H
Harold O'brien
Luminary
- Joined
- Dec 3, 2021
- Posts
- 5,409
- Reputation
- 7,154
what incentive is there to vote in an election except for mindless entertainment akin to betting on a horse to win?
the expected value is negative. the effort expended voting vastly exceeds the probability of your vote swaying the result and then leading to a beneficial outcome for yourself.
even if we look past the outdated homo economicus and turn to models with other-regarding preferences and utility for your "civic duty" there still remain the problems of bounded rationality and imperfect information. how can a person know that their vote won't actually lead to negative outcomes for themselves and others? it's a risk that most don't even consider because they incorrectly consider their political views to be infallible.
so you're expending effort to do something that in 9,999,999/10,000,000 does nothing and with a 1 in 10 million chance can either be good or bad. lmfao at voters
the expected value is negative. the effort expended voting vastly exceeds the probability of your vote swaying the result and then leading to a beneficial outcome for yourself.
even if we look past the outdated homo economicus and turn to models with other-regarding preferences and utility for your "civic duty" there still remain the problems of bounded rationality and imperfect information. how can a person know that their vote won't actually lead to negative outcomes for themselves and others? it's a risk that most don't even consider because they incorrectly consider their political views to be infallible.
so you're expending effort to do something that in 9,999,999/10,000,000 does nothing and with a 1 in 10 million chance can either be good or bad. lmfao at voters
