Jason Voorhees
𝕸𝖊𝖗𝖈𝖊𝖓𝖆𝖗𝖞 𝕮𝖔𝖗𝖕 • 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟒🥇
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If you have been living under a rock just yesterday US-Iran conflict took a huge turn when a joing US-Israeli strikes were carried out thag killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on February 28, 2026. There were some speculations about this earlier but today on 1st March 2026 we have got confirmation from the Iranian state media that he is now dead and a new leader his son has apparently taken command, things aren't clear yet tho.
www.politico.com
www.aa.com.tr
Trump called it operation epic fury, main objectives were apparently to destroy the missile systems. Trump claims they had ICBM capabilities and were a major threat to the Americans. ICBM means Inter Continental Balistic Missiles. They can theoretical be intercepted by a small number of bleeding edge missile defence systems under very ideal conditions but in practice in the real world it is more or less impossible so once it is launched it is over and it can target any place in the world at any time. Only a handful of countries have this capability. US, China, Russia, North Korea, India and Israel and iran allegedly CIA already did an investigation on this last year and it found no missiles that could hit the US mainland anytime soon, though they did have scary very advanced shorter-range tech and were on track for maybe 60 ICBMs by 2035 if unchecked
So let's get to the real reason why all this is happening. It's quite clearly a regime change. He doesn't want Iran to be ruled by the islamic republic. And let's be clear this government doesn't deserve to exist. Just last month during the Iranian protests they slaughtered thousands of their own people to remain in power and Iranians clearly hate the government
www.aljazeera.com
But this kind of aggression rapid agression isn't something new. It's a high-stakes bet on reshaping the Middle East, potentially curbing Iran's proxies like Hezbollah and Houthis, but risking oil price spikes, refugee waves, and alliances shifting as Russia or China exploit the vacuum. With leader dead, peace talks are obviously off the table so what Trump wants is for the Iranian people to take the opportunity of the chaos that follow now and cease power
Trump's explicitly calls for Iranians to "take over your government" and "seize control of your destiny" and an internal uprising without committing US boots on the ground because he doesn't want to lose the support of his MAGA base who hate their involvement in a foreign war from the get go.
Fresh March 1 reports show heavy laser-focused bombing continuing-Tehran, missile sites, IRGC bases-day two and counting. Iran's already vowing revenge and lashing out at US bases in the region in UAE, Kuwait etc. A unidentified number of US and Israeli lives have already lost in the upcoming strikes and situation is slowly getting out of hand but is it feasible and possible to rain down hell on them and expect a regime change? Let's see it from a historical perspective
Libya 2011
en.wikipedia.org
Obama era "leading from behind" with US/UK/ France airstrikes that helped rebels topple Muammar Gaddafi in months there was no big ground invasionj ust bombs + local fighters. Gaddafi ended up dragged from a drainpipe. But what happened. The regime crumbled, degrading his forces but the vacuum created after it was pure mad Max. Militias, civil war, ISIS offshoots, Benghazi drama, and Libya's still splintered 15 years later. Oil flowed very briefly but refugees and chaos spilled everywhere. Overall it was a failure.
Iraq 2003
en.wikipedia.org
Classic regime change poster child. US toppled Saddam in weeks with massive airstrikes first. but without a strong local uprising taking over immediately, it became a full occupation insurgency, sectarian bloodbath, trillions spent, and gave birth to ISIS years later. Even with soldiers on ground it was a logistical nightmare
And mind you Iran is far more capable, military stronger and more complex than both these countries. Don't see Iran as some random African shithole or Venezuela , it was a regional power with highly sophisticated missile systems and technologies, battle-hardened IRGC, deep proxy networks, and a population that's anti-regime in bursts but fiercely nationalist when outsiders bomb. So it is a bit of pipedream, pentagon knows this and expected it and does expect American lives to be lost and the conflict to drag on for a long time
One argument I've seen online is that. Modern tech changes the game. That drones, stealth fighters, real-time intel, and munitions that can thread a needle from 50 miles away. Israel's Iron Dome and US Tomahawks already proved it in recent Iran exchanges. Iran's air defenses got wrecked in hour one. But the wildcard.
Those proxies (Hezbollah, Houthis) could spark wider fires, oil prices might spike refugees flood out, and Russia/China are already calling it aggression while eyeing the vacuum that's created. Iran is after all strategically extremely important because of the oil trade and it's location.
But to put it quite simply unless and until you have boots on the ground, with infantry soldier that land on Iranian soil and topple the government nothing much can be guaranteed. It's not as easy as just throwing some bombs from the sky and expecting the government to exchange hands.
So far there's a black out going on Iran so nobody really knows how Iranian people are reacting to any of this. International media is saying they are celebrating, state media says there's a mourning period lots of conflicting reports but generally people tend to side with their goverment even the ones that they hate over foreign forces so it remains to be seen what will happen next.
Is the chain of command in Iran intact that is the big question there is no doubt in anyone's mind they can strike hard, Iran is wounded but still dangerous but can instructions be passed to carry out operations? Do they still have the administration to hit back and carry out ops, what are the border goals of Iran all these are questions that we will soon get an answer to.
Ayatollah Khamenei is dead. Here’s what that means for Iran’s leadership.
The country’s supreme leader led the Islamic Republic for 37 years.
EXPLAINER – How Iran will choose a new supreme leader after Khamenei
The Assembly of Experts, an influential body of jurists and clerics, is tasked with selecting Iran’s highest political and religious authority - Anadolu Ajansı
www.aa.com.tr
Trump called it operation epic fury, main objectives were apparently to destroy the missile systems. Trump claims they had ICBM capabilities and were a major threat to the Americans. ICBM means Inter Continental Balistic Missiles. They can theoretical be intercepted by a small number of bleeding edge missile defence systems under very ideal conditions but in practice in the real world it is more or less impossible so once it is launched it is over and it can target any place in the world at any time. Only a handful of countries have this capability. US, China, Russia, North Korea, India and Israel and iran allegedly CIA already did an investigation on this last year and it found no missiles that could hit the US mainland anytime soon, though they did have scary very advanced shorter-range tech and were on track for maybe 60 ICBMs by 2035 if unchecked
So let's get to the real reason why all this is happening. It's quite clearly a regime change. He doesn't want Iran to be ruled by the islamic republic. And let's be clear this government doesn't deserve to exist. Just last month during the Iranian protests they slaughtered thousands of their own people to remain in power and Iranians clearly hate the government
At least 3,117 people killed during Iran protests, state media report
The Martyrs Foundation noted that 2,427 of those killed in the demonstrations were civilians and security forces.
But this kind of aggression rapid agression isn't something new. It's a high-stakes bet on reshaping the Middle East, potentially curbing Iran's proxies like Hezbollah and Houthis, but risking oil price spikes, refugee waves, and alliances shifting as Russia or China exploit the vacuum. With leader dead, peace talks are obviously off the table so what Trump wants is for the Iranian people to take the opportunity of the chaos that follow now and cease power
Trump's explicitly calls for Iranians to "take over your government" and "seize control of your destiny" and an internal uprising without committing US boots on the ground because he doesn't want to lose the support of his MAGA base who hate their involvement in a foreign war from the get go.
Fresh March 1 reports show heavy laser-focused bombing continuing-Tehran, missile sites, IRGC bases-day two and counting. Iran's already vowing revenge and lashing out at US bases in the region in UAE, Kuwait etc. A unidentified number of US and Israeli lives have already lost in the upcoming strikes and situation is slowly getting out of hand but is it feasible and possible to rain down hell on them and expect a regime change? Let's see it from a historical perspective
Libya 2011
Libyan civil war (2011) - Wikipedia
Obama era "leading from behind" with US/UK/ France airstrikes that helped rebels topple Muammar Gaddafi in months there was no big ground invasionj ust bombs + local fighters. Gaddafi ended up dragged from a drainpipe. But what happened. The regime crumbled, degrading his forces but the vacuum created after it was pure mad Max. Militias, civil war, ISIS offshoots, Benghazi drama, and Libya's still splintered 15 years later. Oil flowed very briefly but refugees and chaos spilled everywhere. Overall it was a failure.
Iraq 2003
2003 invasion of Iraq - Wikipedia
Classic regime change poster child. US toppled Saddam in weeks with massive airstrikes first. but without a strong local uprising taking over immediately, it became a full occupation insurgency, sectarian bloodbath, trillions spent, and gave birth to ISIS years later. Even with soldiers on ground it was a logistical nightmare
And mind you Iran is far more capable, military stronger and more complex than both these countries. Don't see Iran as some random African shithole or Venezuela , it was a regional power with highly sophisticated missile systems and technologies, battle-hardened IRGC, deep proxy networks, and a population that's anti-regime in bursts but fiercely nationalist when outsiders bomb. So it is a bit of pipedream, pentagon knows this and expected it and does expect American lives to be lost and the conflict to drag on for a long time
One argument I've seen online is that. Modern tech changes the game. That drones, stealth fighters, real-time intel, and munitions that can thread a needle from 50 miles away. Israel's Iron Dome and US Tomahawks already proved it in recent Iran exchanges. Iran's air defenses got wrecked in hour one. But the wildcard.
Those proxies (Hezbollah, Houthis) could spark wider fires, oil prices might spike refugees flood out, and Russia/China are already calling it aggression while eyeing the vacuum that's created. Iran is after all strategically extremely important because of the oil trade and it's location.
But to put it quite simply unless and until you have boots on the ground, with infantry soldier that land on Iranian soil and topple the government nothing much can be guaranteed. It's not as easy as just throwing some bombs from the sky and expecting the government to exchange hands.
So far there's a black out going on Iran so nobody really knows how Iranian people are reacting to any of this. International media is saying they are celebrating, state media says there's a mourning period lots of conflicting reports but generally people tend to side with their goverment even the ones that they hate over foreign forces so it remains to be seen what will happen next.
Is the chain of command in Iran intact that is the big question there is no doubt in anyone's mind they can strike hard, Iran is wounded but still dangerous but can instructions be passed to carry out operations? Do they still have the administration to hit back and carry out ops, what are the border goals of Iran all these are questions that we will soon get an answer to.
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