Nationalists giving a damn outside of Europe (especially Europe), and the Non-White majority Anglo nations. But... their nations are passive and comfortable, and the USA hasn't been an ethnostate since the first major wave of immigration back in the late 1800s-early 1900s.
The Radical Warrior White Nationalists are MUCH, MUCH, MUCH more likely to gain serious steam in Europe compared to the USA.
Of course, my view is very limited, and there may be many more factions that are WILLING TO FIGHT for global dominance.
Last edited: