[ERNESTO TRACKING THREAD] HOW STRONG DO YOU THINK ERNESTO WILL GET?

HOW STRONG DO YOU THINK HE'LL GET?


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    13
He's a chad
@DalitBoss OVER FOR BRAMLADESH, ONTARIO
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what would you do if a hurricane hit you? would you be posting it here as you get sucked in?
I'd be chasing and posting iCyclone (Josh Morgarman) style
 
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schizo I'm too young to even understand this
 
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southwest shift, jova for PRcels
1723311018200
 
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nigga what is your obsession with hurricanes and chatgpt porn stories
UP TO 40/80 @DalitBoss

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Aug 10 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles (AL98):
Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to increase in
association with a tropical wave located roughly midway between the
Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles. Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development of this system during the
next several days while it moves westward to west-northwestward at
15 to 20 mph across the central tropical Atlantic. A tropical
depression is likely to form by the early to middle part of next
week while the system approaches and then moves near or over the
Lesser Antilles, and interests there should monitor the progress of
this system. Then, the system is forecast to move generally
west-northwestward and could approach portions of the Greater
Antilles by the middle to latter part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
 
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@Chadeep
 
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@ryuken
 
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it has very good potential if you ask me i hope it destroys india
 
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UP TO 40/80 @DalitBoss

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Aug 10 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles (AL98):
Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to increase in
association with a tropical wave located roughly midway between the
Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles. Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development of this system during the
next several days while it moves westward to west-northwestward at
15 to 20 mph across the central tropical Atlantic. A tropical
depression is likely to form by the early to middle part of next
week while the system approaches and then moves near or over the
Lesser Antilles, and interests there should monitor the progress of
this system. Then, the system is forecast to move generally
west-northwestward and could approach portions of the Greater
Antilles by the middle to latter part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
YAY!
 
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it has very good potential if you ask me i hope it destroys india
It's destroying Brampton so yeah, pretty close bhai
 
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Saffir–Simpson scale, 1-minute maximum sustained winds
Categorym/sknotsmphkm/h
5≥ 70≥ 137≥ 157≥ 252
458–70113–136130–156209–251
350–5896–112111–129178–208
243–4983–9596–110154–177
133–4264–8274–95119–153
TS18–3234–6339–7363–118
TD≤ 17≤ 33≤ 38≤ 62

Category 1​

[edit source]
Category 1
Sustained windsMost recent landfall
33–42 m/s
64–82 kn
119–153 km/h
74–95 mph
Debby in 2024 at landfall in Florida
See also: List of Category 1 Atlantic hurricanes and List of Category 1 Pacific hurricanes
Very dangerous winds will produce some damage

Category 1 storms usually cause no significant structural damage to most well-constructed permanent structures; however, they can topple unanchored mobile homes, as well as uproot or snap weak trees. Poorly attached roof shingles or tiles can blow off. Coastal flooding and pier damage are often associated with Category 1 storms. Power outages are typically widespread to extensive, sometimes lasting several days. Even though it is the least intense type of hurricane, they can still produce widespread damage and can be life-threatening storms.[8]

Hurricanes that peaked at Category 1 intensity and made landfall at that intensity include: Juan (1985), Ismael (1995), Danny (1997), Stan (2005), Humberto (2007), Isaac (2012), Manuel (2013), Earl (2016), Newton (2016), Nate (2017), Barry (2019), Lorena (2019), Hanna (2020), Isaias (2020), Gamma (2020), Nicholas (2021), Pamela (2021), Julia (2022), Lisa (2022) Nicole (2022) and Debby (2024)


Category 2​

[edit source]
Category 2
Sustained windsMost recent landfall
43–49 m/s
83–95 kn
154–177 km/h
96–110 mph

Agatha in 2022 near landfall in Puerto Angel, Mexico
See also: List of Category 2 Atlantic hurricanes and List of Category 2 Pacific hurricanes
Extremely dangerous winds will cause extensive damage

Storms of Category 2 intensity often damage roofing material (sometimes exposing the roof) and inflict damage upon poorly constructed doors and windows. Poorly constructed signs and piers can receive considerable damage and many trees are uprooted or snapped. Mobile homes, whether anchored or not, are typically damaged and sometimes destroyed, and many manufactured homes also suffer structural damage. Small craft in unprotected anchorages may break their moorings. Extensive to near-total power outages and scattered loss of potable water are likely, possibly lasting many days.[8]

Hurricanes that peaked at Category 2 intensity and made landfall at that intensity include: Alice (1954), Ella (1958), Ginny (1963), Fifi (1974), Diana (1990), Gert (1993), Rosa (1994), Erin (1995), Alma (1996), Marty (2003), Juan (2003), Alex (2010), Richard (2010), Tomas (2010), Carlotta (2012), Arthur (2014), Sally (2020), Olaf (2021), Rick (2021) and Agatha (2022).


Category 3​

[edit source]
Category 3
Sustained windsMost recent landfall
50–58 m/s
96–112 kn
178–208 km/h
111–129 mph

Grace in 2021 just prior to its Veracruz landfall
See also: List of Category 3 Atlantic hurricanes and List of Category 3 Pacific hurricanes
Devastating damage will occur

Tropical cyclones of Category 3 and higher are described as major hurricanes in the Atlantic, Eastern Pacific, and Central Pacific basins. These storms can cause some structural damage to small residences and utility buildings, particularly those of wood frame or manufactured materials with minor curtain wall failures. Buildings that lack a solid foundation, such as mobile homes, are usually destroyed, and gable-end roofs are peeled off. Manufactured homes usually sustain severe and irreparable damage. Flooding near the coast destroys smaller structures, while larger structures are struck by floating debris. A large number of trees are uprooted or snapped, isolating many areas. Additionally, terrain may be flooded well inland. Near-total to total power loss is likely for up to several weeks and water will likely also be lost or contaminated.[8]

Hurricanes that peaked at Category 3 intensity and made landfall at that intensity include: Easy (1950), Carol (1954), Hilda (1955), Audrey (1957), Olivia (1967), Ella (1970), Caroline (1975), Eloise (1975), Olivia (1975), Alicia (1983), Elena (1985), Roxanne (1995), Fran (1996), Isidore (2002), Jeanne (2004), Lane (2006), Karl (2010), Otto (2016), Zeta (2020), and Grace (2021).


Category 4​

[edit source]
Category 4
Sustained windsMost recent landfall
58–70 m/s
113–136 kn
209–251 km/h
130–156 mph
Lidia in 2023 just prior to its Jalisco landfall
See also: List of Category 4 Atlantic hurricanes and List of Category 4 Pacific hurricanes
Catastrophic damage will occur

Category 4 hurricanes tend to produce more extensive curtainwall failures, with some complete structural failure on small residences. Heavy, irreparable damage and near-complete destruction of gas station canopies and other wide span overhang type structures are common. Mobile and manufactured homes are often flattened. Most trees, except for the hardiest, are uprooted or snapped, isolating many areas. These storms cause extensive beach erosion, while terrain may be flooded far inland. Total and long-lived electrical and water losses are to be expected, possibly for many weeks.[8]

The 1900 Galveston hurricane, the deadliest natural disaster to hit the United States, peaked at an intensity that corresponds to a modern-day Category 4 storm. Other examples of storms that peaked at Category 4 intensity and made landfall at that intensity include: Hazel (1954), Gracie (1959), Donna (1960), Carla (1961), Flora (1963), Betsy (1965), Celia (1970),Carmen (1974) Madeline (1976), Frederic (1979), Joan (1988), Iniki (1992), Charley (2004), Dennis (2005), Ike (2008), Harvey (2017), Laura (2020), Eta (2020), Iota (2020), Ida (2021), and Lidia (2023).


Category 5​

[edit source]
Category 5
Sustained windsMost recent landfall
≥ 70 m/s
≥ 137 kn
≥ 252 km/h
≥ 157 mph
Otis in 2023 nearing its landfall in Acapulco, Mexico
See also: List of Category 5 Atlantic hurricanes and List of Category 5 Pacific hurricanes
Catastrophic damage will occur

Category 5 is the highest category of the Saffir–Simpson scale. These storms cause complete roof failure on many residences and industrial buildings, and some complete building failures with small utility buildings blown over or away. The collapse of many wide-span roofs and walls, especially those with no interior supports, is common. Very heavy and irreparable damage to many wood-frame structures and total destruction to mobile/manufactured homes is prevalent. Only a few types of structures are capable of surviving intact, and only if located at least 3 to 5 miles (5 to 8 km) inland. They include office, condominium and apartment buildings and hotels that are of solid concrete or steel frame construction, multi-story concrete parking garages, and residences that are made of either reinforced brick or concrete/cement block and have hipped roofs with slopes of no less than 35 degrees from horizontal and no overhangs of any kind, and if the windows are either made of hurricane-resistant safety glass or covered with shutters. Unless most of these requirements are met, the catastrophic destruction of a structure may occur.[8]

The storm's flooding causes major damage to the lower floors of all structures near the shoreline, and many coastal structures can be completely flattened or washed away by the storm surge. Virtually all trees are uprooted or snapped and some may be debarked, isolating most affected communities. Massive evacuation of residential areas may be required if the hurricane threatens populated areas. Total and extremely long-lived power outages and water losses are to be expected, possibly for up to several months.[8]

Historical examples of storms that made landfall at Category 5 status include: "Cuba" (1924), "Okeechobee" (1928), "Bahamas" (1932), "Cuba–Brownsville" (1933), "Labor Day" (1935), Janet (1955), Inez (1966), Camille (1969), Edith (1971), Anita (1977), David (1979), Gilbert (1988), Andrew (1992), Dean (2007), Felix (2007), Irma (2017),[16] Maria (2017),[17] Michael (2018),[18] Dorian (2019), and Otis (2023) (the only Pacific hurricane to make landfall at Category 5 intensity).
@ryuken
 
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