Xangsane
^ Sheboons consider these lot white
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Please see the opIs this about which name is better?
Or did you upload pics that I just can't see?
Why Lee?Ok I can see the pics now
Lee mogs
Because the name sounds betterWhy Lee?
That's one model prediction which could be an outlier. Both Jova and Lee are expected to peak at Category 4 but I won't be surprised if Lee mogs Jova and even peaks at a category 5 based on Lee's previous model runs compared to Jova'sBecause the name sounds better
And it's reaching cat 5 intensity
Whereas jova in only at cat 4
I seeThat's one model prediction which could be an outlier. Both Jova and Lee are expected to peak at Category 4 but I won't be surprised if Lee mogs Jova and even peaks at a category 5 based on Lee's previous model runs compared to Jova's
Why does Lee sound cooler?I see
Lee still sounds cooler tho
And even after it's peak it looks like it will go strong
Jova drops hard after getting to category 4
Jova is a very lame nameWhy does Lee sound cooler?
Lee is expected to be a long tracker
Remember this lil nigga?Jova is a very lame name
Lee just sounds better
I could see someone named lee being a mogger
But not jova
Jovan and jova aren't the sameRemember this lil nigga?
View attachment 2415366
Jovan Humberto Andrade
Jovan H Andrade
Jovan Andrade
June 22 1986
aka
the lategreat bbctakeover
aka
bbctakeover
aka
supportlocalsluts
aka
jankinoff
Yes they are.Jovan and jova aren't the same
Lee still mogs thoYes they are.
YLee still mogs tho
not a photon stop making mog battles of hurricanes
The names cooler
I will continue tonot a photon stop making mog battles of hurricanes
My prediction is that future Lee will be the system of the year ACE wise and will surpass the 22.6 of Franklin. I can see it reaching 40-45 ACE units.The names cooler
BrutalMy prediction is that future Lee will be the system of the year ACE wise and will surpass the 22.6 of Franklin. I can see it reaching 40-45 ACE units.
@slop slinger
I agreeMy prediction is that future Lee will be the system of the year ACE wise and will surpass the 22.6 of Franklin. I can see it reaching 40-45 ACE units.
@slop slinger
Will Jova or Lee mog harder?I agree
LeeWill Jova or Lee mog harder?
Over for franklincelsBrutal
It's gonna destroy everything
Why Lee?
IT'S ABSOLUTELY OVER FOR FRANKLINCELSIdk I didn’t read it
@slop slinger @howtallareyouIdk I didn’t read it
Home Public Adv Fcst Adv Discussion Wind Probs Graphics Archive |
@slop slinger @howtallareyou
IT BEGAN FOR JOVACELS
View attachment 2416211
Tropical Depression Eleven-E Forecast Discussion
Home Public Adv Fcst Adv Discussion Wind Probs Graphics Archive
000
WTPZ41 KNHC 042037
TCDEP1
Tropical Depression Eleven-E Discussion Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112023
400 PM CDT Mon Sep 04 2023
Recent visible satellite imagery indicates that the disturbance
located south of the southwestern coast of Mexico (93E) has
developed a well-defined circulation. In addition, a prominent band
of deep convection has formed around its western half. The latest
Dvorak classification Data-T from TAFB is a 2.0, which corresponds
to 30 kt. Based on the available data, the system has been
classified as Tropical Depression Eleven.
The depression is moving westward, with an estimated forward speed
of 10 kt. While all models agree that the cyclone will head
generally west-northwestward for the next 5 or more days, moving
well south and west of Mexico, there is substantial disagreement on
its forward speed. The main source of this uncertainty appears to be
differences in the strength of the primary steering mechanism
influencing the depression, a deep ridge centered over northern
Mexico and the southwestern U.S. that extends over the eastern
Pacific. The stronger the ridge, the faster the cyclone will move.
The uncertainty in the track forecast is much higher than normal by
the end of the forecast, with even the consensus models relatively
far apart. At day 5, the gap between HCCA and TVCN is more than 150
n mi. As a course of least regret, the NHC forecast doesn't favor
any one model or consensus aid, generally staying between the simple
and corrected consensus tracks.
The environment looks very conducive for strengthening, possibly
significantly so. SHIPS-derived shear is forecast to be near or
below 10 kt through day 5, with plenty of moisture and warm SSTs
available as well. It will likely take a day or so for the
depression to get sufficiently organized to take advantage of this
environment, so only slow strengthening is forecast for the first 24
h. Looking beyond that, the SHIPS-RII and DTOPS rapid
intensification (RI) probabilities for 65kt/72 h are both above 60
percent. The NHC forecast explicitly shows RI starting at 36 h and
continuing through 72 h. While there is spread at just how strong
the cyclone will get, most models suggest its peak will come between
72 and 96 h, so a peak intensity higher than what the NHC forecast
shows is definitely possible. Beginning at 96 h, the cyclone should
begin to quickly spin down as it moves over cooler waters.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 04/2100Z 12.5N 104.2W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 05/0600Z 12.8N 105.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 05/1800Z 13.3N 106.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 06/0600Z 13.9N 108.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 06/1800Z 14.6N 110.2W 60 KT 70 MPH
60H 07/0600Z 15.5N 112.5W 80 KT 90 MPH
72H 07/1800Z 16.5N 114.8W 95 KT 110 MPH
96H 08/1800Z 19.0N 119.5W 100 KT 115 MPH
120H 09/1800Z 21.5N 124.5W 75 KT 85 MPH
$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky
Brutally over for Mexicans@slop slinger @howtallareyou
IT BEGAN FOR JOVACELS
View attachment 2416211
Tropical Depression Eleven-E Forecast Discussion
Home Public Adv Fcst Adv Discussion Wind Probs Graphics Archive
000
WTPZ41 KNHC 042037
TCDEP1
Tropical Depression Eleven-E Discussion Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112023
400 PM CDT Mon Sep 04 2023
Recent visible satellite imagery indicates that the disturbance
located south of the southwestern coast of Mexico (93E) has
developed a well-defined circulation. In addition, a prominent band
of deep convection has formed around its western half. The latest
Dvorak classification Data-T from TAFB is a 2.0, which corresponds
to 30 kt. Based on the available data, the system has been
classified as Tropical Depression Eleven.
The depression is moving westward, with an estimated forward speed
of 10 kt. While all models agree that the cyclone will head
generally west-northwestward for the next 5 or more days, moving
well south and west of Mexico, there is substantial disagreement on
its forward speed. The main source of this uncertainty appears to be
differences in the strength of the primary steering mechanism
influencing the depression, a deep ridge centered over northern
Mexico and the southwestern U.S. that extends over the eastern
Pacific. The stronger the ridge, the faster the cyclone will move.
The uncertainty in the track forecast is much higher than normal by
the end of the forecast, with even the consensus models relatively
far apart. At day 5, the gap between HCCA and TVCN is more than 150
n mi. As a course of least regret, the NHC forecast doesn't favor
any one model or consensus aid, generally staying between the simple
and corrected consensus tracks.
The environment looks very conducive for strengthening, possibly
significantly so. SHIPS-derived shear is forecast to be near or
below 10 kt through day 5, with plenty of moisture and warm SSTs
available as well. It will likely take a day or so for the
depression to get sufficiently organized to take advantage of this
environment, so only slow strengthening is forecast for the first 24
h. Looking beyond that, the SHIPS-RII and DTOPS rapid
intensification (RI) probabilities for 65kt/72 h are both above 60
percent. The NHC forecast explicitly shows RI starting at 36 h and
continuing through 72 h. While there is spread at just how strong
the cyclone will get, most models suggest its peak will come between
72 and 96 h, so a peak intensity higher than what the NHC forecast
shows is definitely possible. Beginning at 96 h, the cyclone should
begin to quickly spin down as it moves over cooler waters.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 04/2100Z 12.5N 104.2W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 05/0600Z 12.8N 105.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 05/1800Z 13.3N 106.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 06/0600Z 13.9N 108.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 06/1800Z 14.6N 110.2W 60 KT 70 MPH
60H 07/0600Z 15.5N 112.5W 80 KT 90 MPH
72H 07/1800Z 16.5N 114.8W 95 KT 110 MPH
96H 08/1800Z 19.0N 119.5W 100 KT 115 MPH
120H 09/1800Z 21.5N 124.5W 75 KT 85 MPH
$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky
@slop slingerBrutally over for Mexicans
@Cutecel2001
Home Public Adv Fcst Adv Discussion Wind Probs Graphics Archive |
Ngl@slop slinger
JOVA HAS ARRIVED JFL
PREDICT HOW MUCH THIS NIGGA WILL MOG?
Tropical Storm Jova Forecast Discussion
Home Public Adv Fcst Adv Discussion Wind Probs Graphics Archive
000
WTPZ41 KNHC 050842
TCDEP1
Tropical Storm Jova Discussion Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112023
300 AM MDT Tue Sep 05 2023
Deep convection has increased near the center of the tropical
cyclone, with limited banding features surrounding the central
overcast. Upper-level outflow is increasing over the system,
although it is a bit restricted over the northern part of the
circulation. A subjective Dvorak satellite classification from
TAFB and objective ADT intensity estimates from UW-CIMSS support a
current intensity estimate of 35 kt for this advisory. Therefore,
the tropical cyclone is being named at this time.
The initial motion estimate, 280/10 kt, remains somewhat uncertain
because the center is still not easy to locate. However, the
steering scenario for Jova appears to be relatively
straightforward. The flow on the south side of a ridge extending
westward from a mid-tropospheric high over the southwestern U.S.
should push Jova on a mostly west-northwestward track for the next
several days. The track guidance models are in reasonably good
agreement, although there are some differences in the predicted
forward speeds. The NHC forecast is close to the previous one and
lies between the simple and corrected dynamical consensus solutions.
Over the next couple of days, Jova will be moving through an
environment that should be quite conducive for strengthening,
possibly at a rapid pace, with low shear, high humidities, and warm
SSTs. The various model Rapid Intensification (RI) indices show
greater than normal RI probabilities. Accordingly, the official
forecast shows intensity increases on the order of 20-25 kt per day
over the next 48 hours. Later in the forecast period, cooler ocean
waters will likely cause a weakening trend.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 05/0900Z 12.8N 106.9W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 05/1800Z 13.1N 107.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 06/0600Z 13.7N 109.3W 55 KT 65 MPH
36H 06/1800Z 14.5N 111.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
48H 07/0600Z 15.4N 113.8W 80 KT 90 MPH
60H 07/1800Z 16.5N 116.0W 90 KT 105 MPH
72H 08/0600Z 17.8N 118.2W 100 KT 115 MPH
96H 09/0600Z 20.4N 123.0W 80 KT 90 MPH
120H 10/0600Z 22.5N 127.5W 60 KT 70 MPH
$$
Forecaster Barrett
Why?Ngl
It might just do more damage than lee
Damage to the swimming fish and planes low IQ enough to fly throughNgl
It might just do more damage than lee
Why are psl gods forcastingthisWhy?
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jova was
located near latitude 12.8 North, longitude 106.9 West. Jova is
moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h). A generally
west-northwestward motion is expected during the next several days.
The system is forecast to pass well south and west of Mexico.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Strengthening, possibly at a rapid rate, is likely over the next
couple of days. Jova is expected to become a hurricane on
Wednesday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.
$$
Forecaster O'Pry
Will lee be on land?
Are they?Why are psl gods forcastingthis
Likely going er in the Caribbean while Jova goes ER in the waterWill lee be on land?
They aren't, just forecasters with those last namesYeah
Opry
Barrett
BrutalLikely going er in the Caribbean while Jova goes ER in the water
Very interestingThey aren't, just forecasters with those last names