[MOG BATTLE] Who will mog harder? Jova or Lee?

Who will mog harder?


  • Total voters
    8
Very interesting
Ready for takeoff?
Two pac 2d0 1


CZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Mon Sep 4 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Eleven-E, located several hundred miles offshore of
the southwestern coast of Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1.

$ $
Forecaster Barrett
NNNN
 
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I want to put me penis inside Kathy Lee's Pussy. Anyways I think Lee mogs:feelsokman:
3625526 3622856 Screenshot 20230902 151732
 
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Ready for takeoff?
I'm not ready
I'm scared
View attachment 2416986

CZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Mon Sep 4 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Eleven-E, located several hundred miles offshore of
the southwestern coast of Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1.

$ $
Forecaster Barrett
NNNN
 
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Reactions: Xangsane
@slop slinger

JOVA HAS ARRIVED JFL

PREDICT HOW MUCH THIS NIGGA WILL MOG?

Tropical Storm Jova Forecast Discussion​



000
WTPZ41 KNHC 050842
TCDEP1

Tropical Storm Jova Discussion Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112023
300 AM MDT Tue Sep 05 2023

Deep convection has increased near the center of the tropical
cyclone, with limited banding features surrounding the central
overcast. Upper-level outflow is increasing over the system,
although it is a bit restricted over the northern part of the
circulation. A subjective Dvorak satellite classification from
TAFB and objective ADT intensity estimates from UW-CIMSS support a
current intensity estimate of 35 kt for this advisory. Therefore,
the tropical cyclone is being named at this time.

The initial motion estimate, 280/10 kt, remains somewhat uncertain
because the center is still not easy to locate. However, the
steering scenario for Jova appears to be relatively
straightforward. The flow on the south side of a ridge extending
westward from a mid-tropospheric high over the southwestern U.S.
should push Jova on a mostly west-northwestward track for the next
several days. The track guidance models are in reasonably good
agreement, although there are some differences in the predicted
forward speeds. The NHC forecast is close to the previous one and
lies between the simple and corrected dynamical consensus solutions.

Over the next couple of days, Jova will be moving through an
environment that should be quite conducive for strengthening,
possibly at a rapid pace, with low shear, high humidities, and warm
SSTs. The various model Rapid Intensification (RI) indices show
greater than normal RI probabilities. Accordingly, the official
forecast shows intensity increases on the order of 20-25 kt per day
over the next 48 hours. Later in the forecast period, cooler ocean
waters will likely cause a weakening trend.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 05/0900Z 12.8N 106.9W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 05/1800Z 13.1N 107.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 06/0600Z 13.7N 109.3W 55 KT 65 MPH
36H 06/1800Z 14.5N 111.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
48H 07/0600Z 15.4N 113.8W 80 KT 90 MPH
60H 07/1800Z 16.5N 116.0W 90 KT 105 MPH
72H 08/0600Z 17.8N 118.2W 100 KT 115 MPH
96H 09/0600Z 20.4N 123.0W 80 KT 90 MPH
120H 10/0600Z 22.5N 127.5W 60 KT 70 MPH

$$
Forecaster Barrett
Why?

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jova was
located near latitude 12.8 North, longitude 106.9 West. Jova is
moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h). A generally
west-northwestward motion is expected during the next several days.
The system is forecast to pass well south and west of Mexico.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Strengthening, possibly at a rapid rate, is likely over the next
couple of days. Jova is expected to become a hurricane on
Wednesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster O'Pry
CZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Mon Sep 4 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Eleven-E, located several hundred miles offshore of
the southwestern coast of Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1.

$$
Forecaster Barrett
NNNN
Why do you think Lee mogs?

Rate Jova's forecast?

View attachment 2416989
R
I want to put me penis inside Kathy Lee's Pussy. Anyways I think Lee mogs:feelsokman:View attachment 2416983
Rate Jova's forecast?

I'm not ready
I'm scared
Jova will only go ER on fish making them dizzy and nauseous JFL
 
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Reactions: Deleted member 30942
CZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Mon Sep 4 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Eleven-E, located several hundred miles offshore of
the southwestern coast of Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued
under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1.

$$
Forecaster Barrett
NNNN

R

Rate Jova's forecast?


Jova will only go ER on fish making them dizzy and nauseous JFL
But I live in SEA
Which is the same as the sea
It means I'm a fish
So I'm scared
 
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ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Storm Jova Discussion Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112023
900 AM MDT Tue Sep 05 2023

Tropical Storm Jova continues to become better organized this
morning, with deep convection increasing near the low-level center.
Earlier AMSR microwave imagery showed a mid-level core developing,
with a sharp curved band on the southern side of system. Subjective
Dvorak estimates from TAFB and objective ADT intensity estimates
from UW-CIMMS have increased for this advisory to T3.5/45 kt. Given
the improved structure and satellite estimates, the intensity for
this advisory has increased to 45 kt.

The initial motion is westward or 280/9 kt. Jova is forecast to
continue on a general west to west-northwest motion the next
several days along the southern side of a ridge extending westward
over the southwestern United States. The track guidance is in
fairly good agreement, with the main difference being the forward
speed of Jova in the short-term. The NHC forecast is close to the
previous advisory, and lies near the corrected consensus aids.

Jova is in a favorable environment to continue strengthening with
relatively low vertical wind shear, warm sea surface temperatures
and moist mid-level RH values. The various model Rapid
Intensification (RI) indices are all well above normal. The
intensity forecast calls for rapid intensification, with Jova
becoming a hurricane on Wednesday. The intensity forecast lies at
the higher end of the guidance envelope given the favorable
parameters for RI, closest to the SHIPS guidance. Later in the
forecast period, the system is forecast to move over a sharp SST
gradient with much cooler ocean temperatures inducing a weakening
trend.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 05/1500Z 13.1N 107.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 06/0000Z 13.4N 108.5W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 06/1200Z 14.1N 110.3W 75 KT 85 MPH
36H 07/0000Z 15.1N 112.8W 85 KT 100 MPH
48H 07/1200Z 16.2N 115.2W 95 KT 110 MPH
60H 08/0000Z 17.5N 117.5W 105 KT 120 MPH
72H 08/1200Z 18.7N 120.0W 105 KT 120 MPH
96H 09/1200Z 21.3N 124.8W 85 KT 100 MPH
120H 10/1200Z 23.6N 129.4W 65 KT 75 MPH

$$
Forecaster Lachowski/Barrett
 
Screenshot 20230905 152148


LEE IS COMING
IT'S OVER
 
MOG BATTLE
1693947485680


Atlantic - Caribbean Sea - Gulf of Mexico​
Tropical Weather Outlook (en Español*)
200 PM EDT Tue Sep 5 2023​
Tropical Weather Discussion
1805 UTC Tue Sep 05 2023​
TC Type Image
Tropical Storm Lee RSS Feed icon
...TROPICAL STORM LEE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY INTO AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE BY THE WEEKEND...

5:00 PM AST Tue Sep 5
Location: 13.2°N 41.8°W
Moving: WNW at 16 mph
Min pressure: 1005 mb
Max sustained: 45 mph
Public
Advisory
#2

500 PM AST
Aviso
Publico*
not
available
Forecast
Advisory
#2

2100 UTC
Forecast
Discussion
#2

500 PM AST
Wind Speed
Probabilities
#2

2100 UTC
*Spanish translations, when available, are courtesy of the NWS San Juan Weather Forecast Office.

Eastern North Pacific (East of 140°W)​
Tropical Weather Outlook
1100 AM PDT Tue Sep 5 2023​
Tropical Weather Discussion
1605 UTC Tue Sep 5 2023​
TC Type Image
Tropical Storm Jova RSS Feed icon
...JOVA STRENGTHENS SOME MORE... ...FORECAST TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE...

3:00 PM MDT Tue Sep 5
Location: 12.9°N 108.3°W
Moving: WNW at 9 mph
Min pressure: 998 mb
Max sustained: 65 mph
Public
Advisory
#5

300 PM MDT
Forecast
Advisory
#5

2100 UTC
Forecast
Discussion
#5

300 PM MDT
Wind Speed
Probabilities
#5

2100 UTC
 
000
WTNT43 KNHC 052054
TCDAT3

Tropical Storm Lee Discussion Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132023
500 PM AST Tue Sep 05 2023

1-min GOES-16 satellite imagery shows that the tropical cyclone has
been improving in structure throughout the day, with additional
curved banding features and a new burst of convection near the
center. A late-arriving ASCAT-C pass indicated maximum winds
supporting 35 kt, and the satellite presentation has notably
improved since that time. The initial wind speed is set to 40 kt
to match the satellite trends.

Lee is moving west-northwestward at about 14 kt. There are no
significant changes to the NHC track forecast with a mid-level ridge
over the central Atlantic likely to persist to the north of the
storm. This ridge should provide a steady steering current, with a
general west-northwestward course expected through the weekend with
some reduction in forward speed. The spread in the model guidance
remains low, and the official forecast is adjusted a bit to the
northeast closer to the model consensus. Still, it is too early to
determine exactly how close this system will be to the Leeward
Islands given the average track forecast error at those time ranges.

It is becoming a question of when and not if rapid intensification
(RI) occurs with Lee. A well-defined outflow pattern has developed
over the circulation, and there are some hints on a recent SSMI/S
microwave pass that parts of an inner core are forming. There's
still some notable northeasterly shear that could keep Lee in
check for the next day or two, so the NHC intensity forecast will
stay at a more moderate rate of intensification during that time.
All of the models decrease the shear by Friday, so RI is explicitly
forecast at that time frame while Lee is moving over extremely warm
waters. The new forecast is adjusted higher than the last advisory,
near the model consensus, but there's a notable contingent of
guidance higher than this forecast. There is increasing confidence
on Lee becoming a very powerful hurricane by this weekend.

KEY MESSAGES:

1. Lee is forecast to become a major hurricane by this weekend and
could bring impacts to the Leeward Islands by that time. While it
is too soon to determine the location and magnitude of these
possible impacts, interests in this area should monitor the
progress of Lee and further updates to the forecast.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 05/2100Z 13.2N 41.8W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 06/0600Z 13.7N 43.7W 50 KT 60 MPH
24H 06/1800Z 14.4N 46.2W 60 KT 70 MPH
36H 07/0600Z 15.2N 48.5W 70 KT 80 MPH
48H 07/1800Z 16.2N 51.0W 80 KT 90 MPH
60H 08/0600Z 17.2N 53.6W 90 KT 105 MPH
72H 08/1800Z 18.3N 56.0W 110 KT 125 MPH
96H 09/1800Z 20.4N 60.5W 120 KT 140 MPH
120H 10/1800Z 22.2N 64.3W 125 KT 145 MPH

$$
Forecaster O'Pry

----------

742
WTPZ41 KNHC 052049
TCDEP1

Tropical Storm Jova Discussion Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112023
300 PM MDT Tue Sep 05 2023

Jova continues to look better organized on visible and infrared
satellite imagery, with sharp curved banding on the south side of
the system wrapping into the center. Deep convection has continued
over the center with cold cloud tops near -80C. ASCAT and GMI
microwave instruments both sampled Jova this afternoon, and
indicated that the low-level center has redeveloped farther south
than indicated in the previous advisory, under the burst of deep
convection. The GMI 89-GHz microwave imagery depicted a mid-level
eye-wall feature starting to develop. Dvorak estimates from TAFB and
SAB were at T3.5 and T3.0, respectively, with this advisory, and
objective ADT estimates were around 50 kt. Given the mid-level
feature depicted on microwave imagery and the improved structure,
the initial intensity leans toward the higher satellite estimates at
55kt.

The initial motion is a little uncertain given the relocation of the
low-level center, but an average motion is west-northwestward around
8 kt. Jova is forecast to continue on a general west-northwest
motion the next several days along the southern side of a ridge
extending westward over the southwestern United States. The track
guidance is in fairly good agreement, with the main differences
being on the forward speed of Jova in the short term. The NHC
forecast is shifted slightly south of the previous one, given the
re-formation of the center southward, and lies near the consensus
aids.

Jova is in a favorable environment to rapidly intensify, with
relatively low vertical wind shear, warm sea surface temperatures
and moist mid-level RH values. The various model Rapid
Intensification (RI) indices are quite high compared to the
climatological mean, and the NHC forecast depicts rapid
intensification. Jova is forecast to strengthen into a hurricane on
Wednesday and into a major hurricane in about 36-48 h. The intensity
forecast lies at the higher end of the guidance envelope given the
favorable parameters and above climatological mean for RI, closest
to the SHIPS guidance. Later in the forecast period, the system is
forecast to move over a sharp SST gradient with much cooler ocean
temperatures inducing a weakening trend.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 05/2100Z 12.9N 108.3W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 06/0600Z 13.3N 109.4W 70 KT 80 MPH
24H 06/1800Z 14.3N 111.6W 85 KT 100 MPH
36H 07/0600Z 15.1N 114.0W 100 KT 115 MPH
48H 07/1800Z 16.2N 116.5W 110 KT 125 MPH
60H 08/0600Z 17.3N 118.9W 115 KT 130 MPH
72H 08/1800Z 18.8N 121.4W 105 KT 120 MPH
96H 09/1800Z 21.5N 126.3W 75 KT 85 MPH
120H 10/1800Z 23.5N 130.7W 60 KT 70 MPH

$$
Forecaster Gandy/Barrett
 
COME OUT FROM HIDING JANK
I WILL KILL YOU
 
COME OUT FROM HIDING JANK
I WILL KILL YOU
 

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